Tommy Gold NHL 2009/2010 - Picks Tracking

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  • TommyGold
    Senior Member
    • Sep 2009
    • 1479

    NHL 2010.01.28 final 5 picks:

    Atlanta Thrashers @ Philadelphia Flyers

    Today we will have a matchup between two teams in different situations. One team is without "fuel", the other had filed their tanks recently.

    Atlanta is 5-14 in their last 19 games. We can also say they are 1-9 in their last 10 road games. This show how this team had decreased their performances. They started well the season, leaded by Kovalchuk, but suddenly it was clear that Kovalchuk wasn't enough to hold this team during all season. The result is in front of everyone. This team is struggling, and after a great results that seems the right path to playoffs, now they are almost out. Their lack of offense is bad, specially when they had a poor defense.

    Flyers are going a hard path. They struggled during many games, and are trying now to compensate that bad moment in order to guarantee a playoff spot. But it's not easy, as they are many games back and in third, and there is another good second place teams in the conference. But while they believe in it, they will fight for it. Their confidence for today is high, and they have a revenge spot, as they lost 0-1 their last matchup, in that bad period. Now, both teams are in different positions and forms, with Flyers much better, with a 11-5 record. Their offense is working again, and at home, in their last 6 games, all the games they won, they won by 2 or more goals (they only lost one, with a 5-1 record).

    Today we can't expect no less than a confident and strong Flyers. They have the revenge spot, they are playing much better, and they are scoring a lot. Trashers are going through a bad moment, and this is not the place to rehab.


    Pick: Philadelphia Flyers PL -1.5 +170 (2.70) Bookmaker



    Ottawa Senators @ Pittsburgh Penguins

    Maybe there is something missing me, however i see a huge value in this line. It's easy to explain and there isn't much to say.

    Pittsburgh is a well known team due to their offense. In their last 6 home games, no less than 7 goals were scored. This was after that period that they struggled, and its their kind of game right now. They support a lot their game in their offense, and despise a little bit their defense in order to focus more in offense. The results are clear, lot's of goals. Even if team try to defend and slow the game, Penguins don't let it happen. They always score, as they have great and talented offensive players. And if the opponents team don't "accept" the opportunity to score either... well, is not the kind of mentality that live in US sports. :D

    Ottawa is living a great moment. That's due to their offensive line, they finally got all their talent players ok, and since they returned all to play at the same time, the team is 7-0! They will have to continue this performance as long as they can, but their defense, that has been quite well lately, will not handle for much more. Just before Christmas, their defense allowed 8 goals in Pittsburgh, and that a good sign how they are not particularly good against Penguins. But they will not quick the game because of it. Their offense has been great lately, and against a poor defense like Penguins, they will surely try to win this game by scoring more.


    Pick: Over 5.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker


    Minnesota Wild @ Colorado Avalanche: Minnesota Wild ML +130 (2.30) The Greek

    St. Louis Blues @ Edmonton Oilers: St. Louis Blues PL -1.5 +235 (3.35) Bookmaker

    Chicago Blackhawks @ San Jose Sharks: Over 5.5 +100 (2.00) Bookmaker

    *One unit each always.




    NHL 2010.01.27 results:

    Anaheim Ducks @ Washington Capitals: Washington Capitals PL -1.5 +135 (2.35) Bookmaker (5-1: WIN)
    Carolina Hurricanes @ New York Rangers: New York Rangers 3Way (1X2) +100 (2.00) Bookmaker (1-5: LOSS)
    New Jersey Devils @ Buffalo Sabres: Over 5 -120 (1.83) 5Dimes (2-1 SO: LOSS)
    Calgary Flames @ Dallas Stars: Dallas Stars 3Way (1X2) +130 (2.30) Bookmaker (4-3 SO: LOSS)

    NHL 2010.01.27 finished 1-3 and -1.65 units won/4 units risked.
    NHL 2009-2010 season record: 127-152-4, +13.75 units won (279 units risked, +4.928%% yield)

    NHL Last 185 picks (since 2009.11.23): 95-90-4, +32.35 units won (+17.487% yield)!

    Comment

    • TommyGold
      Senior Member
      • Sep 2009
      • 1479

      NHL 2010.01.29 final 3 picks:

      Florida Panthers @ Washington Capitals: Washington Capitals PL -1.5 +125 (2.25) The Greek

      Boston Bruins @ Buffalo Sabres: Under 5 +115 (2.15) The Greek

      Anaheim Ducks @ Tampa Bay Lightning: Over 5.5 +100 (2.00) Bookmaker

      *One unit each always.




