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Did you have a ridiculous time capping this week's games? I haven't had as much time as I normally do, but i have a bunch of poopy lines like 3.5, 4.5, 1/1, etc. I have a feeling the books are going to adjust their lines to avoid the underdog craze, and I think this week is the week we all get caught. That being said, I'll probably be with you on the Broncos, but beyond that - I'm not excited about anything!
NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
Updated on 01/13/18
--- One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.
every wager I like this week is fugly. Faves I think cover this week are Fins, GB, Denver, Detroit, NYG, & Atlanta. Fins bone me no matter how I play em, QB injuries, plus the Colts have been good to me so I'm leaving that alone. Detroit favored by too many on the road now for me to back, especially with megatron banged up. Will likely add NYG as I think eli will torch the Pitt secondary.
Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...
fwiw I think the Ravens flame out today hard. Tough to back the Brownies to get two straight home wins, but I think Balty is dead money. Also think the hook is getting quite a few onto the Steelers train, but that secondary with no Troy vs Eli? :hide:
Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...
I've seen too many times over the years where teams like Miami will have a coming out party as they did vs the Jets last week (yes, we know Jets offense is bad and Miami's def was solid, but we didn't know they'd be that dominant), and then lay an egg with a short line the following week. I think the Colts are just one year away with Luck similar to Peyton in his first year. I just don't think the Colts have enough talent on both sides of the ball, especially on offense to overcome a very solid defense. So even though I think Miami wins or lay an egg, I cannot make a solid case for either team and just cannot bet them.
I have heard a lot of about the Cleveland media thinking Balty is a good matchup for them, how Balty flaming bad but I still don't see Cleveland doing much on offense vs their solid defense. And if not the case, can Cleveland's offense hold up in a shootout?
Too many intangibles in play with that NYG/PIT game to even think about, and I'm not in those players heads to even think about what's concerning them more - an out of conference game vs families vs fans vs hurricane.
NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
Updated on 01/13/18
--- One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.
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