xHeroOfTheDayx WC 2010 --- Road To Big $$$

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • RamPride
    Member
    • Sep 2008
    • 496

    :thumbs:Thank you Hero!!! great job!! You hooked me up with some $$$$$$$

    Comment

    • PrimeTime
      Newbie
      • Jun 2010
      • 62

      Congrats Hero you KILLED it! Especially with a couple bumps in the road early on. Great job rolling with the punches and keeping your money management straight. You really proved your quality as a capper. Can't wait to watch the final two matches and hope you can keep this rolling into the fall leagues!

      Also - and I probably speak for a lot of us relatively n00b cappers on here, but I am kind of curious about how you developed yourself as a capper? Do you have a particular style? Any tips for those of us just starting out? (Besides ditching Bodog and switching to Sportsbook)

      Any advice/guidance you can give would be tremendously appreciated.

      Cheers again, it has been a pleasure playing the World Cup with you! Lets keep it going this fall!

      :beerbang:
      :thumbs:
      :beer2:

      Comment

      • PrimeTime
        Newbie
        • Jun 2010
        • 62

        I need some karma on Sneijder.....at the start of the WC I played Sneijder to win the Golden Boot, risk 1 unit to win 100. Can't believe he's got a shot to hit it....

        Comment

        • xHeroOfTheDayx
          *Toxic Shock Syndrome*
          • Feb 2007
          • 1542

          Originally posted by PrimeTime
          Congrats Hero you KILLED it! Especially with a couple bumps in the road early on. Great job rolling with the punches and keeping your money management straight. You really proved your quality as a capper. Can't wait to watch the final two matches and hope you can keep this rolling into the fall leagues!

          Also - and I probably speak for a lot of us relatively n00b cappers on here, but I am kind of curious about how you developed yourself as a capper? Do you have a particular style? Any tips for those of us just starting out? (Besides ditching Bodog and switching to Sportsbook)

          Any advice/guidance you can give would be tremendously appreciated.

          Cheers again, it has been a pleasure playing the World Cup with you! Lets keep it going this fall!

          :beerbang:
          :thumbs:
          :beer2:
          Ram, Prime.. thanks fellas! :beerbang:


          I do have a particular style. When the league games are in full bloom, you often have the option of betting over 400 games that take place in the span on 24 hours. When it comes to league games, I am a very safe bettor. I spend all my time sniffing out lines that are around -200 to -400 that should really be hovering around -1000 to -1500. These are few, and far between in the EPL, Serie A, La Liga, ect.. but are an extremely common occurrence with smaller leagues. I like to play a lot of chalk when it comes to full game 3-way lines.

          Also looking for busted up totals. Such as the Australian game I played about a week back. The bottom line is, the books set out totals for the smaller leagues almost identical to the avg of goals for the 2 teams, and adjust the juice accordingly. The best thing about that, is you have an extremely low volume of money coming in on the total, so there are no sharps pounding it, moving the line.

          Another big thing is, seeing where the money is going on specific sites. There are many Asian books that are important to keeps tabs on, seeing where the money is moving at certain times. Especially for certain leagues.


          If you ever have any questions about anything, i'd be glad to help you out. :thumbs:
          2010 NFL Football

          1-0 +$1,000

          2010 NCAA Football

          1-0 +$1,500

          Soccer

          68-16 +$18,429.12

          2010 WORLD CUP

          25-10 +$17,964.62

          Comment

          • Guest

            Congrats Hero!
            I've been tailing most of your plays thoughout the WC and have cashed in pretty well.. thanks most to you.
            I joined in the praise parade in order to give you more props and well deserved thanks.
            You have proven yourself as a pro capper with your writeups and results and allowed us all following to enjoy watching a great WC as well as making some decent bank on the side.. which has been the best of both worlds.
            So I raise my glass to you mate and wish you the best of luck in the future.
            Hopefully we shall all see you again in the near future on these forums.


            P.S. - Go Deutschland!!!

            Comment

            • ink
              Newbie
              • May 2010
              • 40

              hopefully you see this hero before tomorrow's game .. even though your done with your goal .. do you happen to have a lean on the germany vs. spain game? :thumbs:

              Comment

              • PrimeTime
                Newbie
                • Jun 2010
                • 62

                Honestly I am just going to stay away from this match.

                As a general rule, if I don't feel like I can find value in a pick...or if I don't have an edge....(or if I am not following Hero on a pick :thumbs:), it is best to just stay away, watch and enjoy some great football.

                My general feelings are that Germany has been playing like the best squad in the world, and Spain has looked lackluster. As a huge Deutschland supporter I want to ride them to the final. The problem is, I can see this match going any number of ways....which makes it very difficult to gamble on. Germany have the size, skill, pace and tactics to win this match, and they have certainly been playing like it up until now.

                However, I am not ready to count Spain out. They have unbelievable skill, but have looked lackluster with Torres, Pique and Puyol limping around out there. If they bench Torres, who is clearly not fit, and go with a 4-5-1 type formation with Fabregas, Xabi Alonso, Xavi, Iniesta, and Capdevila rotating from attacking to holding - they could be tough. I can see them just holding possession in the midfield and playing keep away from Germany, while looking for opportunities to feed David Villa.