      NHL 2010.01.28 results:

      Atlanta Thrashers @ Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia Flyers PL -1.5 +170 (2.70) Bookmaker (3-4: LOSS)
      Ottawa Senators @ Pittsburgh Penguins: Over 5.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (1-4: LOSS)
      Minnesota Wild @ Colorado Avalanche: Minnesota Wild ML +130 (2.30) The Greek (0-1: WIN)
      St. Louis Blues @ Edmonton Oilers: St. Louis Blues PL -1.5 +235 (3.35) Bookmaker (1-2: LOSS)
      Chicago Blackhawks @ San Jose Sharks: Over 5.5 +100 (2.00) Bookmaker (3-4 OT: WIN)

      NHL 2010.01.28 finished 2-3 and -0.7 units won/5 units risked.
      NHL 2009-2010 season record: 129-155-4, +13.05 units won (284 units risked)

      NHL since 2009.11.23: 97-93-4, +32.35 units won (190 units risked)

      Comment

      • TommyGold
        Senior Member
        • Sep 2009
        • 1479

        NHL 2010.01.29 results:

        Florida Panthers @ Washington Capitals: Washington Capitals PL -1.5 +125 (2.25) The Greek (4-1: WIN)
        Boston Bruins @ Buffalo Sabres: Under 5 +115 (2.15) The Greek (2-1: WIN)
        Anaheim Ducks @ Tampa Bay Lightning: Over 5.5 +100 (2.00) Bookmaker (1-2 SO: LOSS)

        NHL 2010.01.29 finished 2-1 and +1.4 units won/3 units risked.
        NHL 2009-2010 season record: 131-156-4, +14.45 units won (287 units risked)

        NHL since 2009.11.23: 99-94-4, +31.55 units won (193 units risked)

        Comment

        • TommyGold
          Senior Member
          • Sep 2009
          • 1479

          NHL 2010.01.30 final 3 picks:

          Montreal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators: Ottawa Senators PL -1.5 +175 (2.75) The Greek

          Atlanta Thrashers @ Nashville Predators: Atlanta Thrashers 3Way (1X2) +165 (2.65) Bookmaker, +185 (2.85) Bookmaker

          New York Rangers @ Phoenix Coyotes: Phoenix Coyotes 3Way (1X2) +115 (2.15) Bookmaker

          *One unit each always.

          Comment

          • TommyGold
            Senior Member
            • Sep 2009
            • 1479

            NHL 2010.01.31 first 3 picks:

            Detroit Red Wings vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Over 5.5 -105 (1.95) Bookmaker

            Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals: Washington Capitals PL -1.5 +110 (2.10) Bookmaker

            Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals: Over 6 -115 (1.87) 5Dimes

            *One unit each always.



            NHL 2010.01.30 results:

            Montreal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators: Ottawa Senators PL -1.5 +175 (2.75) The Greek (3-2 OT: LOSS)
            Atlanta Thrashers @ Nashville Predators: Atlanta Thrashers 3Way (1X2) +165 (2.65) Bookmaker (4-3: LOSS)
            New York Rangers @ Phoenix Coyotes: Phoenix Coyotes 3Way (1X2) +115 (2.15) Bookmaker (3-2: WIN)

            NHL 2010.01.30 finished 1-2 and -0.85 units lost/3 units risked.
            NHL 2009-2010 season record: 132-158-4, +13.6 units won (290 units risked)

            NHL since 2009.11.23: 100-96-4, +32.1 units won (196 units risked)

            Comment

            • TommyGold
              Senior Member
              • Sep 2009
              • 1479

              NHL 2010.01.31 results:

              Detroit Red Wings @ Pittsburgh Penguins: Over 5.5 -105 (1.95) Bookmaker (2-1 SO: LOSS)
              Tampa Bay Lightning @ Washington Capitals: Washington Capitals PL -1.5 +110 (2.10) Bookmaker (3-2: LOSS)
              Tampa Bay Lightning @ Washington Capitals: Over 6 -115 (1.87) 5Dimes (3-2: LOSS)

              NHL 2010.01.31 finished 0-3 and -3 units lost/3 units risked.
              NHL 2009-2010 season record: 132-161-4, +10.6 units won (293 units risked)

              NHL since 2009.11.23: 100-99-4, +29.1 units won (199 units risked)

              Comment

              • TommyGold
                Senior Member
                • Sep 2009
                • 1479

                NHL 2010.02.01 first pick:

                Philadelphia Flyers @ Calgary Flames

                Today I expect Flyers to win easily this matchup. And we can clearly expose the point of view.

