***The Knuckleballer's 2011-2012 NFL Tracking Thread***

[The Knuckleballer]

Sunday, October 30, 2011

Overall Record (27-20-0) -2.2 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (4-7) -11.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (9-8) .4 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (14-5) 8.5 Units

Total Unit Based Record (44-46.2-0) -2.2 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (48.78%)

My system is cold as ice, but I will continue to plug and chug until it comes out of this funk. It is only a matter of time until we get back on track with a string of winning weeks. The public loves the Giants today, because they are playing the woeful Dolphins. Fade the public on this pick and take the Dolphins at +9.5. My system has this game capped at Giants -5.5. Good luck and enjoy today's games!

***3 Unit Pick***
Dolphins +9.5

**2 Unit Pick**
Patriots/Steelers Under 52.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Cowboys +3
Lions/Broncos Over 42.5

[The Knuckleballer]

Sunday, November 6, 2011

Overall Record (30-21-0) 2.7 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (5-7) -8.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (10-8) 2.4 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (15-6) 8.4 Units

Total Unit Based Record (50-47.3-0) 2.7 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (51.39%)

Last week, we went 3-1 and put ourselves back in the black this season. Today, my system has six picks on tap. Look for Seattle to keep it close against Dallas today. My system has this game capped at Dallas -3.5 with a total of 42. Take the Seahawks at +11 and watch for them to keep it within a touchdown. The Cowboys inability to stop teams on 3rd down will hurt them today and allow the Seahawks to win the all important 3rd down battle. The Cowboys will likely walk away with a "W", but 11 points is too much in this matchup. Good luck and enjoy today's action!

***3 Unit Pick***
Seahawks +11

**2 Unit Picks**
Browns +10.5
Ravens +3.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Bengals +2.5
Broncos/Raiders Over 42.5
Giants +9.5

[joepa66]

GL today Knuckler!

[The Knuckleballer]

Monday, November 7, 2011

Overall Record (35-22-0) 8.5 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (11-9) 2.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (18-6) 11.4 Units

Total Unit Based Record (58-49.5-0) 8.5 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (53.95%)

After a 5-1 Sunday, I have one small pick tonight. My system has tonight's game capped at Eagles -1 with a total of 46.5. Several factors are preventing this from becoming a multi-unit pick, but I would encourage you to take the Bears at +8. Then, sit back and enjoy some hard hitting Monday Night Football. Will it compare to last nights game? Doubtful, but it should be fun. Good luck!

*1 Unit Pick*
Bears +8

[bluedevil12]

Nice job yesterday Knuckler, I like the Bears as well

[The Knuckleballer]

Thursday, November 10, 2011

Overall Record (36-22-0) 9.5 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (11-9) 2.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (19-6) 12.4 Units

Total Unit Based Record (59-49.5-0) 9.5 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (54.38%)

Last weekend was a lot of fun. We went 6-1 in the NFL and 13-5 in College Football. Tonight, my system has the Raiders v. Chargers game capped at Chargers -1.5 with a total of 50.5. Take the Raiders at +7 and enjoy the game. Good luck!

**2 Unit Pick**
Raiders +7

[The Knuckleballer]

Sunday, November 13, 2011

Overall Record (37-22-0) 11.5 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (12-9) 4.2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (19-6) 12.4 Units

Total Unit Based Record (61-49.5-0) 11.5 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (55.20%)

Sunday's card is providing very little value. Thus, I have just one 2 Unit Pick and four 1 Unit Picks. Can we get a clean sweep in the NFL this week? Hopefully. My system has the Steelers v. Bengals game capped at Bengals -1.5. Take the points and look for the Bengals to pull off the upset. The Steelers are coming off of an emotional Week 9 loss against the Ravens, and will be traveling into a hostile environment to play against an undervalued Bengals team. In fact, my Power Rankings have the Bengals ranked 6th and the Steelers ranked 20th. Good luck!

**2 Unit Pick**
Bengals +4

*1 Unit Picks*
Broncos +3
Bills +5.5
Cardinals +15
Lions +2.5

[The Knuckleballer]

Monday, November 14, 2011

Overall Record (39-25-0) 9.1 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (12-10) 2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (21-8) 12.2 Units

Total Unit Based Record (63-53.9-0) 9.1 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (53.89%)

Tonight, I have my largest NFL pick of the season. My system has tonight's game capped at Packers -7.5 with a total of 51.5. The underdog is 18-7 in the last 25 matchups between these teams. Also, only 2 of the last 10 games between these teams was decided by 13 or more points. Plus, the Vikings have had an extra week to prepare for this Division rivalry game. Look for the Vikings to keep this game within 10 points and come up with a nice cover for us tonight. Good luck and enjoy the MNF!

