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my thinking exactly. if the Raiders are gonna beat a team who was 7-1 at home who also has a top defense, with Connor Cook at QB and an o-line who can't block for ****, then so be it.
also, Houston beat this team on mnf a few weeks ago everywhere but the scoreboard, then the next week buffalo dominated them until they decided to **** their pants and head to the locker room in the middle of the 3rd qtr and give up 4 basically uncontested TD's in one of the most pathetic efforts I've seen in my lifetime. then kc beat them, imo, more handily than the 21-13 final score would indicate after that....and those were all WITH Carr, withoit whom they get blown completely out by both Houston and Buffalo in addition to the kc loss. they are not a playoff team, imo, without Carr....and not even close. they commit penalties out the ass too, something that being a Bills fan I've seen all too well how it kills drives and disallows you to beat good teams over the last two years.
lastly, giving a 12-4 team over a fg is a big indicator of me that the books were looking for Oakland action.
not too confident in Detroit, so no ml play, but imo this is just too many points. Seattle is in serious decline if you ask me. they play in the absolute worst division in football or they're probably not even a playoff team. the run game and the D aren't nearly what they used to be for different reasons, and while Wilson may be enough to carry them over the beaten up lions at home, I'll take +9.5 that they can at the very least keep it close. a SU Detroit win wouldn't surprise me in the very least, however I'm not putting money on it.
mlb 2018 157-110 +42.74 2018
nfl 2018 54-79-1 -21.4 units 2018
mlb 2019 348-245-3 +70.2 units 2019
nfl 2019 54-54 -21.2 units 2019
mlb 2020 112-75-1 +33.35 units 2020
nfl 2020 88-87-3 -8.4 units 2021
mlb 2020 playoffs 30-17 +30.6 units 2020
nfl playoffs 2020 11-11-1 +25.4 units 2021
mlb 2021 271-226 +18.3 units 2021
mlb 2022 240-239 -62.9 units as of 10-21-2022
mlb 2023 122-103 -9.7 units 2023
mlb 2024 15-11 +2.7 units as of 4-13-2024
mlb 2025 29-21 +26.2 units as of 4-15-2025
for anyone else interested, I'm going to play Atlanta, but I plan on waiting until right before kick off because I believe the line will move in my favor. just didn't want to be a weiner and post 37 seconds before kick off.
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