Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Pick

by | Last updated Jul 23, 2023 | mlb

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds
Date: Sunday, July 23rd, 1:40 ET
Location: Great American Ball Park
TV: BSOH
Money Line: Diamondbacks -108/Reds -110
Total Line: 11

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Cincinnati Reds and the Diamondbacks on Sunday, July 23rd at Great American Ball Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
ARI -108 -1.5 O 11 (-110)
CIN -110 +1.5 U 11 (-111)

Diamondbacks vs. Reds Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Geraldo Perdomo 1 SS
Ketel Marte 2 2B
Corbin Carroll 3 LF
Christian Walker 4 1B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 5 LF
Emmanuel Rivera 6 3B
Jake McCarthy 7 RF
Carson Kelly 8 C
Alek Thomas 9 CF
José Ruiz RP


Batting Order Position
Elly De La Cruz 1 SS
TJ Friedl 2 CF
Matt McLain 3 SS
Jake Fraley 4 LF
Jonathan India 5 2B
Joey Votto 6 1B
Spencer Steer 7 1B
Tyler Stephenson 8 C
Will Benson 9 LF
Luke Weaver SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Arizona Diamondbacks: 54-45 SU / OU 45-48 / Runline 56-43
Cincinnati Reds: 54-46 SU / OU 55-45 / Runline 62-38

Heading into their game vs. the Reds, the Diamondbacks have a record of 54-45 and have dropped three straight games. In the NL West, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 19-10-3. At home, they have gone 26-24 and 28-21 on the road.

  • The Diamondbacks have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.2.
  • The Diamondbacks have been favored in 45.5% of their games and have runline records of 26-24 and 30-19 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Diamondbacks have an over/under record of just 45-48.

On a record of 54-46, the Reds are 2nd in the NL Central. Currently, they are 1.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Diamondbacks, they will be seeking their 5th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 27-20 while going 27-26 at home. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 15-12-4.

  • The Reds have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.1.
  • The Reds have been favored in 28.0% of their games and have runline records of 31-22 and 31-16 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 55% of the Reds’ 100 games at 55-45.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
José Ruiz 37 0 42 2-1 5.48 1.59 8


Entering with a record of 2-1, José Ruiz is making his 38th appearance of the season. So far, he has an ERA of 5.48 on a batting average allowed of .269. On the road, he is 2-1 with a 4.78 ERA and 0-0 at home on an ERA of 1.78. For the season, teams have a slugging percentage of .469 against him.

In his last outing, José Ruiz allowed zero runs in just one inning of work, resulting in a no-decision. The Diamondbacks took the 9-6 loss against the Reds.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Luke Weaver 16 16 76 2-2 7.22 1.63 19


Entering with a record of 2-2, Luke Weaver is making his 17th appearance of the season. So far, he has an ERA of 7.22 on a batting average allowed of .309. On the road, he is 1-2 with a 6.64 ERA and 1-0 at home on an ERA of 9.72. For the season, teams have a slugging percentage of .577 against him.

Luke Weaver had a rough outing in his last appearance, allowing four runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work. Weaver did not factor in the decision as the Reds lost to the Giants by a score of 11-10.

Diamondbacks vs. Reds Offense Outlook

With 5 runs per game, Arizona is ranked 7th in the league in terms of runs scored this season. So far, they have hit 116 home runs, placing them in the middle of the pack. Their current batting average of .256 is 8th in the league. While their home batting average ranks 9th, they rank 10th on the road.

Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Ketel Marte .288 11 .545 .385
Christian Walker .254 9 .471 .338
Corbin Carroll .287 10 .561 .392
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. .250 6 .401 .301
Geraldo Perdomo .345 3 .491 .415


Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Ketel Marte .337 8 4 2 .823
Corbin Carroll .213 4 7 2 .693
Christian Walker .303 6 6 2 .660
Emmanuel Rivera .250 3 2 2 .750
Alek Thomas .180 4 5 1 .380


On offense, Cincinnati is 8th in the league with an average of 4.9 runs per game. When looking at their home run numbers, they are 15th, having hit 111 homers. Their overall batting average is .253, including .253 on the road and .241 at home.

Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Jonathan India .267 11 .434 .340
Spencer Steer .267 7 .427 .348
Jake Fraley .301 13 .539 .394
TJ Friedl .279 5 .420 .336
Tyler Stephenson .243 7 .374 .313


Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Will Benson .350 5 4 2 .933
Matt McLain .333 5 6 2 .771
Jake Fraley .438 4 3 2 1.438
Christian Encarnacion-Strand .300 5 4 1 .500
TJ Friedl .267 5 2 1 .533


Free MLB Pick

It’s a big number but the pitching setup suggests that there is still some meat on the bone for the Over. The Reds Luke Weaver has been brutal getting lit up for nine runs in 6 1/3 innings over his last two starts. Jose Ruiz is the likely starter/opener for the D’backs and he’ll be hard pressed to go more than a couple of innings then followed by a mediocre bunch. Take the Over 11.

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