This here NFL Week One!!!

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  • akatdrake
    Senior Member
    • Oct 2007
    • 6065

    This here NFL Week One!!!

    Same as with my college bets, I'll be making online bets and through my local. Will differentiate in the line itself.

    Leans so far:

    New Orleans -3 @ Atlanta
    Minnesota +3 @ St. Louis
    Cleveland +7 @ Pittsburgh
    Oakland +5.5 @ New York Jets
    Cincinnati -1 @ Baltimore
    Chicago -7 vs Buffalo
    Houston -3 vs Washington
    New England -4 @ Miami
    Tampa -3 vs Carolina
    San Francisco -4 @ Dallas
    Indianapolis +7.5 @ Denver

    All of these lines are local.

    Atlanta's running game is still pretty bad, New Orleans still has the weapons. Tough division game to start out season. Lean Minnesota even though this season will not be betting my team's game. I just cannot get the emotions out of it. Cleveland seems to be underrated here, probably because should the Steelers be laying seven to anyone? Same with Oakland - who can the Jets be favored over? TAKE THE POINTS. Balty will want to run the ball, but Cincy's run defense is going to be great. Probably getting a better line online. Chicago might have a tough time here, really don't like laying seven points, but have no confidence in Buffalo's defense or QB play. Houston over Washington is a must-bet I think with RG3 struggling so much lately. Same with New England - think Miami is a hot commodity this year, but New England now has a defense that's worth the cash. Watch out there. Tampa vs Carolina seems like two teams going in opposite directions. Same with San Fran over Dallas. Indy vs Denver is a sexy pick that probably looks good early, bad middle game, but this game just might be a backdoor cover. After all of those thoughts, let's see what we have:

    Cleveland +7 @ Pittsburgh
    Oakland +5.5 @ New York Jets
    Cincinnati -1 @ Baltimore
    Houston -3 vs Washington
    New England -4 @ Miami
    Tampa -3 vs Carolina
    San Francisco -4 @ Dallas

    This is likely my card, but we'll see over the next day or so.
    NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
    MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
    MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
    NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
    Updated on 01/13/18
    ---
    One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.
  • akatdrake
    Senior Member
    • Oct 2007
    • 6065

    #2
    Probably cutting San Fran and Tampa from my local as the lines have dipped below 3 and 4 now. Likely cutting the Cincy/Baltimore game because of the only angle I have is the RB defense for Cincy. Zimmer lost as HC could have an effect - just want to wait out for a few.

    Sunday:

    Oakland Raiders +5.5 @ New York for four units (local)
    Houston Texans -3 vs Washington for four units (local)
    New England -4 @ Miami for four units (local)

    Tampa Bay -2.5 -120 over Carolina for four units (online)
    San Francisco -3.5 @ Dallas for four units (online)
    Last edited by akatdrake; 09-07-2014, 08:06 AM.
    NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
    MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
    MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
    NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
    Updated on 01/13/18
    ---
    One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

    Comment

    • akatdrake
      Senior Member
      • Oct 2007
      • 6065

      #3
      Adding:

      Underdog ML Parlay: MIN/OAK/CIN +1364 for 0.5 units (online)
      Spread Parlay: NOR -3/CLE +7/OAK +5/CHI -6.5/NEP -4/TBB -2.5/SF -3.5 +4365 for 0.5 units
      NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
      MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
      MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
      NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
      Updated on 01/13/18
      ---
      One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

      Comment

      • Reggie Hamlin
        Senior Member
        • Nov 2008
        • 1135

        #4
        Good Luck AK have a good season :cheers:
        NFL 8-5 + 5.97




        The difference between stupidity and genius is that genius has its limits.

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