TEE EM UP

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • BUNK MORELAND
    Senior Member
    • Mar 2007
    • 3479

    TEE EM UP

    I don't understand how Mickelson is the favorite here. If you watched him last week i think you would agree. I think the best value is ERNIE ELS @ 20-1 .. I think their is good value in a handful of players this week, but i'm sticking with the experience. Riviera is tough course, you need to be long and tactical.

    To win the tourney
    Ernie Els - 1 unit


    First Round Matchups
    Steve Stricker +125 over Phil Mickelson

    Vijah Singh +105 over Davis Love 3

    Robert Allenby +135 over Phil Mickelson

    risk 1 unit on each of the above

    GOOD VALUE in these dogs in the first round IMO
    Keep em in the hole, Down in the hole

    NCAA STR PLAYS YTD
    (5-6) -1.5

    NCAA 3 PICKS PARLAYS YTD
    (1-1) +1 unit

    NCAA ML STR PLAYS YTD
    (0-2) -1 unit

    NBA STR PLAYS YTD
    (2-0) +2.5 units
  • FlyersFan
    Senior Member
    • Mar 2007
    • 12128

    #2
    i'm sure he's the favorite because he is the 2 time defending champion and is from socal and has played that course a million times with success. some courses and times of the year just suit guys better than others. not to mention he is probably the last guy on tour that i put any weight on in terms of how he played last week. he seems to go from great to awful and awful to great in a minute's time. i don't know who else you would make the favorite if not him odds wise honestly.

    GL with your wagers.....:thumbs:
    I am the M'bah a'Flyers Fan !

    Comment

    • FlyersFan
      Senior Member
      • Mar 2007
      • 12128

      #3
      also, i mentioned this to JoePa last year....

      much like NASCAR it's pretty much tossing a dart to try and pick the winner of a tournament. But i think there is a lot more value in betting guys to finish say top 3, top 5, top 10. You get a guy on a course he is good at and though a top5 or top10 bet doesn't pay as much, it probably pays a lot more often. I would much rather have Ernie Els this week if that is who i liked (not saying i do, just using your guy as an example) at say 5-1 on a top10 than i would at 20-1 on a shot in the dark. some of these guys are lights out consistent but winning an event takes some luck as well as skill.

      just my 2 cents....i know joepa had a lot more success last year when he switched to betting top 5's and 10's than the old pick the winner.
      I am the M'bah a'Flyers Fan !

      Comment

      • BUNK MORELAND
        Senior Member
        • Mar 2007
        • 3479

        #4
        Mickelson

        He was so inconsistent last week it was funny at times.

        He is using a driver with 6 degrees of loft. He can't hit a fairway to save his life.

        He scrambled well last weekend but that's about it ..

        This is only his second tourney of the year .. I wouldn't place a dime on him at 10-1 let alone 4.5-1...

        I made that mistake last week. Won't make it again ..

        He could win, but i watched him for four rounds last week and the inconsistency, the body language, the frustration he showed has me guessing his game right now.

        I think he's the favorite for the simple fact that he's the most notable name. Alot of people don't know who Steve Stricker is , they don't know Robert Allenby, or Michael Sim.....
        Keep em in the hole, Down in the hole

        NCAA STR PLAYS YTD
        (5-6) -1.5

        NCAA 3 PICKS PARLAYS YTD
        (1-1) +1 unit

        NCAA ML STR PLAYS YTD
        (0-2) -1 unit

        NBA STR PLAYS YTD
        (2-0) +2.5 units

        Comment

        • BUNK MORELAND
          Senior Member
          • Mar 2007
          • 3479

          #5
          Originally posted by FlyersFan
          also, i mentioned this to JoePa last year....

          much like NASCAR it's pretty much tossing a dart to try and pick the winner of a tournament. But i think there is a lot more value in betting guys to finish say top 3, top 5, top 10. You get a guy on a course he is good at and though a top5 or top10 bet doesn't pay as much, it probably pays a lot more often. I would much rather have Ernie Els this week if that is who i liked (not saying i do, just using your guy as an example) at say 5-1 on a top10 than i would at 20-1 on a shot in the dark. some of these guys are lights out consistent but winning an event takes some luck as well as skill.

          just my 2 cents....i know joepa had a lot more success last year when he switched to betting top 5's and 10's than the old pick the winner.
          Right now my book doesn't offer TOP 5's or TOP 3's but i'm gonna shop around for a book who does. This year the payouts for picking the winner of an event has been great. The Bob Hope Classic favorite was 15-1....

          It's very low risk and very high reward for picking a winner .. :thumbs:
          Keep em in the hole, Down in the hole

          NCAA STR PLAYS YTD
          (5-6) -1.5

          NCAA 3 PICKS PARLAYS YTD
          (1-1) +1 unit

          NCAA ML STR PLAYS YTD
          (0-2) -1 unit

          NBA STR PLAYS YTD
          (2-0) +2.5 units

          Comment

          • BUNK MORELAND
            Senior Member
            • Mar 2007
            • 3479

            #6
            second round

            angel cabrera -115 over dustin johnson risk 1 unit
            steve stricker -165 over anthony kim risk 1.65 to win 1 unit
            Keep em in the hole, Down in the hole

            NCAA STR PLAYS YTD
            (5-6) -1.5

            NCAA 3 PICKS PARLAYS YTD
            (1-1) +1 unit

            NCAA ML STR PLAYS YTD
            (0-2) -1 unit

            NBA STR PLAYS YTD
            (2-0) +2.5 units

            Comment

            Working...