                Flyers are a team that are returning to their best game, as they showed earlier in the season. Even with some mistakes committed during some games that costs them the win, the team is with a positive record since they returned to their best shape. For those that think that Flyers are a bad road team, their overall record is 11-12, something pretty good if you remember that they struggled during over a month, including many road games. Now, despite they lost their 2 road games, this team can approach this 3 games roadtrip with a confidence. They are playing pretty well, improving their defense that is allowing 1.80 goals per game lately, and taking all the chances they got to score.

                Flames are going through their worst moment so far. It's true that after a nine consecutive losses in their last 10 games, they won their last game. However, they won at home against the team that is having the worst moment, with injuries, and struggling a lot for a win. Can this win give the confidence that Flames need to seek a better record? I think not. If a 2-11 record in last 13 games weren't bad enough, now team have to face another problems. Their best defense man, Phaneuf, was traded. This can make their defense much weaker without a doubt. And leave Flames fans angry. And if we can add that their best player, the team leader in points, is in doubt, the problems seems without a end to Flames.

                Flyers have all the edge. They are playing well, strong in defense, and when they find spots to score, they can exploit it and score a lot. They will face today a defense that will be orphan of their best defender, and a team that is without any confidence.


                Pick: Philadelphia Flyers 3Way (1X2) +140 (2.40) Bookmaker, +185 (2.85) Unibet

                Comment

                • TommyGold
                  Senior Member
                  • Sep 2009
                  • 1479

                  NHL 2010.02.01 another pick:

                  Anaheim Ducks @ Florida Panthers: Florida Panthers 3Way (1X2) +140 (2.40) Bookmaker

                  *One unit each always.

                  Comment

                  • TommyGold
                    Senior Member
                    • Sep 2009
                    • 1479

                    NHL 2010.02.01 results:

                    Anaheim Ducks @ Florida Panthers: Florida Panthers 3Way (1X2) +140 (2.40) Bookmaker (0-3: LOSS)
                    Philadelphia Flyers @ Calgary Flames: Philadelphia Flyers 3Way (1X2) +140 (2.40) Bookmaker (0-3: WIN)

                    NHL 2010.02.01 finished 1-1 and +0.4 units won/2 units risked.
                    NHL 2009-2010 season record: 133-162-4, +11 units won (295 units risked)

                    NHL since 2009.11.23: 101-100-4, +29.5 units won (201 units risked)




                    NHL 2010.02.02 final 4 picks:

                    Washington Capitals vs Boston Bruins: Washington Capitals 3Way (1X2) +105 (2.05) Bookmaker

                    Tampa Bay Lightning vs Atlanta Thrashers: Atlanta Thrashers PL -1.5 +210 (3.10) 5Dimes

                    Minnesota Wild vs Dallas Stars: Dallas Stars 3Way (1X2) +115 (2.15) Bookmaker

                    Columbus Blue Jackets vs Colorado Avalanche: Over 5.5 +110 (2.10) Bookmaker

                    *One unit each always.

                    Comment

                    • RahStahMan
                      PhD in ThC
                      • Feb 2007
                      • 9235

                      GL tonight, Tommy!
                      :beerbang:
                      ...toke on...

                      Comment

                      • TommyGold
                        Senior Member
                        • Sep 2009
                        • 1479

                        Many thanks! :D

                        Comment

                        • TommyGold
                          Senior Member
                          • Sep 2009
                          • 1479

                          NHL 2010.02.03 final 3 picks:

                          Ottawa Senators @ Buffalo Sabres: Ottawa Senators ML +120 (2.20) Bookmaker

                          Carolina Hurricanes @ Calgary Flames: Carolina Hurricanes ML +150 (2.50) Bookmaker

                          Philadelphia Flyers @ Edmonton Oilers: Philadelphia Flyers PL -1.5 +160 (2.60) The Greek

                          *One unit each always.



