Tricky WC Situation, would love input

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  • bluedevil12
    Member
    • Nov 2008
    • 627

    Tricky WC Situation, would love input

    Hey guys, sorry that I've been on a long hiatus, but I've been pretty busy with a summer job and such, haven't been able to place bets in a while. But after the round of 16 I put 1 unit to win 7.25 units on the Netherlands to win it all, and I am trying to think about potential hedges.

    Their remaining games are as follows.
    Netherlands vs Brazil/Chile winner to reach round of 4 (Likely Brazil, very difficult game)
    Netherlands vs Uraguay/Ghana winner to reach finals (I honestly would be a little surprised if they lost this game)
    Netherlands vs winner of other side of bracket (Germany/Argentina/Spain/Portugal)

    I will obviously hedge the final game if the Netherlands get there. I am just torn on how much to hedge on the Brazil game, and then if I should hedge the Uraguay/Ghana game at all.

    I would love input from some of you guys.

    Thanks
    NFL YTD: 83-75-3 (-4.83 U)
    Spreads: 54-45-2 (+5.95 U)
    Totals: 22-21-2 (-1.2 U)
    Moneylines: 5-4 (+2.48 U)
    Parlays: 1-4 (-10.56 U)
    Teaser: 0-1 (-1.5 U)

    NCAAF: 16-8 (+9.26 U)
    Spreads: 12-8 (+3.3 U)
    Totals: 3-0 (+3 U)
    Parlay: 1-0 (+2.96 U)

    NBA Dec: 13-9-1 (+3.1 U)

    NCAABB: 29-36-3 (-9.1 U)
  • The Mailman
    Moderator
    • Feb 2008
    • 4666

    #2
    Howdy Blue,

    I wish I could help you but I dont know chit about soccer!
    Delivering previews and picks to your computer 365/days a year!

    Comment

    • xHeroOfTheDayx
      *Toxic Shock Syndrome*
      • Feb 2007
      • 1542

      #3
      Never seen this thread, sorry I didn't replay sooner.

      If you give me a status update of your situation (whether you hedged or not already), I can give you some options on how to maximize your profit.

      Nice call on the Dutch btw! :beerbang:
      2010 NFL Football

      1-0 +$1,000

      2010 NCAA Football

      1-0 +$1,500

      Soccer

      68-16 +$18,429.12

      2010 WORLD CUP

      25-10 +$17,964.62

      Comment

      • bluedevil12
        Member
        • Nov 2008
        • 627

        #4
        I ended up not hedging, torn on what to do in the final. I am considering putting 1 unit on a 90-minute draw (+225) and 3 units on the Spain 90 minute line (+110)

        Thoughts would be appreciated.
        NFL YTD: 83-75-3 (-4.83 U)
        Spreads: 54-45-2 (+5.95 U)
        Totals: 22-21-2 (-1.2 U)
        Moneylines: 5-4 (+2.48 U)
        Parlays: 1-4 (-10.56 U)
        Teaser: 0-1 (-1.5 U)

        NCAAF: 16-8 (+9.26 U)
        Spreads: 12-8 (+3.3 U)
        Totals: 3-0 (+3 U)
        Parlay: 1-0 (+2.96 U)

        NBA Dec: 13-9-1 (+3.1 U)

        NCAABB: 29-36-3 (-9.1 U)

        Comment

        • akatdrake
          Senior Member
          • Oct 2007
          • 6065

          #5
          Hope you got in the 90-minute draw!
          NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
          MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
          MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
          NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
          Updated on 01/13/18
          ---
          One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

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