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Another thing.. props to Udog for the talk about the DET/CAR overs in the discussion thread, I remember his comment from a previous week about how different Carolina plays on the road vs home, and Detroit got a real nice comeback with the help of Kevin Smith.. but the total was over 3/4 there at half. Nice to see that.
I'm definitely taking into account fading the public in both college and NFL the last couple of weeks... this is what got me into deep trouble early on the season in both sports as the public was killing it; but it's an angle I'm now finding out after my third full year betting.
NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
Updated on 01/13/18
--- One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.
I'm definitely taking into account fading the public in both college and NFL the last couple of weeks... this is what got me into deep trouble early on the season in both sports as the public was killing it; but it's an angle I'm now finding out after my third full year betting.
Where do you find the statistics that you're using for this? I question the truth of the numbers provided by the books. Do you use line movements as your indicator of what side the public is on?
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