La Coupe Stanley 2008 - Wings/Penguins >>>

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  • JohnnyMapleLeaf
    Banned
    • Feb 2007
    • 8456

    La Coupe Stanley 2008 - Wings/Penguins >>>

    NHL Playoffs YTD: 11-7, +6.36 Units
    Playoff Series YTD: 5-3, +1.95 Units

    Pending Future to Win Cup (2 Units): Penguins +1015 :beerbang:


    OK...do I HEDGE my potential 20.3 Unit winfall on the Penguins???
    Any opinions? Looks like the Wings are favoured for the series at -160...

    :nuts:
  • Daws1089
    Moderator
    • Mar 2007
    • 7811

    #2
    I'm always one for hedging. But how to go about this one is tough. I would probably hedge with a bet on detroit to win the series to win 2 units. So if detroit wins you break even and if the penguins win you win the 20+ units- whatever you wager on detroit. I guess it would be 20+ units -3.2 units profit. Or if you think detroit has a pretty decent shot to win it, you can bet them to win it for 3 or 4 units and guarantee a profit no matter what.

    Comment

    • NittanyLions94
      Resident PSU Supporter
      • Feb 2007
      • 2916

      #3
      Honestly, if you are thinking of sticking to the Pens bet but want to hedge, I say see if they take one of the first two in Detroit and get a better price on Detroit coming to Pittsburgh 1-1. At that point, you're getting Detroit at likely +100 or more, in a 5-game series, as the "road' team.

      I think the Pens take it, but I'm a sucker for hedging, so I'd likely hedge to a 1 unit profit on Det/15+ unit profit on the Pens and then root for the Pens.

      GL on whatever you decide :thumbs:

      Comment

      • JohnnyMapleLeaf
        Banned
        • Feb 2007
        • 8456

        #4
        Thanks guys....

        I was thinking of doing an 8 unit bet on Detroit at around -150. That would pay out about 5.25 units. Leaving a 3.25 unit win with Detroit and a 12.3 unit win with Pittsburgh.


        On the other hand, I'm considering letting it ride too. lol. I think the Pens get it done. In a long playoff run, I like the younger legs of the Pens. Younger goalie. The Pens have only played 2 games over the minimum possible with a sweep and two 5-gamers. I just think it is Crosby and Malkin's year...

        Comment

        • NittanyLions94
          Resident PSU Supporter
          • Feb 2007
          • 2916

          #5
          Originally posted by JohnnyMapleLeaf
          Thanks guys....

          I was thinking of doing an 8 unit bet on Detroit at around -150. That would pay out about 5.25 units. Leaving a 3.25 unit win with Detroit and a 12.3 unit win with Pittsburgh.


          On the other hand, I'm considering letting it ride too. lol. I think the Pens get it done. In a long playoff run, I like the younger legs of the Pens. Younger goalie. The Pens have only played 2 games over the minimum possible with a sweep and two 5-gamers. I just think it is Crosby and Malkin's year...
          Barry Melrose says you have to lose in the FInals before you win though :laughing:

          Guess nobody told Mario and Jagr that back in the early 90's :beer2:


          Can't wait for Saturday. I was a bit too young to fully appreciate the last time the Finals were in Pittsburgh, so I'm really pumped.

          Comment

          • CuseFan10
            Senior Member
            • Feb 2007
            • 4446

            #6
            I would hedge as well to make sure I win something. Minimally, I would buy back the 2 UNIT wager and might play it so I win 1-2 units if Detroit wins and then you're still taking home like 15 units if Pittsburgh wins.

            In your heart of hearts, if you think Pittsburgh is going to win (which you seem to think), then I would just buy back the two units and get myself a Fleury sweater.

            :thumbs:

            Comment

            • JohnnyMapleLeaf
              Banned
              • Feb 2007
              • 8456

              #7
              Thanks Cuse.....ended up hedging....

              7 Units on the Wings @ -155

              Wings win = +2.48 Units
              Penguins win = +13.3 Units

              Should be a great series...the league got a dream matchup...


              GO PENS!


              Last edited by JohnnyMapleLeaf; 05-24-2008, 10:06 AM.

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