Waste Management Phoenix Open Predictions: Expert Analysis & Betting Tips

2025 Waste Management Phoenix Open
Where: TPC Scottsdale – Stadium Course (Scottsdale, AZ)
When: February 6th – 9th
Watch: The Golf Channel, ESPN+, CBS
The Waste Management Phoenix Open 2025, often celebrated as “The Greatest Show on Grass,” is set to deliver an unforgettable experience, uniting top golfers and enthusiastic fans from around the world. Held at TPC Scottsdale in Arizona, this tournament is renowned for its competitive play and vibrant, festive atmosphere. The 2025 edition is expected to uphold this tradition, drawing in huge crowds with its unique blend of sportsmanship and entertainment.
Originating in 1932, the Waste Management Phoenix Open has evolved into a premier event on the PGA Tour, attracting elite players who compete for the prestigious title and a substantial purse. The tournament’s distinct character is highlighted by its ability to merge the intensity of professional golf with a lively, engaging fan experience.
A signature feature of the event is the iconic 16th hole, known for its stadium-like atmosphere where fans create an electrifying environment, cheering and celebrating each shot. This par-3 hole has become a symbol of the tournament’s unique charm, offering a spectacle that blends the precision of golf with the excitement of a spirited crowd. The 16th hole is often the site of memorable moments, with players and fans alike embracing its dynamic energy.
As the Waste Management Phoenix Open 2025 approaches, anticipation builds for another thrilling week of golf, camaraderie, and unforgettable moments. The event continues to set the bar high, promising an exceptional experience for all who attend and watch.
About the Course
- Par 71
- Distance: 7261 yards
- Known for the Par 3 16th hole known as “The Coliseum”
Who to Bet this Weekend?
1st Round Bogey Free – Scottie Scheffler (+500)
If Scottie Scheffler is such a heavy favorite, which Bovada sports book thinks he is (+300 odds to win the tournament), then this play is entirely about value. We all know that Scottie is the best golfer on the planet and that his all around game speaks for itself, but for him to win in decisive fashion, he is going to need to come out hot. His game last weekend at Pebble Beach looked a bit rusty, but he was still able to find himself if the top 10 come Sunday. While taking the golfer with the best odds to go bogey free in his first round is not a flashy pick, at +500 odds, there is nobody I trust more than Scheffler to get the job done.
Kurt Kitayama – Top 10 Finish (+425)
This line feels like a drastic undervaluing of Kitayama’s true abilities. It is most likely reflective of his recent play, considering he has not finished above T-37 in 2025. However, there is one major factor that the books are overlooking in my opinion. Kitayama, albeit in a small sample size, has always played well at TPC Scottsdale. In fact, he finished T-8 in last year’s event. While his putter is not typically his biggest ally, Kurt Kitayama has read the greens on the Stadium Course extremely well and posted a positive true strokes gained rating in consecutive years. I’ll take the value with a golfer who knows how to succeed in these conditions.
Brian Harman – Top 20 Finish (+300)
I’m taking a flyer on Brian Harman this weekend, another golfer who has had a shaky start to the 2025 PGA Tour season. Harman has competed in this event 11 times, so there is no question that he knows what the course demands. The best part about Brian Harman is his driving accuracy, meaning that he is very unlikely to miss fairways and hurt himself from the tee box. Where he has struggled at TPC Scottsdale is in his approach play. After looking at the data from his previous rounds, it appears that Harman can at least end up with a neutral rating in his approach play. He won’t gain strokes or lose strokes in this facet, but it also won’t force him down the leaderboard. I expect to see Harman vying for the top 10 come Sunday.