*****5 Unit Pick*****
Vikings +13

[The Knuckleballer]

Sunday, November 20, 2011

Overall Record (39-26-0) 3.6 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (12-10) 2 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (21-8) 12.2 Units

Total Unit Based Record (63-59.4-0) 3.6 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (51.47%)

Well, my system was way off on on Monday. Time to bounce back with a strong slate of Week 11 picks. This week's lines are pretty tight. I have nothing stronger than some 2 Unit Picks on tap. Good luck and enjoy the action!

**2 Unit Picks**
Seahawks +3
Titans +7
Eagles +5.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Bills +3
Raiders +1.5
Bengals +6.5

[The Knuckleballer]

Monday, November 21, 2011

Overall Record (43-28-0) 8.4 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (15-10) 8 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (22-10) 11 Units

Total Unit Based Record (70-61.6-0) 8.4 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (53.19%)

My system was 4-2 yesterday, and it has a 2 Unit Pick on tap tonight. Should the Patriots be 16.5 point favorites? No! My system has this game capped at Patriots -8 with a total of 45.5. Take the Chiefs and look for them to keep it closer than the "experts" think. Good luck!

**2 Unit Pick**
Chiefs +16.5

[The Knuckleballer]

Thanksgiving 2011

Overall Record (43-29-0) 6.2 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (15-11) 5.8 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (22-10) 11 Units

Total Unit Based Record (70-63.8-0) 6.2 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (52.32%)

I have two small picks on tap for Turkey Day. First, my system has the Dolphins v. Cowboys game capped at Cowboys -2 with a total of 41.5. Second, my system has the 49ers v. Ravens game capped at 49ers -1.5 with a total of 41.5. Thus, you should look to take the underdogs in each game. Good luck and have a great Thanksgiving!

*1 Unit Picks*
Dolphins +7
49ers +3.5

[Nuflava79]

I agree with you on the fins, but I really like the ravens tonight.

GL-Happy Turkey Day!

[The Knuckleballer]

Sunday, November 27, 2011

Overall Record (44-30-0) 6.1 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (15-11) 5.8 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (23-11) 10.9 Units

Total Unit Based Record (71-64.9-0) 6.2 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (52.24%)

Sunday's card offers very little value. I have just one 2 Unit Pick on tap. My system has the Vikings v. Falcons game capped at Falcons -4.5 with a total of 46. Take the underdog and have a wonderful Sunday!

**2 Unit Pick**
Vikings +9.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Cardinals +2.5
Bills +9.5
Bears +3
Broncos +5.5

[The Knuckleballer]

Sunday, December 4, 2011

Overall Record (47-32-0) 5.8 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (15-12) 3.6 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (26-12) 12.8 Units

Total Unit Based Record (74-68.2-0) 5.8 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (52.04%)

The lines are tight this week, but my system has five picks on tap. The Broncos defense has looked impressive the last few weeks, while their offense has struggled to put up a lot of points. The public loves the Under in this game at 37, but my system has the total for the Broncos v. Vikings game capped at 45. Take the Over and enjoy watching Tebow put up some points. Good luck!

**2 Unit Picks**
Texans +1
Broncos/Vikings Over 37
Colts +22

*1 Unit Picks*
Bengals +7
Lions +8.5

[The Knuckleballer]

Thursday, December 8, 2011

Overall Record (50-34-0) 9.6 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (6-7) -5.1 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (18-12) 9.6 Unit
*1 Unit Picks* (26-14) 10.6 Units

Total Unit Based Record (80-70.4-0) 9.6 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (53.19%)

Week 14 is upon us, and I have one pick on tap for Thursday Night Football. The Steelers are favored by 14 points against the Browns, but my system has the Steelers winning by just 6 points. Per my rankings, both offenses are relatively inefficient, while both defenses are relatively effective. Expect a hard hitting defensive battle that favors the underdog. Take the points and enjoy the game. Good luck!

**2 Unit Pick**
Browns +14