***The Knuckleballer's 2011-2012 NFL Tracking Thread***

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  • 419gottamin
    Member
    • Apr 2011
    • 382

    #31
    Does your system also tell you whether to make the pick a 1,2,3,4 or 5 unit play, or is that a decision that you make? Just curious.

    Comment

    • The Knuckleballer
      Member
      • Sep 2009
      • 355

      #32
      Sunday, December 11, 2011

      Overall Record (51-34-0) 11.6 Units
      *****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
      ****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
      ***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
      **2 Unit Picks** (19-12) 11.6 Unit
      *1 Unit Picks* (26-14) 10.6 Units

      Total Unit Based Record (82-70.4-0) 11.6 Units
      Risk Adj. Winning % (53.81%)


      My system is heating up, and I have four picks on tap for Sunday. Can Tebow keep winning? My system has the Bears v. Broncos game capped at Bears -3.5 with a total of 45.5. Take the Bears and the Over. Good luck and enjoy the games!

      ***3 Unit Pick***
      Bears +3

      **2 Unit Picks**
      Bears/Broncos Over 35.5
      Bills +8

      *1 Unit Pick*
      Texans +2.5

      Comment

      • The Knuckleballer
        Member
        • Sep 2009
        • 355

        #33
        419gottamin- Thanks for the question. My system determines the strength of the pick. Certain predetermined criteria must be met in order for a pick to become worth more units. Good luck tomorrow!

        Comment

        • The Knuckleballer
          Member
          • Sep 2009
          • 355

          #34
          Sunday, December 18, 2011

          Overall Record (52-36-1) 7.9 Units
          *****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
          ****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
          ***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7-1) -5.4 Units
          **2 Unit Picks** (19-14) 7.2 Unit
          *1 Unit Picks* (27-14) 11.6 Units

          Total Unit Based Record (83-74.8-.3) 7.9 Units
          Risk Adj. Winning % (52.50%)


          Today, I have a plethora of picks. The Giants picked up a much needed victory last week against the Cowboys, but I expect a mild hangover as they face the Redskins today. Helu has reinvigorated this Redskins team. My system has the Giants winning by less than a field goal. Take the Redskins at +6 and enjoy the game. Good luck!

          ***3 Unit Pick***
          Redskins +6

          **2 Unit Picks**
          Dolphins +2
          Seahawks/Bears Over 35
          Browns +6.5

          *1 Unit Picks*
          Lions -1
          Jets +3

          Comment

          • The Knuckleballer
            Member
            • Sep 2009
            • 355

            #35
            Thursday, December 22, 2011

            Overall Record (56-37-2) 15.7 Units
            *****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
            ****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
            ***3 Unit Picks*** (7-7-1) -2.4 Units
            **2 Unit Picks** (22-14) 13.2 Unit
            *1 Unit Picks* (27-15-1) 10.4 Units

            Total Unit Based Record (92-75.9-.4) 15.7 Units
            Risk Adj. Winning % (54.66%)


            Week 15 was a lot of fun. My system has tonight's game capped at Texans -10.5 with a total of 42.5. Take the Texans at -7 and enjoy the game!

            *1 Unit Pick*
            Texans -7

            Comment

            • The Knuckleballer
              Member
              • Sep 2009
              • 355

              #36
              Saturday, December 24, 2011

              Overall Record (56-38-2) 14.6 Units
              *****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
              ****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
              ***3 Unit Picks*** (7-7-1) -2.4 Units
              **2 Unit Picks** (22-14) 13.2 Unit
              *1 Unit Picks* (27-16-1) 9.3 Units

              Total Unit Based Record (92-77-.4) 14.6 Units
              Risk Adj. Winning % (54.31%)


              Merry Christmas! I have four Christmas Eve picks on tap. My system has the Browns v. Ravens game capped at Ravens -6.5 with a total of 37. Take the Browns at +12 and enjoy the games. Good luck!

