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A couple reasons why I wouldn't touch GB with a ten foot pole today. One is the line opened at 7 and has been climbing all week, some shops have moved this line 4.5 pts, right across key numbers. Now you have to lay double digits in a divisional game with GB headed into the bye. They also went on cruise control 2ndh vs the Rams, and with the Vikings off a horrid performance I think they could come out fired up. I really don't see much of a reason for GB to win convincingly, and many of my wagers are motivation/situation based. AP off a non performance, I think he will be motivated, as this is HIS offense. With Ponder in (if they are smart) Minny likely stays conservative and ap gets 30+ touches
Good assessment on this Udog... just want to clarify something, or get your input if possible?
Are you saying Vegas sets the opening line at a TD and it's been public money moving the line up so far? Obviously that's the case, but how does this influence you to stay away from the line? I guess I don't understand that.
Ponder made some rookie mistakes, didn't force too many balls, but also threw 20 incompletions. AP had a stellar day.
NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
Updated on 01/13/18
--- One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.
I don't see value in playing a line at it's worst (like playing Gb at anything over 7/7.5). I just think NFL lines are so tight you need to get the best of them.
Ponder looked pretty good, going to be an interesting line @ the Panthers next week. AP yards over may be in play once again
Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...
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