Knuckleballers 2012-2013 NFL Tracking Thread

**The Knuckleballer** · 09-09-2012, 07:46 AM

Week 1 NFL Picks Continued

Overall Record (2-0-0) 3.7 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (0-0) 0 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (1-0) 2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (1-0) 1.7 Units

Total Unit Based Record (3.7-0-0) 3.7 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (100.00%)

We started the season strong on Wednesday going 2-0. Also, we are up 10+ units in college football. It's fun when you are picking winners. Today, we have five games on tap. Of the five, my favorite pick is the Over in the Bills v. Jets game. My system projects a final score of 26-23 Jets. This is well over the posted total of 38. Look for 670+ yards of total offense between the two teams. We may even see some defensive scoring. Today should be a lot of fun. Good luck!

**2 Unit Picks**
Bills/Jets Over 38
Dolphins +13
Browns +9.5
Steelers +2

*1 Unit Picks*
49ers +5

**The Knuckleballer** · 09-10-2012, 07:32 AM

Week 1 NFL Picks Continued

Overall Record (5-2-0) 4.3 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (0-0) 0 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (3-2) 1.6 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (2-0) 2.7 Units

Total Unit Based Record (8.7-4.4-0) 4.3 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (66.41%)

We went 3-2 on Sunday picking up a mere .6 Units. Tonight, we have just one pick on tap. My system has the Bengals losing by just a field goal. Take the points and enjoy some MNF!!

**2 Unit Pick**
Bengals +8.5 (-130)

Note: The juice on this line is -130 as opposed to the standard -110

**The Knuckleballer** · 09-16-2012, 08:33 AM

Week 2 NFL Picks

Overall Record (5-3-0) 1.9 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (0-0) 0 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (3-3) -.8 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (2-0) 2.7 Units

Total Unit Based Record (8.7-6.6-0) 1.9 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (56.86%)

Despite our Monday Night loss in Week 1, we finished in the black. The first few weeks can be tough, because we lack 2012 stats to input into our formulas. That will change as the season progresses, but as many of you may have noticed that hasn't hurt us in College Football where we are up 20+ Units to start the season. Today, I have 5 picks on tap. The Dolphins are 2.5 point dogs today, but my system has them winning by a field goal. Take the points and watch the Dolphins rookie QB pick up his first win. Also, The Titans are 6.5 point dogs at San Diego. This game will be decided by a field goal. Take the points. Good luck and enjoy the games!

**2 Unit Picks**
Cardinals +13.5
Dolphins +2.5
Titans +6.5
Lions +7

*1 Unit Pick*
Saints -2.5

**The Knuckleballer** · 09-22-2012, 11:29 PM

Week 3 NFL Picks

Overall Record (7-6-0) .4 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (0-0) 0 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (5-5) -1.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (2-1) 1.6 Units

Total Unit Based Record (12.7-12.3-0) .4 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (50.80%)

The NFL lines are tight this year. In fact, my system has just one 1 Unit Pick for Sunday. Good luck and enjoy the games!

*1 Unit Pick*
Texans -2

**The Knuckleballer** · 09-24-2012, 01:33 PM

Week 3 NFL Picks Continued

Overall Record (8-6-0) 1.4 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (0-0) 0 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (5-5) -1.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (3-1) 2.6 Units

Total Unit Based Record (13.7-12.3-0) 1.4 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (52.69%)

We went 1-0 yesterday adding a 1 Unit to our winnings. The lines are very tight this week, but I have a 2 Unit Pick to add to my Week 3 card tonight. Per my rankings, the Seahawks have the fourth most effective defense in the NFL this season. Fade the public and take the points. My system has the Seahawks winning 20-17 at home. Good luck!

**2 Unit Pick**
Seahawks +3.5

**snowphoto** · 09-24-2012, 05:47 PM

I like it. GL Knuckler

**The Knuckleballer** · 09-27-2012, 05:02 PM

Week 4 NFL Picks

Overall Record (9-6-0) 3.4 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (0-0) 0 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (6-5) .8 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (3-1) 2.6 Units

Total Unit Based Record (15.7-12.3-0) 3.4 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (56.07%)

We went 2-0 in the NFL last week and picked up 3 Units. Tonight, my system has the Browns keeping this game within a touchdown. Take the points and enjoy the game. Good luck!

