***NFL Week 6 Discussion***

[Underdog88]

where are udog and stifler moms this week....:dunno:

been a busy week but I'm here...


Regarding the Broncos/Jets game....I don't think I want to fade the Jets. Denver absolutely has a great passing attack. The Jets may have an overrated pass D, but they still have IMO a top 5 defense. I think that in order tp beat them, you better have a balanced attack and a defense that can stop the run. Does Denver have either? They allowed 233 on the ground to the Ravens, 121 to Tenn, 134 to Jax. Even seattle ran for 109 5.5 ypc vs Denver. I can see the Jets just going straight ground and pound, and if it turns into that kind of game, the Jets will win TOP and keep Orton off the field. Situationally it may be a good spot for Denver, off a road loss but back at home sweet home plus they need it more. jets could be in letdown mode off a MNF win, but heading into the bye this week so who knows.

[Underdog88]

Been thinking hard about the Saints game, and I think they are the right side. Bucs situational spot is sooooo bad! Not even just the win on the road as big dogs....they catch the Saints off a loss to boot. The only "real" team they have faced thumped them, though yeas it was a premier defense. If ever there was motivation for the Saints to come out and make a statement, this would be the time. I backed off the Falcons last week though I knew it was the right side, thinking the Saints cover as a road fave this week...

[Underdog88]

with Denver missing 4 guys on defense plus they can't generate a pass rush to save their ass this year with Hounds of Dumervilles out......throw in Revis missing and a frankly low total at 41.....isn't the over in play??
:=

I have one problem with this total... it looks easy. If it was set at 45 I would have already played the over, just looks like they want over action. Why would they set a line that Denver has beat every game & Jets have beat from week 2 on?

[Daws1089]

Anyone got a strong opinion on the SEA/CHI game? Line has come off of 7 and ive seen it even as low as -6. If anything I thought this would go up. Do I think SEA can win @ CHI? not really, but not a ton of confidence in this spread by the books.

[Woody12]

Has anyone commented on the Browns TT UNDER 12?

Think they are doing well if they get to 10.

McCoy vs. Pitt D....

?

[hodown]

Seattle coming off bye and the Bears coming off a road win I guess. Bears defense has been lockdown this year and Seattle traveling east, I will most likely be backing Chicago.

[hodown]

Still have yet to pull the trigger on anything besides the Colts. A bunch of leans but waiting for some of you guys to show your plays first. This may be a bad spot for the Giants, coming off two pretty big wins. The Lions are pretty competent too, with 3 of 4 losses within 1 TD and the Vikes loss by 14. Calvin is probable, and I think this may be a play for me.

Pitt is interesting, but I'm not in the business of laying 2 TD's in the NFL and expecting to come out on top often.

The Vikes/Cowboys line is intriguing as well. Absolute must win situation for both teams, the Vikes are at home, and they're only laying -1.5??? That line smells like sh*t, which usually means go the other way.

As far as Chicago goes, -6 and -6.5 and soft 7 has been a death sentence for the favorite this year. All three -7's last week in the afternoon games lost. Their record is smoke and mirrors and I don't really trust them, but Seattle has been a good fade and in pick the winner situation.

KC looks like the play against Houston, but I don't know if I have the balls to go there. KC playing their second consecutive road game, and Houston coming off of an embarrassing loss. That makes me second guess KC.

[Daws1089]

I'm off of Denver now. The line moved to -3.5 and that is bad news imo.

I still think SEA is the play, but I just don't have the balls to play them off the bye on the road at 1pm.


Really like DAL. Seriously, MIN can't even muster a -3 line at home against a team with the same record? Favre will dissappoint.

[Underdog88]

I think the Broncos are the correct side. Opted for team over, but will have Broncos in parlay. Could be the game Sanchise decides to turn the ball over....