              ***3 Unit Pick***
              Browns +12

              *1 Unit Picks*
              Dolphins +9
              Vikings +7
              Jaguars +7.5

              Comment

              • The Knuckleballer
                Member
                • Sep 2009
                • 355

                #37
                Monday, December 26, 2011

                Overall Record (60-38-2) 20.6 Units
                *****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
                ****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
                ***3 Unit Picks*** (8-7-1) .6 Units
                **2 Unit Picks** (22-14) 13.2 Units
                *1 Unit Picks* (30-16-1) 12.3 Units

                Total Unit Based Record (98-77-.4) 20.6 Units
                Risk Adj. Winning % (55.87%)


                I hope everyone had a wonderful Christmas! Saturday was full of winners, and I hope to continue that trend tonight with a 2 Unit Pick. My system has the Saints at -3. Take the points and watch the Falcons keep this game closer than the "experts" think. Good luck!

                **2 Unit Pick**
                Falcons +7

                Comment

                • The Knuckleballer
                  Member
                  • Sep 2009
                  • 355

                  #38
                  Sunday, January 1, 2012

                  Overall Record (60-39-2) 18.4 Units
                  *****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
                  ****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
                  ***3 Unit Picks*** (8-7-1) .6 Units
                  **2 Unit Picks** (22-15) 11 Units
                  *1 Unit Picks* (30-16-1) 12.3 Units

                  Total Unit Based Record (98-79.2-.4) 18.4 Units
                  Risk Adj. Winning % (55.18%)


                  We are coming off of a great 4-2 week in the NFL. This Sunday, I have a plethora of 1 Unit Picks. No time for write ups. Good luck!

                  ***3 Unit Picks***
                  Bucs +13
                  Cowboys +3

                  *1 Unit Picks*
                  Redskins +9.5
                  Lions/Packers Over 45
                  Packers +3
                  Bills +11.5
                  Texans +3
                  Bears/Vikings Over 41
                  Chargers +3
                  Last edited by The Knuckleballer; 12-30-2011, 01:56 AM. Reason: typo

                  Comment

                  • The Knuckleballer
                    Member
                    • Sep 2009
                    • 355

                    #39
                    Wild Card Weekend

                    Overall Record (64-44-2) 12.5 Units
                    *****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
                    ****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
                    ***3 Unit Picks*** (8-9-1) -6 Units
                    **2 Unit Picks** (22-15) 11 Units
                    *1 Unit Picks* (34-19-1) 13 Units

                    Total Unit Based Record (102-89.1-.4) 12.5 Units
                    Risk Adj. Winning % (53.26%)


                    Week 17 is alway tough, but after much anticipation the Playoffs are here. I have two picks this weekend. First, my system has the Lions losing by less than a touchdown in New Orleans. Take the Lions and +10.5 and enjoy the game. Also, I have my first 4 Unit Pick of the season tomorrow with the Falcons beating the Giants straight up. Take the Falcons at +3 (you won't need the points) and watch as Roddy White and Julio Jones both have big games against the Giants secondary. Good Luck!

                    ****4 Unit Pick****
                    Falcons +3

                    *1 Unit Pick*
                    Lions +10.5

                    Comment

                    • The Knuckleballer
                      Member
                      • Sep 2009
                      • 355

                      #40
                      Divisional Playoffs

                      Overall Record (64-46-2) 7 Units
                      *****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
                      ****4 Unit Picks**** (0-1) -4.4 Units
                      ***3 Unit Picks*** (8-9-1) -6 Units
                      **2 Unit Picks** (22-15) 11 Units
                      *1 Unit Picks* (34-20-1) 11.9 Units

                      Total Unit Based Record (102-94.6-.4) 7 Units
                      Risk Adj. Winning % (51.78%)


                      I have five picks for the Divisional Playoff matchups this weekend. Per my Power Rankings, the 49ers are the best team in the NFL with the 2nd most efficient offense and the 1st most effective defense. Today's matchup against the Saints will be a challenge, but the wrong team is favored. For the first time this season, I will be picking the 49ers at +3.5 for 2 Units and pairing it with a 1 Unit Pick on the 49ers moneyline at +165. Look for the 49ers to squeek out a victory at home. I have a similar pick on tap tomorrow with the Texans at +7.5 and the moneyline at +305. Good luck and enjoy the games!

