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Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)
Pat Perez to win 40/1 e.w. available generally
There is a possibility that Perez may withdrawn from this event as his 3rd place finish last week was enough to earn him a trip to Carnoustie courtesy of being the highest-placed player not already qualified for the British Open. But if he does elect to stay in this field, he should see a very good opportunity to further improve his current 44th place position in the FedEx Cup Standings. His 3rd place finish last week was just a continuation of his previous form that had netted him a 4th place at Colonial and a 5th place position with one round to play in the Travelers Championship. And in terms of his course form, he has one top-5 finish in four appearances (2002) and just 2 of 13 rounds over 70. So he may withdraw and prepare for the British Open, but he is likely to win far more money if he stays in the U.S. for another week.
Bernhard Langer to win 50/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes, Victor Chandler, BetFred and BetDirect
Langer will not be playing at Carnoustie next week, but he is another whose game would probably be better served by remaining on the PGA Tour courses rather than trying to master the hardest course on the Open rotation. He has shown that with two runners-up finishes in his last three PGA Tour starts and he even reached a playoff at Colonial. He does not have Perez's course experience, but considering that he finished in the top-10 in his only previous visit (2003), this course should not pose him too may problems in his current form.
D.J. Trahan to win 100/1 e.w. @ Paddy Power, Sportingbet, Sporting Odds, BlueSq and BetFred
More of a leap of faith with Trahan. He has not achieved the top-3 finishes of Perez and Langer in recent weeks, but he does have good course experience and he is just a warm putter away from shooting some extremely low scores. For even though he finished 30th last week, he ranked 4th in driving distance, 8th in driving accuracy, 2nd in greens in regulation and 3rd in scrambling. It really will not take a great deal to turn such all-round excellence in his game into a victory and at these odds, it is worth a speculative punt.
Pat Perez to win 40/1 e.w. available generally
There is a possibility that Perez may withdrawn from this event as his 3rd place finish last week was enough to earn him a trip to Carnoustie courtesy of being the highest-placed player not already qualified for the British Open. But if he does elect to stay in this field, he should see a very good opportunity to further improve his current 44th place position in the FedEx Cup Standings. His 3rd place finish last week was just a continuation of his previous form that had netted him a 4th place at Colonial and a 5th place position with one round to play in the Travelers Championship. And in terms of his course form, he has one top-5 finish in four appearances (2002) and just 2 of 13 rounds over 70. So he may withdraw and prepare for the British Open, but he is likely to win far more money if he stays in the U.S. for another week.
Bernhard Langer to win 50/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes, Victor Chandler, BetFred and BetDirect
Langer will not be playing at Carnoustie next week, but he is another whose game would probably be better served by remaining on the PGA Tour courses rather than trying to master the hardest course on the Open rotation. He has shown that with two runners-up finishes in his last three PGA Tour starts and he even reached a playoff at Colonial. He does not have Perez's course experience, but considering that he finished in the top-10 in his only previous visit (2003), this course should not pose him too may problems in his current form.
D.J. Trahan to win 100/1 e.w. @ Paddy Power, Sportingbet, Sporting Odds, BlueSq and BetFred
More of a leap of faith with Trahan. He has not achieved the top-3 finishes of Perez and Langer in recent weeks, but he does have good course experience and he is just a warm putter away from shooting some extremely low scores. For even though he finished 30th last week, he ranked 4th in driving distance, 8th in driving accuracy, 2nd in greens in regulation and 3rd in scrambling. It really will not take a great deal to turn such all-round excellence in his game into a victory and at these odds, it is worth a speculative punt.
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