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Recap: 0-1
Record: 3-4
Review: Lost with Miami at NYJ.
Apologies for the lack of articles recently, dealing with some health issues - frozen shoulder. Can't write. Using the mic on my cell phone makes it a little easier so that's what I'm doing here.
At the start of the postseason for each sport I always mention that the systems I have that worked during the regular season don't necessarily work in the postseason.
Example WF2 has a record of 29-40 for home teams during the regular season. That's a solid Fade, 58%.
So far the postseason we've had two spots that qualify. Houston at home last week and LA Rams.
So WF2 postseason is 2-0.
And one game qualifies this week - Buffalo.
WF1 also has Buffalo qualifying today as a play.
WF1 at home this year was 13-17.
No games qualified last week.
When I get a match between the two systems on home games the record for the regular season was 9-14.
So three of my handicapping methods are good Fades, 29-40, 13-17, and 9-14 when they match.
Against the postseason record of 2-0.
The numbers say I should take Baltimore, but it is a problem - gut feel tells me to take Josh Allen and the Bills.
So what am I going to play?
Hell if I know.
Thankfully I've got about 24 hours to figure it out.
When I do, I'll post my play in here.
As for today's games?
All year long I've waited for the Kansas City of all to show up and blow out an opponent and was disappointed game after game. Is today the day?
Everybody knows Andy Reid with an extra week of prep time is deadly. But nine and a half is a lot of points to lay.
The obvious play looks to be tease the Chiefs and the Lions. I had a 14 teaser last week and I don't feel like pushing my luck, and I don't like betting the obvious.
Four hours until game time, I'm going to keep looking at this one too, if I come up with something I'll post a play.
Good luck to all of you this weekend.
Update: Added forum record, top of post.
Record: 3-4
Review: Lost with Miami at NYJ.
Apologies for the lack of articles recently, dealing with some health issues - frozen shoulder. Can't write. Using the mic on my cell phone makes it a little easier so that's what I'm doing here.
At the start of the postseason for each sport I always mention that the systems I have that worked during the regular season don't necessarily work in the postseason.
Example WF2 has a record of 29-40 for home teams during the regular season. That's a solid Fade, 58%.
So far the postseason we've had two spots that qualify. Houston at home last week and LA Rams.
So WF2 postseason is 2-0.
And one game qualifies this week - Buffalo.
WF1 also has Buffalo qualifying today as a play.
WF1 at home this year was 13-17.
No games qualified last week.
When I get a match between the two systems on home games the record for the regular season was 9-14.
So three of my handicapping methods are good Fades, 29-40, 13-17, and 9-14 when they match.
Against the postseason record of 2-0.
The numbers say I should take Baltimore, but it is a problem - gut feel tells me to take Josh Allen and the Bills.
So what am I going to play?
Hell if I know.
Thankfully I've got about 24 hours to figure it out.
When I do, I'll post my play in here.
As for today's games?
All year long I've waited for the Kansas City of all to show up and blow out an opponent and was disappointed game after game. Is today the day?
Everybody knows Andy Reid with an extra week of prep time is deadly. But nine and a half is a lot of points to lay.
The obvious play looks to be tease the Chiefs and the Lions. I had a 14 teaser last week and I don't feel like pushing my luck, and I don't like betting the obvious.
Four hours until game time, I'm going to keep looking at this one too, if I come up with something I'll post a play.
Good luck to all of you this weekend.
Update: Added forum record, top of post.
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