NHL playoff monday with flmmkrz

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  • flmmkrz
    Senior Member
    • Mar 2007
    • 3641

    NHL playoff monday with flmmkrz

    Duckies -112 to win 1 unit
    Duckies -1.5 @ +245 x .5 unit

    There is a lack of respect for this ducks team which is odd for the cup winners of last year and the result vs a motivated wild squad last night only helped this line along along with the quick start of the wings. The wings barely squeaked out a win vs a road weary ducks team during their own home opener and have 2 losses to the hawks and 3 wins aside from the ducks win over 3 teams that aren't particularily strong. The wings haven't come out and blown me away with their play and certainly are getting too much respect from the betting public in this spot. The ducks played well enough to win in Detroit in the wings season opener and I would expect them to exceed that play here in Anaheim. I also expect a similar effort out of the ducks that they gave last night where they outplayed the wild but to come thru with some more finish. The wings will be playing their 3rd in 4 nights tonight and may not match the fresher home legs in this one. Jiggy didn't have to face much last night but was solid enough and having that game under his belt helps in that we know he isn't going to need to shake off any excess rust. 2 teams that on paper are pretty closely matched so I think the home ice edge means that much more in these match ups, it's costing me very little to get them so it's a no brainer for me to take the ducks. If I find out later that Bryzgalov gets the starting nod instea of jiggy I'll bail on this play.

    Sabres -155 to win 1 unit
    Sabres -1.5 @ +165 x.5 unit

    This line has moved against the public and probably with good reason as the leafs played the sabres tough last year in buffalo and they are improved while the sabres are weaker on paper and are playing back up Thibault. I could see there being value on the leafs at the open but at current the value for me is on the sabres. Buffalos defense isn't the most reliable back end but neither is the leafs. Thibault is a downgrade when compared to Miller but when compared to Raycroft I think he's a comparable. Offensively the edge is to the sabres. Home ice advantage to the sabres. The sabres pp is clicking while the leafs is sputtering, neither team is anything special on pk yet the leafs are taking the most penalties in the league thus far so I would lean special teams edge to the sabres as well. The leafs may take some games from this series but overall the sabres will win this season series imo so at this price i'll take the sabres and make the note that if this one loses I'm doubling up on the sabres on November 9th when these guys dance again.

    GL everyone
    Last edited by flmmkrz; 10-15-2007, 02:09 PM.
  • flmmkrz
    Senior Member
    • Mar 2007
    • 3641

    #2
    lmao I just out of habit start typing in my titles and the autofill in thing will bring up the rest of the title and I just go to the day, I must've scrolled to far and hit the playoffs title. It of course is just nhl monday

    Comment

    • PhillyFan3
      Philly Phanatic
      • Mar 2007
      • 2481

      #3
      gl flmmr....wit ya on the sabres, laying off the ducks game tonight
      To A Phillies World Series :beerbang:

      Flyers and Eagles --- its your turn:beerbang:

      1 unit=25 dollars
      2 units=50, etc.. and so on

      Comment

      • NittanyLions94
        Resident PSU Supporter
        • Feb 2007
        • 2916

        #4
        GL, must win for the Ducks down 2-0 in the series, LMAO :beerbang:

        Comment

        • flmmkrz
          Senior Member
          • Mar 2007
          • 3641

          #5
          Vancouver -110 to win 1 unit
          Vancouver -1.5 @ +245 x .5 unit

          going to dinner in a bit and then will be in the 2nd row behind the canucks bench tonight so couldnt wait this line out anymore. In the end went agains the 4 in 6 nights worry and took the hotter team.

          Comment

          • valen
            Member
            • Mar 2007
            • 21

            #6
            flmmkrz,

            Does the math work out putting bets both on the moneyline as well as the -1.5?
            I haven't done that before with Hockey.
            Do you do that on every play? If so why?

            valen

            Comment

            • FlyersFan
              Senior Member
              • Mar 2007
              • 12128

              #7
              how many nights in a row are we going to get f'cked by the ducks.......
              I am the M'bah a'Flyers Fan !

              Comment

              • flmmkrz
                Senior Member
                • Mar 2007
                • 3641

                #8
                Originally posted by FlyersFan
                how many nights in a row are we going to get f'cked by the ducks.......
                thankfully only the one time

                Comment

                • flmmkrz
                  Senior Member
                  • Mar 2007
                  • 3641

                  #9
                  Originally posted by valen
                  flmmkrz,

                  Does the math work out putting bets both on the moneyline as well as the -1.5?
                  I haven't done that before with Hockey.
                  Do you do that on every play? If so why?

                  valen
                  honestly I haven't done the math on it im just playing with it now to see how it works and I'll tweak it as I go. I don't play alternative puck lines or +1.5 on dogs, otherwise I have been taking the -1.5 on faves.

                  Comment

                  • flmmkrz
                    Senior Member
                    • Mar 2007
                    • 3641

                    #10
                    Stupid stupid call on the canucks last night, all yesterday I kept telling myself 4 in 6, they're gonna come out flat late against a tough team but my homer side coupled with a couple cappers I respect coming out on the canucks side made me re think my position and my homer side forced a play that I didn't need to make. You'd think i'd learn that lesson eventually.

                    anyway:

                    Van -1.1 units
                    Van -.5 units

                    Ducks + 1 unit
                    Ducks +1.225

                    Sabres + 1 unit
                    Sabres -.5 units

                    overall 3-3, + 1.125 units

                    Comment

                    • JohnnyMapleLeaf
                      Banned
                      • Feb 2007
                      • 8456

                      #11
                      Yeah...you have to keep your homerism in check...it seems you bet your teams every time, regardless...not smart in the long run.

                      Keep 'er going....nice work so far!
                      I'm laying low for a while....

                      GL :thumbs:

                      Comment

                      • flmmkrz
                        Senior Member
                        • Mar 2007
                        • 3641

                        #12
                        lol I wouldn't say everytime but I will admit that I can get easily persuaded to back them on days im thinking I shouldnt like yesterday. I do it with the seahawks as well. At least I'm aware of the problem now and I got all you guys to help keep me in check

                        Comment

                        • PhillyFan3
                          Philly Phanatic
                          • Mar 2007
                          • 2481

                          #13
                          lol flmmr i do the same thing....despite what i post i play my flyers every night lol
                          To A Phillies World Series :beerbang:

                          Flyers and Eagles --- its your turn:beerbang:

                          1 unit=25 dollars
                          2 units=50, etc.. and so on

                          Comment

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