                The fact that Germany is missing Mueller, who has been sort of the X factor for Germany in the last couple of matches, also throws me for a loop. He is certainly replaceable with the talent Germany have, but there is no telling how they will look if he's not out there. The best thing that could happen for Germany is to snatch an early goal, which will prevent Spain from being able to hold possession in the midfield and frustrate them with a patient, passing style. This would allow Germany to assert their physicality and eventually win the match.

                I don't know....too many different cross-currents and I can't really get a read one way or another. I will just stay away and enjoy the match. GO DEUTSCHLAND!

                Any thoughts?

                Comment

                • ink
                  Newbie
                  • May 2010
                  • 40

                  Originally posted by PrimeTime
                  Honestly I am just going to stay away from this match.

                  As a general rule, if I don't feel like I can find value in a pick...or if I don't have an edge....(or if I am not following Hero on a pick :thumbs:), it is best to just stay away, watch and enjoy some great football.

                  My general feelings are that Germany has been playing like the best squad in the world, and Spain has looked lackluster. As a huge Deutschland supporter I want to ride them to the final. The problem is, I can see this match going any number of ways....which makes it very difficult to gamble on. Germany have the size, skill, pace and tactics to win this match, and they have certainly been playing like it up until now.

                  However, I am not ready to count Spain out. They have unbelievable skill, but have looked lackluster with Torres, Pique and Puyol limping around out there. If they bench Torres, who is clearly not fit, and go with a 4-5-1 type formation with Fabregas, Xabi Alonso, Xavi, Iniesta, and Capdevila rotating from attacking to holding - they could be tough. I can see them just holding possession in the midfield and playing keep away from Germany, while looking for opportunities to feed David Villa.

                  The fact that Germany is missing Mueller, who has been sort of the X factor for Germany in the last couple of matches, also throws me for a loop. He is certainly replaceable with the talent Germany have, but there is no telling how they will look if he's not out there. The best thing that could happen for Germany is to snatch an early goal, which will prevent Spain from being able to hold possession in the midfield and frustrate them with a patient, passing style. This would allow Germany to assert their physicality and eventually win the match.

                  I don't know....too many different cross-currents and I can't really get a read one way or another. I will just stay away and enjoy the match. GO DEUTSCHLAND!

                  Any thoughts?
                  i'd have to agree with all your points actually .. or we could just follow paul the octopus and bet on spain .. LOL :laughing:

                  Comment

                  • PrimeTime
                    Newbie
                    • Jun 2010
                    • 62

                    del Bosque leaves out Torres, looks like they are going with the 4-5-1 type formation. This could get interesting....

                    Comment

                    • PrimeTime
                      Newbie
                      • Jun 2010
                      • 62

                      With Spain playing Villa up top with 5 in the midfield, the play should have been the Under here. But with Germany so huge on the counter and break-out attack, I couldn't bring myself to pull the trigger.

                      :bang:

                      Comment

                      • kraut
                        Newbie
                        • Jun 2010
                        • 17

                        Germany -121 and OVER 2.5 -137

                        Comment

                        • TheShank
                          Newbie
                          • Jun 2010
                          • 66

                          Hey hero...just wondering what your leans were in the last 2 games if you don't mind...im in a CBC pool currently in 3rd place out of 30,000 or so and the winner gets 15K.

                          Im leaning towards taking Uruguay as Germany players have said this game is meaningless to them and Klose/Podolski could miss it.

                          Comment

                          • xHeroOfTheDayx
                            *Toxic Shock Syndrome*
                            • Feb 2007
                            • 1542

                            Originally posted by TheShank
                            Hey hero...just wondering what your leans were in the last 2 games if you don't mind...im in a CBC pool currently in 3rd place out of 30,000 or so and the winner gets 15K.

                            Im leaning towards taking Uruguay as Germany players have said this game is meaningless to them and Klose/Podolski could miss it.
                            Taking Uruguay here is extremely dangerous.

                            This will be the last World Cup for Klose. He is going to be gunning for Ronaldo's record, and will definitely do everything in his power to get fit for this game.

                            I still like Germany to win, but it is indeed pretty much a meaningless game. Therefore I wouldn't even think about wagering on this.

                            Only interesting bet would be: "Klose to score anytime in match". IMO:thumbs:
                            2010 NFL Football

                            1-0 +$1,000

                            2010 NCAA Football

                            1-0 +$1,500

                            Soccer

                            68-16 +$18,429.12

                            2010 WORLD CUP

                            25-10 +$17,964.62

                            Comment

                            • SwaggerMcDagger
                              Newbie
                              • Jun 2010
                              • 16

                              I know your not wagering on this one hero, but if you could, do you still lean Spain?

                              I have a +400 future for Spain to win it all. I put 500 on it, so that's a nice payout. With the Netherlands getting such good odds, should I hedge or just ride with Spain??

                              Thanks Hero:beerbang:

                              Comment

                              • Canyonero
                                Newbie
                                • Jul 2010
                                • 42

                                I really wouldn't lean either way. On the other hand people think Spain is a lot weaker than it actually is because of the tight battle with Germany vs. the seemingly impressive win Holland had over Uruguay. My brain says Spain should be able to win this one, but with this game you never know as we've seen too many times during this WC.

                                I went with over 1.5, seems like the only safe bet. Both teams are in the hunt for the gold since they've never won it and if either one scores at any given time, it's damn sure the other team is going to put on a hell of a fight to tie it up. Even if you look at history, only 3 final WC games have ended under 1.5 during the whole time WC has been played.

                                Good luck with your bets guys. :beerbang:

                                Comment

                                Working...