                      **2 Unit Picks**
                      49ers +3.5
                      Texans +7.5

                      *1 Unit picks*
                      Broncos '+13.5
                      49ers ML +165
                      Texans ML +305

                      Comment

                      • The Knuckleballer
                        Member
                        • Sep 2009
                        • 355

                        #41
                        Championship Sunday

                        Overall Record (67-48-2) 10.55 Units
                        *****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
                        ****4 Unit Picks**** (0-1) -4.4 Units
                        ***3 Unit Picks*** (8-9-1) -6 Units
                        **2 Unit Picks** (24-15) 15 Units
                        *1 Unit Picks* (35-22-1) 11.45 Units

                        Total Unit Based Record (107.65-96.9-.4) 10.55 Units
                        Risk Adj. Winning % (52.53%)


                        We picked up some units last weekend, which is always fun. This weekend, we have 3 picks on tap with the largest being a 2 Unit Pick on the Ravens at +7. My system has this game capped as a pickem. Thus, there is also some value in the moneyline. Good luck and enjoy the games!

                        **2 Unit Pick**
                        Ravens +7

                        *1 Unit Picks*
                        Ravens ML +275
                        49ers -2.5

                        Comment

                        • The Knuckleballer
                          Member
                          • Sep 2009
                          • 355

                          #42
                          Super Bowl Sunday

                          Overall Record (68-50-2) 10.45 Units
                          *****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
                          ****4 Unit Picks**** (0-1) -4.4 Units
                          ***3 Unit Picks*** (8-9-1) -6 Units
                          **2 Unit Picks** (25-15) 17 Units
                          *1 Unit Picks* (35-24-1) 9.35 Units

                          Total Unit Based Record (109.65-99.2-.4) 10.45 Units
                          Risk Adj. Winning % (52.40%)


                          Super Bowl Sunday is finally here, and my system has one HUGE 5 Unit Pick on tap. I am shocked that the public isn't pouring money on the Patriots in this situation. My system has this game capped at Patriots -6 with a total of 51.5. All season, analysts have bashed te Patriots defense, but according to my ratings the Patriots have the second most effective defense in the NFL. They may give up more yards than any other team, but the end result is ok. The Giants defense isn't has effective, and their offense isn't very efficient. Look for the Patriots to win by 7+ points today with Tom Brady throwing for at least 3 touchdowns. Good luck and enjoy the game!

                          *****5 Unit Pick*****
                          Patriots -2.5

                          Comment

                          • The Knuckleballer
                            Member
                            • Sep 2009
                            • 355

                            #43
                            Super Bowl Sunday

                            add:

                            **2 Unit Pick**
                            Patriots -.5 1st Half

                            Comment

                            • The Knuckleballer
                              Member
                              • Sep 2009
                              • 355

                              #44
                              2011-2012 NFL Summary

                              Overall Record (69-51-2) 6.95 Units
                              *****5 Unit Picks***** (0-2) -11 Units
                              ****4 Unit Picks**** (0-1) -4.4 Units
                              ***3 Unit Picks*** (8-9-1) -6 Units
                              **2 Unit Picks** (26-15) 19 Units
                              *1 Unit Picks* (35-24-1) 9.35 Units

                              Total Unit Based Record (111.65-104.7-.4) 6.95 Units
                              Risk Adj. Winning % (51.51%)


                              Not a terrible 2011-2012 NFL season, but far from great. We finished in the black with an ROI of 3.21%. Looking to hone in on the strongest picks this season and accumulate units with 1st half and moneyline picks. Best wishes and please watch for my 2012-2013 NFL thread!

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