NFL Monday

**BoilerBacker** · 09-13-2010, 10:55 PM

unwritten rule of NFL betting.

If a fave is a bigger fave at the half than it is for the game.....bet the dog in 2H

Add

Kansas City +7 2H -130 .................................2*

GL :beerbang:

**FlyersFan** · 09-13-2010, 11:39 PM

Originally posted by BoilerBacker

Terrible Sunday.

Nothing went my way. Laid off Houston because they always historically screw me vs. Indy and they win straight up. Dallas and Wash go up and down the field without scoring all game. Late safety with Buff. St L tosses INT in red zone with 2 mins left. Phil runs Vick up middle on 4th down. Cleveland does not score a pt in the 2nd half.

New day, new dollar.

3-6-2 -8.55 units

Kansas City +5 .................................................. .......4*

GL :beerbang:

:beerbang:.......GL!...this season....:thumbs:

**Franchise** · 09-14-2010, 11:32 AM

Originally posted by BoilerBacker

unwritten rule of NFL betting.

If a fave is a bigger fave at the half than it is for the game.....bet the dog in 2H

Add

Kansas City +7 2H -130 .................................2*

GL :beerbang:

Is that something that you use quite a bit in your halftime plays? Do you factor in your original play if any in your decision making?

**sk35** · 09-14-2010, 05:42 PM

This is what I picked up from this site few years ago.

Bet the underdog when the favored team (for the game) is favored by more points in the second half than in the game itself.

Explanation: This makes perfect sense. Why would any team be favored by more points in the second half than the game itself? It commonly occurs when the underdog is blowing out the favorite, pulling off a "shocking" upset at halftime. Many bettors have a knee-jerk reaction and automatically go with the favorite in this spot to rebound big in the second half, which is a big mistake. Let�s look at the numbers:

2002 Results: 8-10-3 (44 percent wins)
2003 Results: 6-1-0 (86 percent wins)
20-Year Results: 56 percent wins

Comments: This continues to be one of the best moneymakers of any halftime angle over the past twenty seasons. However, note that there were far fewer plays in 2003 (just 7) than 2002 (21 plays). I attribute this decline in number of plays to oddsmakers catching on to this angle and adjusting the numbers. It will be interesting to see how many opportunities we have to bet this angle in 2004.