btk week 11

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  • Billy The Kid
    Alpine Drive? Big Place!
    • Sep 2008
    • 469

    btk week 11

    Don't usually do this but locked one in early today.

    Colts/Patriots Under 51.5 - Locked it in now because I don't see how the books can move it any higher come Sunday even with the public destined to be on the over. Patriots off a huge offenseive showing in Pittsburgh in front of a national audience on SNF, but the only reason the final score was so high was becuase of the early double digit lead the Pats had, allowing B.R. to throw under neath, raking up chunks of yards and getting into the endzone at least twice becuase of soft coverages. Patriots also benefited from short fields, with the onside kicks, and IMO if the game was closer it would have stayed under. (39 fourth quarter points alone). Pats/Colts know one another to well, and bot have similar recipes for beating each other. Control the clock, and keep the opposing QB off the field. Both teams are also very good at sustaining drives around 6+ minutes and I think that will definitly be the game plan for both sides this weekend. Patriots d looked great last night but they arn't consistant enough to play with that much intensity week in and week out, so I don't think that they have similar success in the 1H, especially on third downs facing Peyton. Both teams lack a stong running game but don't have to much concern for that becuase the short/intermediate passes both teams use are just as effective as running the ball.

    3 units
    NFL '12
  • Billy The Kid
    Alpine Drive? Big Place!
    • Sep 2008
    • 469

    #2
    Dolphins -120 - reasoning in discussion thread


    5 units
    NFL '12

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    • Billy The Kid
      Alpine Drive? Big Place!
      • Sep 2008
      • 469

      #3
      great start to the week, time to bounce back

      Lions +6.5
      Chiefs -7

      4 units each

      Bengals/Bills Over 41.5

      2 units


      3 team 10pt tease

      Ravens -3
      Chiefs +3
      Saints -1.5

      3.9 to win 3
      NFL '12

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