***NFL Week One Discussion***

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  • Underdog88
    I drink your milkshake!!!
    • Mar 2007
    • 13981

    #31
    I like the Saints tonight.

    SB team coming back, no question motivation is there. Line isn't an easy one but what are they supposed to set this at? They are an offensive juggernaut, but many poeple are forgetting how well they ran and chewed up clock to. They can switch gears flawlessly, I think they win and cover, even if it's a close game throughout.
    Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

    Comment

    • Underdog88
      I drink your milkshake!!!
      • Mar 2007
      • 13981

      #32
      Somebody tell me not to play the GB over and why. I keep going over this play, and yeah it's square as hell. At the same time previous matchups show it's a fair line, and I think Kolb will still be able to run this offense. The Eagles were over machines last season at home.


      Think I have to leave Bears/Lions over, line is up 3 pts from open and everyone is on it. Probably still hits but I'm off it.
      Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

      Comment

      • Underdog88
        I drink your milkshake!!!
        • Mar 2007
        • 13981

        #33
        Some notable injury reports



        C Jeff Saturday out for Indy

        Channing Crowder ruled out for the Dolphins
        Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

        Comment

        • Daws1089
          Moderator
          • Mar 2007
          • 7814

          #34
          Not a big deal, but Dexter McCluster is doubtful for KC on mnf


          I'm liking OAK more and more. I really think they have the best shot at the division this year. TENN is one dimensional and if they have a hard time on the ground they won't scare anyone this year. Not sure if OAK is ready to win this game on the road, but 6 pts covers some key numbers. Don't see anyone even considering this play, why not?

          Comment

          • Underdog88
            I drink your milkshake!!!
            • Mar 2007
            • 13981

            #35
            That's a pretty big if when facing the Raiders. I think that even though Oakland took some big strides towards stopping the run, they are still outmatched. Titans should be able to stop the run game and make Oak 1 dimensional, plus I can't trust Campbell. I also think motivation will be really high after the way the Titans started the season last year. I'm thinking blowout
            Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

            Comment

            • Daws1089
              Moderator
              • Mar 2007
              • 7814

              #36
              I figured we'd get atleast -7 or -7.5 line for TENN is that was the case, -6 seems weak to me and TENN defense was horrid for a lot of last year and now they are without Vanden Bosch and Bulluck. I think it's worth a shot.

              Udog, How about Seattle? Line is just begging for SF backers. Not much pass rush on D for SF, I have to think SEA goes to the air this afternoon.

              Comment

              • Underdog88
                I drink your milkshake!!!
                • Mar 2007
                • 13981

                #37
                I lean Seattle, but I already have too many plays in. Going to wait to see what happens in the early ones and take it from there.
                Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

                Comment

                • Daws1089
                  Moderator
                  • Mar 2007
                  • 7814

                  #38
                  I have never seen so many public % sitting at 78 or 79%. I mean some of these lines may get crushed either way. Can't wait to see what happens. Favs and Overs have cleaned up in the nfl the last 2 seasons maybe even 3 seasons, with so many road favs and overs looking tasty today I would have to do a double take on some of them before betting. We all know if it looks too easy, then....

                  For example,

                  I think everyone will be lining up to play SF. Some picked them to win the division and win the NFC, which they very well could, but why hasn't the line for game 1 budged at all with 79% of bettors taking SF?

                  GB, Everyones NFC darling now that MINN is ****ed, line has grown to -3, but has stuck there for awhile. Kolb is doubted by most, but the eagles are very hard to beat at home, especially in openers. I have my doubts about the eagles, but can't ignore a play with a home dog line like this, same goes for BUFF really.

                  Didn't bet this, but CIN/NE over 44.5. Is anyone NOT on this over? jeez. I have not seen a soul on the under and the line hasn't really moved at all, which would worry me if I was on the over. CIN defense is good, top 10 I believe, but CIN loves to run and their offense is just okay. I just don't see an edge on the over..

                  Comment

                  • Nicky Santoro
                    Made Man
                    • Jan 2009
                    • 1628

                    #39
                    Couldn't agree with you more Daws, Joe Public seems to have some inside info:laughing:. That usually scares the piss outta me. I never like siding with them at all. The game that seems to be split right down the middle is Cle/ TB. Gut feeling and homer pick, I like the Brown's straight up at +120. I usually don't play the NFL and won't. Just MHO. I love Delhomme today.
                    NCAAF '12: 11-16-0, -7.90 units.
                    O/U:4-2, +1.80 units.
                    Teasers:
                    Rothstein's leans:
                    Double Digit Home Dogs:9-7-1, +1.30 units.
                    ________________
                    NCAAB Tourney '12: 18-22-0, -2.50 units.
                    O/U: 7-8, -1.70 units.
                    ________________
                    NCAAB '11-'12: 128-123-0, -10.80 units.
                    O/U: 46-38, +2.80 units.
                    Rothstein's "leans":
                    Double Digit Home Dogs: 36-20-3, +13.10 units.

                    Comment

                    • Underdog88
                      I drink your milkshake!!!
                      • Mar 2007
                      • 13981

                      #40
                      Originally posted by Daws1089
                      GB, Everyones NFC darling now that MINN is ****ed
                      I lean GB, but am laying off in favor of the over. On a side note, I think the Vikings will be just fine and will be looking to bet them next week against the Fins.
                      Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

                      Comment

                      • Daws1089
                        Moderator
                        • Mar 2007
                        • 7814

                        #41
                        MINN's schedule is daunting Udog. I think they will have a really hard time down the stretch with the old man and no weapons.

                        Comment

                        • Underdog88
                          I drink your milkshake!!!
                          • Mar 2007
                          • 13981

                          #42
                          I think they need to get Camarillo involved and keep using Shianco. Peterson will be Peterson, and that D is damn tough- they played one hell of a game Thursday.



                          Maroney confirmed out for NE
                          Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

                          Comment

                          • Daws1089
                            Moderator
                            • Mar 2007
                            • 7814

                            #43
                            Couldn't agree more about Camarillo.

                            Julian Edelman OUT for NE

                            Aaron Ross out for NYG

                            Michael Bush OUT for OAK

                            Michael Jenkins OUT for ATL

                            GB road wins last year: Browns, Rams, Lions and Bears....

                            Comment

                            • Q-Unit
                              Offensive Coordinator
                              • Feb 2007
                              • 5184

                              #44
                              Originally posted by Underdog88
                              Some notable injury reports



                              C Jeff Saturday out for Indy
                              really?!
                              thats huge

                              considering Houston now. I hate to bet on them or against them cuz they screw me either way lol

                              I figured it was trivial with the new umpire positioning himself behind the QB, kinda got in Manning's head during the preseason, but I dunno. And there's this SU record of Hou not getting it down against the Colts, but I usually don't consider the trends.

                              very interesting though

                              Saturday is just as important as Manning to this team IMO
                              :hide:

                              "Schooly D is fat cake yo."
                              -Big Pimpin-

                              Comment

                              • Underdog88
                                I drink your milkshake!!!
                                • Mar 2007
                                • 13981

                                #45
                                *Saw that Saturday was out and now I can't find confirmation anywhere!


                                Anyone confirm or deny?????
                                Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

                                Comment

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