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Week One: 6-1 +$44
YTD: 6-1 // 85.71% // +8.8 units
Looking again at fading the public:
Minnesota -3 over Detroit: Almost 80% on a ROAD DOG. WOWWWWW. Minnesota had some growing pains on Monday. Teddy looked tentative, the OL played horrifically, they didn't establish the run early, and AP looked like he'd been out of the league for a year. However, they were in the game until late. Fading the public backing a road dog would generally be very profitable. If this was the case and it wasn't my team, I'd be backing the Vikings.
Buffalo -1 over New England: Buffalo was pretty impressive over the Colts. My initial thoughts last week (Buffalo was a public fade) was that the Colts line was tasty. Tyrod Taylor played well, the running game stepped up when it needed to, and boy that defense is nasty. I really hate betting against New England anywhere, but I do think their win over Pittsburgh wasn't nearly as impressive as people think it is (based on my opinion of Pitts defense). They will have to really get after Brady and probably double-team Gronk.
Chicago +1.5 over Arizona: First thing about Chicago - they don't have very many weapons, but we did see a really patient Jay Cutler in week one. I think he'll actually need to be more aggressive over Arizona, because they'll be putting him to the test. What can you say about Arizona? Carson Palmer has been a bit forgotten, and that running game actually got a boost from Ellington being out for a bit - both Chris and David Johnson should give the game a more explosive feel. This would be tough to back Chicago.
Cleveland +1 over Tennessee: Manziel gets the start and you've got someone who's not proven anything in the league yet, vs Mariota with quite an impressive career debut. I think Tennessee might have a bit of a hangover, though Cleveland's defense isn't that much of a step-up from Tampa's. I think Cleveland wins an ugly one here.
YTD: 6-1 // 85.71% // +8.8 units
Looking again at fading the public:
Minnesota -3 over Detroit: Almost 80% on a ROAD DOG. WOWWWWW. Minnesota had some growing pains on Monday. Teddy looked tentative, the OL played horrifically, they didn't establish the run early, and AP looked like he'd been out of the league for a year. However, they were in the game until late. Fading the public backing a road dog would generally be very profitable. If this was the case and it wasn't my team, I'd be backing the Vikings.
Buffalo -1 over New England: Buffalo was pretty impressive over the Colts. My initial thoughts last week (Buffalo was a public fade) was that the Colts line was tasty. Tyrod Taylor played well, the running game stepped up when it needed to, and boy that defense is nasty. I really hate betting against New England anywhere, but I do think their win over Pittsburgh wasn't nearly as impressive as people think it is (based on my opinion of Pitts defense). They will have to really get after Brady and probably double-team Gronk.
Chicago +1.5 over Arizona: First thing about Chicago - they don't have very many weapons, but we did see a really patient Jay Cutler in week one. I think he'll actually need to be more aggressive over Arizona, because they'll be putting him to the test. What can you say about Arizona? Carson Palmer has been a bit forgotten, and that running game actually got a boost from Ellington being out for a bit - both Chris and David Johnson should give the game a more explosive feel. This would be tough to back Chicago.
Cleveland +1 over Tennessee: Manziel gets the start and you've got someone who's not proven anything in the league yet, vs Mariota with quite an impressive career debut. I think Tennessee might have a bit of a hangover, though Cleveland's defense isn't that much of a step-up from Tampa's. I think Cleveland wins an ugly one here.
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