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Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)
Lucas Glover to win 20/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes and Coral
Hasn't appeared on Tour since back-to-back top-15 finishes in the Playoffs, but he appeared in good form in the Presidents Cup as a wildcard selection and is presumably playing because he is sponsored by Ginn. He may play as badly as Mickelson last week, but there are a particularly strong incentive for Glover this week: at the moment he ranks 66th in the World Rankings, which means that, as things stand, he will not qualify for the any of the majors next year, despite playing in all of them this year, and nor will he even qualify for the WGC Match Play Championship in February. Having started the year in 38th place in the World Rankings, he needs a good couple of weeks, presuming that he will play next week at the Walt Disney World Resort where he won in 2005. That win was just one of five top-10 finishes in Florida over the last three years and with co-favourite Tim Clark out of the event with a neck injury, he will start as clear favourite to win another title in this State.
Jesper Parnevik to win 40/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet
Parnevik is also a former winner in Florida, having earned his 5th Tour title at the 2001 Honda Classic. He may be winless since then, but he has come as close to winning again in recent weeks as in any time since 2001: in his last three events, he has finished 17th, 2nd and 14th and that 2nd place finish was only courtesy of a playoff loss having been a wire-to-wire leader in the Texas Open. With the last week's Tour event being played 2,000 miles away in Arizona and a further 4,000 miles being covered in the previous five weeks of the Fall Series, it should certainly help, and particularly at this stage of a gruelling season, that Parnevik (and Glover) did not play last week. He managed top-10 finishes in both October events in Florida last year and he should be confident of matching that in his current form.<!-- / message -->
Lucas Glover to win 20/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes and Coral
Hasn't appeared on Tour since back-to-back top-15 finishes in the Playoffs, but he appeared in good form in the Presidents Cup as a wildcard selection and is presumably playing because he is sponsored by Ginn. He may play as badly as Mickelson last week, but there are a particularly strong incentive for Glover this week: at the moment he ranks 66th in the World Rankings, which means that, as things stand, he will not qualify for the any of the majors next year, despite playing in all of them this year, and nor will he even qualify for the WGC Match Play Championship in February. Having started the year in 38th place in the World Rankings, he needs a good couple of weeks, presuming that he will play next week at the Walt Disney World Resort where he won in 2005. That win was just one of five top-10 finishes in Florida over the last three years and with co-favourite Tim Clark out of the event with a neck injury, he will start as clear favourite to win another title in this State.
Jesper Parnevik to win 40/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet
Parnevik is also a former winner in Florida, having earned his 5th Tour title at the 2001 Honda Classic. He may be winless since then, but he has come as close to winning again in recent weeks as in any time since 2001: in his last three events, he has finished 17th, 2nd and 14th and that 2nd place finish was only courtesy of a playoff loss having been a wire-to-wire leader in the Texas Open. With the last week's Tour event being played 2,000 miles away in Arizona and a further 4,000 miles being covered in the previous five weeks of the Fall Series, it should certainly help, and particularly at this stage of a gruelling season, that Parnevik (and Glover) did not play last week. He managed top-10 finishes in both October events in Florida last year and he should be confident of matching that in his current form.<!-- / message -->
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