This here NFL Week Two!!!

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  • akatdrake
    Senior Member
    • Oct 2007
    • 6065

    This here NFL Week Two!!!

    Week One Recap:

    Online: 1-3, -1.8 units
    YTD: 1-5 // 16.67% // -8.4 units

    Local: 2-1 // 66.67% // +3.6 units
    YTD: 2-1 // 66.67% // +3.6 units

    Early lines:

    PIT @ BAL -2.5
    MIA @ BUF PK
    JAX @ WAS -6
    DAL @ TEN -3.5
    NEP -3 @ MIN
    NOR -6 @ CLE
    ATL @ CIN -4.5
    STL @ TB -6
    HOU @ OAK +3
    NYJ @ GBP -8
    KC @ DEN -13
    CHI @ SFN -6.5
    PHI @ IND -3

    First thoughts are that the Ravens will give Justin Forsett the start on Thursday with Pierce backing him up. I assume when Pierce gets out of the doghouse (benched in 1q for fumbling), he'll get the majority of touches. I actually think Pittsburgh has great shot here stretching the field. How many times has Miami looked good one week and then laid an egg next week? Buffalo at home here with Manuel looking impressive last week? Washington shouldn't be laying to anyone here. If Dallas can make a high-scoring game, they can cover. Would likely take Minnesota as home-dog here if they can get the running game going. Saints on the road again only getting six points? Is the Saints defense just that bad? Can Atlanta follow up their win over New Orleans with a great showing against Cincy?

    Battle of the stinkers with STL in Tampa - who will throw the ball for STL? Monitor this closer. How will Houston respond by a good showing vs Washington? Oakland played well in Carr's first start but kept him along slowly, dinking and dunking. Can the Packers defense put out the Jets? Jets defense looked pretty nice against rookie QB, but what about vs top-three QB in league? How will KC fare after losing two key pieces on defense and Alex Smith looking bad? Almost two TD dogs. Bears didn't cover as TD favorite at home and now they're getting almost that number vs San Fran's defense.

    If Philly plays vs Indy the way they did vs the Jags, Luck puts them away late. Will indoors be better for Philly?
    NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
    MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
    MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
    NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
    Updated on 01/13/18
    ---
    One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.
  • akatdrake
    Senior Member
    • Oct 2007
    • 6065

    #2
    Leans:

    Jacksonville +6 @ Washington - WAS certainly doesn't have the ability to recover as Philly did last week

    Minnesota +whatever - even though I won't bet this, I do like Minnesota's chances. New England is not good at all, was not able to protect Brady and his receivers weren't able to get open. Minnesota +3+ is a good home dog.
    Cleveland +6 vs Saints - like Cleveland to keep it close as the Saints had a big letdown last week vs the Falcons

    Atlanta +5 @ Cincy - boy if Cincy ends up playing like they did last week, Atlanta's defense should be able to pick off some of those Dalton floaters. I do not trust Dalton at all.

    Jets +8 @ GB - like Rex Ryan to slow the game down for Geno and run the ball all over GB's defense. Not that the Jets will win, but boy this will be closer.

    KC +DD @ Denver - always a close rivalry and really like KC slowing this game down much like the Jets - running the ball and playing more West Coast vs Denver.

    San Fran -6.5 vs Chicago - San Fran's opportunistic defense vs Cutler - Bears haven't won there since mid-80s,
    NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
    MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
    MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
    NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
    Updated on 01/13/18
    ---
    One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

    Comment

    • akatdrake
      Senior Member
      • Oct 2007
      • 6065

      #3
      NFL:

      Carolina -2.5 vs Detroit for two units (online)
      Miami +1.5 @ Buffalo for two units (online)
      Jacksonville +6 @ Washington for four units (local)
      Tennessee -3 vs Dallas for four units (local)
      New York Giants +3 vs Arizona for four units (local)
      Cleveland +7 vs New Orleans for four units (local)
      Cincinnati -5 vs Atlanta for four units (local)
      San Diego +6 vs Seattle for four units (local)
      New York Jets +8 @ Green Bay for four units (local)

      Usually pare my betting card down further, but cases have been made on my end for each play. No read on the Rams/Bucs because of the Bucs injuries on the DL, the Hou/OAK games are two bad teams, and no confidence in KC keeping it close in Denver.

      Good luck to all!
      NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
      MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
      MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
      NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
      Updated on 01/13/18
      ---
      One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

      Comment

      • Tony Truong
        Senior Member
        • Oct 2007
        • 2288

        #4
        Hi akatdrake !

        With you

        CAROLINA - 2 1/2

        MIAMI PK

        CINCINNATIVE - 5

        GIANT + 3

        GOOD LUCK :thumbs:

        Comment

        • akatdrake
          Senior Member
          • Oct 2007
          • 6065

          #5
          Originally posted by Tony Truong
          With you

          CAROLINA - 2 1/2

          MIAMI PK

          CINCINNATIVE - 5

          GIANT + 3

          GOOD LUCK :thumbs:
          :thumbs: Tony! How are you bud? Sorry about the 2-2 day this a.m. bleh
          NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
          MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
          MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
          NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
          Updated on 01/13/18
          ---
          One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

          Comment

          • akatdrake
            Senior Member
            • Oct 2007
            • 6065

            #6
            Rule number one in NFL: Do not bet on bad teams! I bet on Jacksonville and New York Giants!! :(:(

            SNF 6-pt Teaser: Chicago Bears +13/o41 for two units (online)
            NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
            MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
            MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
            NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
            Updated on 01/13/18
            ---
            One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

            Comment

            • akatdrake
              Senior Member
              • Oct 2007
              • 6065

              #7
              Week Two:

              2-1, +1.8 units (online)
              4-3, +2.8 units (local)

              YTD:
              3-6, -6.6 units (online)
              6-4, +6.4 units (local)
              NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
              MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
              MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
              NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
              Updated on 01/13/18
              ---
              One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

              Comment

              • Tony Truong
                Senior Member
                • Oct 2007
                • 2288

                #8
                hi akatdrake !

                How are you brother ? It ia OK week 2 . How do you think tonight ? MNF . Yesterday in the morning I thought PHILADELPHIA . But after result all SUNDAY , I change my mind . I guess tonight should go INDIANA -3 . How is your ?Good luck brother ! .

                Comment

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