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Locked in these 2 already
NYI @ -140 to win 3 units over the rangers
I said on monday that I didn't think the rangers could win both these games and that if the isles came out and lost the last game i'd double it up on the this one, well the betting gods called me out so im doubling up. The rangers did get back straka last game but lost Hossa in that one, the teams leading goal scorer since the all star break and they lost tyutin a couple games prior and he's been a top 4 dman for them. Before last game the season series was 4-0 isles. That was with a Shanny, Hossa, Tyutin and the rest in. They stepped up and played an inspired game with the 50+ shots but they still needed to come from behind largely cause of DiPietro but if it took the game of their season to sneak one out in OT when their normal team struggled against the isles, I don't expect them to come out put together another monster game, not on the road and not against a team that is playing as well as the isles have been in long island. Doesn't hurt that it's a payback game for the isles and that they couldn't have been impressed with their play in front of their tender. With both teams rested I'd expect them to come hard at each other but the better isles team has every advantage going for it, it's their game to lose imo.
Sens -200 to win 2 units over Toronto
Im a bit of a glutton, taking this sens team a 2nd time after they've blown leads in 3 straight. Pitt and Chicago were on the ropes, why this teams let up I can't explain but they do let up. The leafs in town is a big rivalry game with 2 teams that don't like each other. If anything is going to inspire the sens to play a full 60 it's gotta be a game like this. This one is a home and home and like I felt with the rangers/isles I dont think the leafs can win both of these games so i'll gladly double up my play if the sens lose it here. Sens at home have been money since the break and that uncharacteristic loss to pitt at home is not a starting trend, they've had a few slips it happens during the course of the year but the way this teams going they aren't losing 2 straight in their yard. Word is Spezza should draw back in, in this game as he drew out of the pitt game with Spasms. Wish I knew prior that he would've been out as it would've cancelled my play but whats done is done, he didn't skate today which is a concern but he says hes hopeful so im hopeful. Regardless the sens have the talent to go with the leafs. This isnt like the pens who hold a talent edge over the sens without spezza. The sens are 4-1-1 against the leafs this season and have owned them over the last while winning 11 of their last 14 but the last match up went to the leafs. It boils down to the sens need to correct this blip and they are at home, have the leafs number and are the better team overall.
couple others im looking at...
Philly looks interesting, panthers aren't a great road team tho they are playing well of late but so is philly. + odds on a home team isn't a bad play considering the teams involved but it's tough to back a bad team even when its playing better and still feel good about it. I did it with St louis earlier this week and it bit me in the ass and all I could think after was I know the flames suck on the road but this is still the blues that I bet on.
Canucks look very enticing but almost too enticing. Desert dogs off a game tonight, Nolan is injured, jovo is injured but my nuckers love to come out flat against bad teams and the yotes step it up at home so anything but a solid effort and the nucks could get stung. With the sharks up next tomorrow night it's possible the nucks come out nails in this one and try to make sure they get a win on this 3 in 4 nights tough ass roadie or they look past the dogs to big match ups with the sharks and ducks. As far as needs go this one isn't one the nucks can afford to give away and they are playing very good hockey at the moment. Phoenix will be looking for payback but they are undermanned if the canucks come to play. Im going to wait this one out as Sabourin might get a start, if he does I imagine the yotes might get a few more backers and I can get the nucks even lower if Luongo starts which I suspect then it should stay around where it is and i'll prolly lock it in later in the day tomorrow. If Sabs starts depending on the price i'll prolly still lock it in.
Waiting on that nashville price as well, flames are gonna flame out once on this roadie and nashvilles a tough place to play even with Sullivan and Forsberg out.
NYI @ -140 to win 3 units over the rangers
I said on monday that I didn't think the rangers could win both these games and that if the isles came out and lost the last game i'd double it up on the this one, well the betting gods called me out so im doubling up. The rangers did get back straka last game but lost Hossa in that one, the teams leading goal scorer since the all star break and they lost tyutin a couple games prior and he's been a top 4 dman for them. Before last game the season series was 4-0 isles. That was with a Shanny, Hossa, Tyutin and the rest in. They stepped up and played an inspired game with the 50+ shots but they still needed to come from behind largely cause of DiPietro but if it took the game of their season to sneak one out in OT when their normal team struggled against the isles, I don't expect them to come out put together another monster game, not on the road and not against a team that is playing as well as the isles have been in long island. Doesn't hurt that it's a payback game for the isles and that they couldn't have been impressed with their play in front of their tender. With both teams rested I'd expect them to come hard at each other but the better isles team has every advantage going for it, it's their game to lose imo.
Sens -200 to win 2 units over Toronto
Im a bit of a glutton, taking this sens team a 2nd time after they've blown leads in 3 straight. Pitt and Chicago were on the ropes, why this teams let up I can't explain but they do let up. The leafs in town is a big rivalry game with 2 teams that don't like each other. If anything is going to inspire the sens to play a full 60 it's gotta be a game like this. This one is a home and home and like I felt with the rangers/isles I dont think the leafs can win both of these games so i'll gladly double up my play if the sens lose it here. Sens at home have been money since the break and that uncharacteristic loss to pitt at home is not a starting trend, they've had a few slips it happens during the course of the year but the way this teams going they aren't losing 2 straight in their yard. Word is Spezza should draw back in, in this game as he drew out of the pitt game with Spasms. Wish I knew prior that he would've been out as it would've cancelled my play but whats done is done, he didn't skate today which is a concern but he says hes hopeful so im hopeful. Regardless the sens have the talent to go with the leafs. This isnt like the pens who hold a talent edge over the sens without spezza. The sens are 4-1-1 against the leafs this season and have owned them over the last while winning 11 of their last 14 but the last match up went to the leafs. It boils down to the sens need to correct this blip and they are at home, have the leafs number and are the better team overall.
couple others im looking at...
Philly looks interesting, panthers aren't a great road team tho they are playing well of late but so is philly. + odds on a home team isn't a bad play considering the teams involved but it's tough to back a bad team even when its playing better and still feel good about it. I did it with St louis earlier this week and it bit me in the ass and all I could think after was I know the flames suck on the road but this is still the blues that I bet on.
Canucks look very enticing but almost too enticing. Desert dogs off a game tonight, Nolan is injured, jovo is injured but my nuckers love to come out flat against bad teams and the yotes step it up at home so anything but a solid effort and the nucks could get stung. With the sharks up next tomorrow night it's possible the nucks come out nails in this one and try to make sure they get a win on this 3 in 4 nights tough ass roadie or they look past the dogs to big match ups with the sharks and ducks. As far as needs go this one isn't one the nucks can afford to give away and they are playing very good hockey at the moment. Phoenix will be looking for payback but they are undermanned if the canucks come to play. Im going to wait this one out as Sabourin might get a start, if he does I imagine the yotes might get a few more backers and I can get the nucks even lower if Luongo starts which I suspect then it should stay around where it is and i'll prolly lock it in later in the day tomorrow. If Sabs starts depending on the price i'll prolly still lock it in.
Waiting on that nashville price as well, flames are gonna flame out once on this roadie and nashvilles a tough place to play even with Sullivan and Forsberg out.
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