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No home dogs listed this week although New Orleans looks as though they may be by Sunday with the public hitting Pitt pretty hard early. NO off a bad loss at home and Pitt on B2B roadies after winning in Miami look like a NO play for the situation alone. Tough to beat arguably the best D in the league being so one dimensional however.
SF -1 v Broncos (London) - Had my eye on this game last week thinking SF would get beat by Carolina and be dogged against a beatable Denver team. Probably would have been dogs too had the Broncos not stunk up the joint at home to the Raiders. After watching Oakland slam the ball down Denver's throat last week I'm sure the 49ers will pound Gore and force Denver to load the box and open things up for Troy Smith getting his first start this year. Really don't think the switch in QB's changes that much of the 49er offense. Alex Smith hasn't been good at all and Smith will bring more mobility at the position. Only issue I see with a SF play is if they fall behind early and are forced to throw the ball. Last thing they want is Troy Smith in a shootout with a solid Broncos passing attack.
Cowboys -6.5 v Jaguars - Romo out will grab the headlines but John Kitna IMO is capable of putting the ball in the air with recieving group the cowboys have. They will lean on F. Jones (and maybe this is the game the Dallas coaching staff smartens up and gives the ball to Tashard Choice) and should open things up for Kitna to take some chances. Cowboys have been a dissapointment all year and I'm not sure I can back them now after such a demoralizing defeat at home against a divisional rival and loosing their starting QB. But I also don't see where I can bring myself to play the Jags who struggle offensively and are on B2B roadies. Leaning under right now (42.5)
Lions -2 v Redskins - Stafford back this week for Detroit so it will be interesting to see how much rust he has after being out since week 1 v a Skins team that made Jay Cutler look like....well.....Jay Cutler. Lions have been very competetive despite their record and I think they are in a good spot to knock off the Redskins who are off of a road win. Public on the Skins at about a 70% clip. Line is begging for Washing $ IMO
Jets -6 v Packers - Really think the books are making a stand with the Jets here. NY off a bye against a banged up, one dimensional Packer team. Very tough to beat the Jets on the road when you can't run the ball. Revis claims to be 100% witch will make things tough on Jennings who has finally got things going since the injury to Finley. Strong lean on the Jets, and thinking over
Colts -5.5 v Texans - Colts are looking like my favorite play of the week right now. Houston took their "Super Bowl" against their divisin rival week 1 at home and still almost gave the game away in the second half. Arian Foster blew up the Colts D that day so you know they will not be caught off guard this time around. Both teams off of a bye and their is no way I am going to play against Peyton Manning with an extra week to prepare against Houston's awful pass d.
SF -1 v Broncos (London) - Had my eye on this game last week thinking SF would get beat by Carolina and be dogged against a beatable Denver team. Probably would have been dogs too had the Broncos not stunk up the joint at home to the Raiders. After watching Oakland slam the ball down Denver's throat last week I'm sure the 49ers will pound Gore and force Denver to load the box and open things up for Troy Smith getting his first start this year. Really don't think the switch in QB's changes that much of the 49er offense. Alex Smith hasn't been good at all and Smith will bring more mobility at the position. Only issue I see with a SF play is if they fall behind early and are forced to throw the ball. Last thing they want is Troy Smith in a shootout with a solid Broncos passing attack.
Cowboys -6.5 v Jaguars - Romo out will grab the headlines but John Kitna IMO is capable of putting the ball in the air with recieving group the cowboys have. They will lean on F. Jones (and maybe this is the game the Dallas coaching staff smartens up and gives the ball to Tashard Choice) and should open things up for Kitna to take some chances. Cowboys have been a dissapointment all year and I'm not sure I can back them now after such a demoralizing defeat at home against a divisional rival and loosing their starting QB. But I also don't see where I can bring myself to play the Jags who struggle offensively and are on B2B roadies. Leaning under right now (42.5)
Lions -2 v Redskins - Stafford back this week for Detroit so it will be interesting to see how much rust he has after being out since week 1 v a Skins team that made Jay Cutler look like....well.....Jay Cutler. Lions have been very competetive despite their record and I think they are in a good spot to knock off the Redskins who are off of a road win. Public on the Skins at about a 70% clip. Line is begging for Washing $ IMO
Jets -6 v Packers - Really think the books are making a stand with the Jets here. NY off a bye against a banged up, one dimensional Packer team. Very tough to beat the Jets on the road when you can't run the ball. Revis claims to be 100% witch will make things tough on Jennings who has finally got things going since the injury to Finley. Strong lean on the Jets, and thinking over
Colts -5.5 v Texans - Colts are looking like my favorite play of the week right now. Houston took their "Super Bowl" against their divisin rival week 1 at home and still almost gave the game away in the second half. Arian Foster blew up the Colts D that day so you know they will not be caught off guard this time around. Both teams off of a bye and their is no way I am going to play against Peyton Manning with an extra week to prepare against Houston's awful pass d.
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