Week 7 Leans

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  • recovering77
    Public Fader
    • Mar 2007
    • 464

    Week 7 Leans

    Been busy all week so I wasn't able to put these in. But I'll list them here for record keeping.



    Plays:

    LA Chargers -7.5 vs. Jacksonville - Historically, since the Rivers days, the Chargers have had their way with Jacksonville. The coach is already talking benching Minshew. He's a fun, polarizing figure, but sometimes he's just inept. I think this is one those weeks that reminds you that while Minshew has shown many flashes of brilliance, he's not a franchise QB. Chargers in a rout, and the run game pours on at the end of the game. This would be my pick of the week.


    Leans:

    Dallas -1 vs. Washington - As bad as Dallas looked on Monday night, Dalton is better than that. And if you've watched football for the past decade you're know that. Washington got their cover last week. I believe it's going to be wet and rainy today though, and Washington's strength is the defensive line. So based on that analysis, Washington should be the lean, but I like Dallas in a bounce back. Washington is a clusterF even with Rivera. Haskins just got fined for having family over to the team hotel and breaking COVID protocal. Knucklehead.

    NY Jets +10 vs. Buffalo - Kind of a system play here. Line should be higher, and Darnold has games when he looks okay once in a while.

    Raiders +4 vs. Tampa Bay - I've been noticing that teams with COVID outbreaks actually do pretty well. So I'll take the Raiders who had their entire offensive line in quarantine the past 3 days, vs. Tampa Bay who rocked Green Bay on national TV last week.

    New England -3 vs. San Fran - This line is dropping, but I guess I will continue to bet the Patriots this season, even though this is clearly not the Tom Brady led Patriots of the past 2 decades.

    LA Rams -6 vs. Chicago. I've been betting against the rams that last few weeks because they play down to their competition. Well Chicago has a good team and they tend to step it up when they need to.

    Carolina +7 at New Orleans - You bet on Bridgewater for a whole season, I think you come out ahead. I like the spot. I think this is a down year for New Orleans before Brees officially retires at the end. Dunno what the heck is going on with Michael Thomas.


    2020 Season
    12-10 Plays
    8-9-1 Leans
    Last edited by recovering77; 10-25-2020, 10:45 AM.
    2023
    39-39-2 Plays, 26-25 Leans, System Plays (2-1), Half System Plays (2-4)
    Playoffs 6-4 Plays, 4-1 Leans

    2022
    43-46 Plays, 24-28 Leans, 4-4 System Plays, 2-0 Half System Plays
    Playoffs 8-4 plays, 1-2 leans, 1-0 Half System Plays

    2021
    36-29 Plays, 25-31 leans; Playoffs 3-3 Plays, 0-2 leans

    2020
    18-16-1 Plays, 18-18-1 Leans; Playoffs 6-2 Plays, 0-1 Leans

    2019
    15-8 plays, 7-6 leans, 2-1 Heavy MLs
  • recovering77
    Public Fader
    • Mar 2007
    • 464

    #2
    1-0 Plays
    2-3 Leans with LA Rams Pending.

    Dallas is an absolute disaster, and from now on I'm judging New England based on only what I've seen this year and forgetting about the past.
    2023
    39-39-2 Plays, 26-25 Leans, System Plays (2-1), Half System Plays (2-4)
    Playoffs 6-4 Plays, 4-1 Leans

    2022
    43-46 Plays, 24-28 Leans, 4-4 System Plays, 2-0 Half System Plays
    Playoffs 8-4 plays, 1-2 leans, 1-0 Half System Plays

    2021
    36-29 Plays, 25-31 leans; Playoffs 3-3 Plays, 0-2 leans

    2020
    18-16-1 Plays, 18-18-1 Leans; Playoffs 6-2 Plays, 0-1 Leans

    2019
    15-8 plays, 7-6 leans, 2-1 Heavy MLs

    Comment

    • Kevin
      Red Hot and Rollin'
      • Feb 2007
      • 11716

      #3
      Nice call on Jets! That took some balls!

      Comment

      • recovering77
        Public Fader
        • Mar 2007
        • 464

        #4
        Originally posted by Kevin
        Nice call on Jets! That took some balls!
        As my friend would say, even a broken clock is right twice a day. Jets gotta cover once in a while. Next week will be a doozy. I don't remember a +21 favorite not covering in my lifetime, unless it was the Patriots in that 16-0 season.


        1-0 Plays
        3-3 Leans on the week.


        2020 Season
        13-10 Plays
        11-12-1 Leans
        2023
        39-39-2 Plays, 26-25 Leans, System Plays (2-1), Half System Plays (2-4)
        Playoffs 6-4 Plays, 4-1 Leans

        2022
        43-46 Plays, 24-28 Leans, 4-4 System Plays, 2-0 Half System Plays
        Playoffs 8-4 plays, 1-2 leans, 1-0 Half System Plays

        2021
        36-29 Plays, 25-31 leans; Playoffs 3-3 Plays, 0-2 leans

        2020
        18-16-1 Plays, 18-18-1 Leans; Playoffs 6-2 Plays, 0-1 Leans

        2019
        15-8 plays, 7-6 leans, 2-1 Heavy MLs

        Comment

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