                          NHL 2010.02.02 results:

                          Washington Capitals @ Boston Bruins: Washington Capitals 3Way (1X2) +105 (2.05) Bookmaker (1-4: WIN)
                          Tampa Bay Lightning @ Atlanta Thrashers: Atlanta Thrashers PL -1.5 +210 (3.10) 5Dimes (1-2: LOSS)
                          Minnesota Wild @ Dallas Stars: Dallas Stars 3Way (1X2) +115 (2.15) Bookmaker (4-2: WIN)
                          Columbus Blue Jackets @ Colorado Avalanche: Over 5.5 +110 (2.10) Bookmaker (5-1: WIN)

                          NHL 2010.02.02 finished 3-1 and +2.3 units won/4 units risked.
                          NHL 2009-2010 season record: 136-163-4, +13.3 units won (299 units risked)

                          NHL since 2009.11.23: 104-101-4, +31.8 units won (205 units risked)

                          Comment

                          • TommyGold
                            Senior Member
                            • Sep 2009
                            • 1479

                            NHL 2010.02.03 results:

                            Ottawa Senators @ Buffalo Sabres: Ottawa Senators ML +120 (2.20) Bookmaker (2-4: WIN)
                            Carolina Hurricanes @ Calgary Flames: Carolina Hurricanes ML +150 (2.50) Bookmaker (4-1: LOSS)
                            Philadelphia Flyers @ Edmonton Oilers: Philadelphia Flyers PL -1.5 +160 (2.60) The Greek (1-0: LOSS)

                            NHL 2010.02.03 finished 1-2 and -0.8 units lost/3 units risked.
                            NHL 2009-2010 season record: 137-165-4, +12.5 units won (302 units risked)

                            NHL since 2009.11.23: 105-103-4, +31 units won (208 units risked)

                            Comment

                            • TommyGold
                              Senior Member
                              • Sep 2009
                              • 1479

                              NHL 2010.02.04 first 4 picks:

                              Dallas Stars @ Columbus Blue Jackets: Over 5.5 -105 (1.95) Bookmaker, Goalwin

                              Washington Capitals @ New York Rangers: Washington Capitals PL -1.5 +200 (3.00) Bookmaker, Bet Jamaica

                              New York Islanders @ Tampa Bay Lightning: Tampa Bay Lightning PL -1.5 +200 (3.00) Bookmaker, Bet Jamaica

                              Vancouver Canucks @ Ottawa Senators: Ottawa Senators ML +100 (2.00) Bookmaker

                              *One unit each always.



                              Vancouver Canucks @ Ottawa Senators

                              One of the things that we have to keep in mind in handicapping is that we have always to seek the odds value. One of the most important things to determinate that value is how the team is playing in the last games, if their confidence is up, and if they are going in a hot streak or have a letdown spot. Today, we have a team that is incredible hot and playing an awesome game that is dog at is own house.

                              Canucks are making a good season, 34-19 is a remarkable record, however their road record isn't even positive, with a 11-12. If they seems to have the advantage on the matchups against Senators, leading 7-1 in the last 8 games, we can't forget that Canucks this year are not so strong on road, allowing almost 3 goals per game and scoring around 2.8 goals per game only. If the record isn't positive, the stats aren't much better.

                              Senators is a team that were making a good season, but the managed the previous games with some injuries. It's true that they had few games with more than 1 important player out, but... When the team started to play all together, without injuries, they managed a 10-0 streak, that is the point they are right now. This is more than remarkable, is simple the best spot that a bettor can take. This streak had hard spots, like going to Pittsburgh, host Chicago, and so on, but they only missed to win in regular time when they hosted Montreal. Their defense is playing pretty well, allowing only 1.20 goals per game, and offense scoring 3.20 goals per game. They are also a good home team, with a 20-8 record.

                              Despite a good season from Vancouver, that are playing a good game, they lost their last game. Half of the time, Canucks lost the next game after a loss, showing that they are not the kind of team that deal well with a loss. Senators are going thought a really hot streak, are strong at home, and will definitely have the edge today as they are with confidence.

                              Pick: Ottawa Senators ML +100 (2.00) Bookmaker

                              Comment

                              • TommyGold
                                Senior Member
                                • Sep 2009
                                • 1479

                                NHL 2010.02.04 final 3 picks:

                                San Jose Sharks @ St. Louis Blues: San Jose Sharks PL -1.5 +215 (3.15) The Greek

                                San Jose Sharks @ St. Louis Blues: Over 5.5 +115 (2.15) Bookmaker

                                Edmonton Oilers @ Minnesota Wild: Edmonton Oilers 3Way (1X2) +235 (3.35) Bookmaker, +350 (4.50) StanJames

                                *One unit each always.

                                Comment

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