**2 Unit Pick**
Browns +12

**The Knuckleballer** · 09-30-2012, 11:12 AM

Week 4 NFL Picks Continued

Overall Record (10-6-0) 5.4 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (0-0) 0 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (7-5) 2.8 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (3-1) 2.6 Units

Total Unit Based Record (17.7-12.3-0) 5.4 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (59.00%)

Another week of tight lines filled with 1 Unit and 2 Unit Picks. Vegas is giving the Texans too much credit. Look for Locker and the Titans to cover with ease today. My system has this game decided by less than a touchdown. Good luck and enjoy the games!

**2 Unit Pick**
Titans +13

*1 Unit Picks*
Chargers -2
Seahawks -2.5
Bengals +1.5
Saints +7.5

**The Knuckleballer** · 10-01-2012, 07:22 AM

Week 4 Picks Continued

Overall Record (13-8-0) 5.1 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (0-0) 0 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (7-6) .6 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (6-2) 4.5 Units

Total Unit Based Record (20.7-15.6-0) 5.1 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (57.02%)

We went 3-2 yesterday, but we lost .3 Units. Tonight, my system has the Bears picking up the "W" in Dallas. It will likely be a close game decided by defense. Sure the Cowboys have allowed just 250 yards per game, but they have also given up 18 points per game. The Bears have allowed 279 yards per game, but they have given up just 16.7 points. Take the points and enjoy the game. Who knows, maybe this will be a breakout game for Cutler and Marshall. Good luck!

*1 Unit Pick*
Bears +3.5

**The Knuckleballer** · 10-04-2012, 08:01 AM

Week 5 NFL Picks

Overall Record (14-8-0) 6.1 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (0-0) 0 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (7-6) .6 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (7-2) 5.5 Units

Total Unit Based Record (21.7-15.6-0) 6.1 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (58.18%)

We capped off Week 4 with a Monday Night winner. Tonight, we will kick off Week 5 with a Thursday Night winner. My system has the Cardinals winning by 5+ points. The Cardinals should finally get their running game going tonight against the Rams very poor rush defense. This paired with the effectiveness of the Cardinals defense should be more than enough to cover the 1.5 point spread. Good luck and enjoy the games!

*1 Unit Pick*
Cardinals -1.5

**The Knuckleballer** · 10-07-2012, 10:06 AM

Week 5 NFL Picks Continued

Overall Record (14-9-0) 5 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (0-0) 0 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (7-6) .6 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (7-3) 4.4 Units

Total Unit Based Record (21.7-16.7-0) 5 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (56.51%)

Week 6 in College Football was basically a wash. Time to regain some momentum. My system has the Seahawks knocking off the Panthers on the road today. Not much value in the moneyline, so take the points. Also, look for the Dolphins and Bills to keep their games within the number as well. San Fransisco is getting a little too much credit for demolishing the Jets, and this line is inflated by 4-5 points. Should be a great day to watch some football. Good luck!

***3 Unit Pick***
Seahawks +2

**2 Unit Picks**
Dolphins +3.5
Bills +10

**joepa66** · 10-07-2012, 10:13 AM

Agree on the Fish and Bison....GL Knuckler! :thumbs:

**The Knuckleballer** · 10-14-2012, 08:54 AM

Week 6 NFL Picks

Overall Record (16-10-0) 7.8 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (1-0) 3 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (8-7) .4 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (7-3) 4.4 Units

Total Unit Based Record (26.7-18.9-0) 7.8 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (58.55%)

I have four picks on tap today. As usual, the NFL lines are very tight this week, so we don't have any picks valued at more than 2 Units. My system has the Raiders and Chiefs keeping it within the number today. Both of these lines are inflated. The public loves the Falcons, which leads to inflated lines that provide with value. The Chiefs are undervalued, because they will be missing their starting QB. Should be a good day for some football. Good luck!

**2 Unit Picks**
Raiders +10
Chiefs +4

*1 Unit Picks*
Lions +3.5
Packers +3.5

**The Knuckleballer** · 10-18-2012, 12:55 PM

Week 7 NFL Picks

Overall Record (19-11-0) 9.6 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (1-0) 3 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (9-8) .2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (9-3) 6.4 Units

Total Unit Based Record (30.7-21.1-0) 9.6 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (59.27%)

We finished last week in the black, and we hope to start Week 7 with a bang. My system has the Seahawks losing by less than 5 points tonight. Take the points and enjoy the game!

*1 Unit Pick*
Seahawks +8.5

Knuckleballers 2012-2013 NFL Tracking Thread