Wyndham Championship Betting Analysis & Picks

Event: Wyndham Championship

Where: Sedgefield Country Club, Greensboro, North Carolina

Watch: Golf Channel, CBS

When: Aug. 4-7

This weekend brings about the last chance to make hay for those hovering around that FedEx Cup playoff cut line with the playing of the Wyndham Championship (formerly the Greensboro Open) at the Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, North Carolina.

The playoff begins next week at the St. Jude Championship in Memphis so this week’s tourna-ment will decide who’s in and who’s out, as far as chasing the really big money over the next three weeks.

A field of 156 will go after $7.3 million in prize money at Greensboro, plus those crucial FedEx Cup points.

The Sedgefield Country Club, almost 100 years old, restored in 2007, plays to a par-70 at around 7,100 yards. It’s been the home to this event off and on since the 1940’s, and every year since 2008. Over the last six Wyndham Championships the average winning score is 20-under par.

Last year Kevin Kisner shot 65-68-66-66, then birdied the second hole of a six-man playoff to win the Wyndham Championship. Brandon Grace, Si Woo Kim, Kevin Na, Adam Scott and Roger Sloan finished T-2; Webb Simpson, Kevin Streelman and Russell Henly placed T-7; and Nick Taylor, Brendon Todd, Adam Hadwin, Justin Rose and Rory Sabbatini T-10.

Canadian Sloan would have won last year’s tournament if he hadn’t shot 1-over 71 on the first day.

Last week Tony Finau shot 64-66-65-67 to win the Rocket Mortgage Classic in Detroit, one week after winning the 3M Open in Minnesota. Patrick Cantlay, Taylor Pendrith and Cameron Young finished T-2, five shots back of Finau; and Stephen Jaeger took fifth.

Finau is taking this week off.

Each week we take a look at the online betting sites and highlight what we believe to be some of the best values on the board, plus three or four picks to click on the weekend. Odds to win and pairings for this week can be found at Bovada. Here’s our take on some of the field for this week’s Wyndham Championship.

Just for a little reference, John Huh (200 to 1 to win), Ryan Brehm (600-1), Tyler Duncan (150-1), Matthias Schwab (200-1), Patton Kizzire (150-1), Stewart Cink (150-1), Webb Simpson (22-1), Lucas Glover (150-1), Kevin Tway (500-1) and Nick Taylor (200-1) rank 120-130 in the FedEx Cup standings. Only the top 125 will advance to next week’s play in Memphis.

Sloan, who nearly won this tournament last year, is offered at 350-1.

Also, for what it’s worth, Brandt Snedeker shot an opening-round 59 here in 2018, on his way to his second victory in this event.

Several players own solid recent track records at this event. Kisner (40-1) finished T-3 here two years ago, then won it last year. Si Woo Kim (25-1) placed fifth in 2019, T-3 in 2020 and T-2 last year. Henly (22-1) finished T-9 two years ago and T-7 last year. Billy Horschel (20-1) hit for a T-6 in 2019 and runner-up in 2020. And Rory Sabbatini (150-1) and Sungjae Im (15-1) both own two top-10’s over the last three Greensboro events.

To top all that native North Carolinian Simpson (22-1) won this event at this course in 2011, fin-ished T-2 in 2018, second in 2019, T-3 in 2020 and T-7 last year.

Others we’re interested in include

Shane Lowry (17 to 1 to win)

This Irishman, ranked No. 24 in the World, sits as the third choice on Bovada’s Wyndham Championship betting board at 17-1, behind only World No. 21 Im and No. 14 Will Zalatoris (16-1). Lowry owns five top-10 finishes over his last 11 tournaments, including a second at the Honda Classic at PGA National, a course some have compared to Sedgefield, and a T-3 at the Masters. Last time out he placed T-21 at the British Open, after shooting 72 on Thursday. We don’t usually bet favorites on golf tournaments because there just doesn’t seem to be much value but Lowry might be the best player in this field. At 17/1 we’ll make an exception.

Harold Varner III (40 to 1 to win)

One of these days this guy is gonna break through and win a big tournament. Varner started a bit slow this season but owns three top-six finishes over his last 11 tournaments, including a T-6 at the Players and a T-3 at Harbour Town. He also made a brief appearance on the second roll of the leader board on Saturday at St. Andrews a few weeks ago before finishing T-28. He’s had a cou-ple weeks off since then, which might be a good idea. Varner is also getting 8-1 to finish in the top five this weekend.

Rory Sabbatini (22 to 1 to finish top-five)

Sabbatini isn’t exactly going great guns these days; he’s missed two of his last four cuts and his best finish over his last 14 tournaments is a T-25 at the Byron Nelson. But he does own two top-ten finishes over the last three Wyndham Championships and he comes in at No. 151 in FedEx Cup standings, knowing he’s got some ground to make up. We’re not saying he’s going to contend for the win here but he shot four rounds in the 60’s here last year to finish T-10, two shots out of a T-2.

Play begins at 6:50 AM local time Thursday and most books seem to close their golf action a couple of hours before the opening tee-time, but keep in mind you can always in-tournament wager.
Note: We were late once again getting this golf article up. Our apologies. Please consider some live betting on the tournament.