NFL Season Win totals

[akatdrake]

Last year we had a similar discussion...

Here's what I have this year, so far:

Minnesota Vikings o9.5 -135 ..... Risking 5.4 to win 4

New Orleans Saints o10.5 +115 ..... Risking 4 to win 4.6



I don't see the Vikings repeating what they did last year, even if Favre returns as the NFC North is going to be especially competitive this year, but ten wins is attainable. For the Saints - I just do not see them slowing down again.

Thoughts guys??

[Badger]

As a Packer fan I hope your Vik-queens burn in hell and Farve breaks his spine.
But 10 wins is certainly attainable as you said.

Of course, if AP is a training camp or preseason casualty (or anyone else for that matter ... Allen, Rice, Hutch or a few other OL's) and suddenly the Detroit's aren't so beatable and 10 becomes a maybe. But you know this, and they won't expose AP too much anyway.

[Kevin]

Speaking of Detroit, I'd probably take the over there with them. Much better team this year that many think.

[xHeroOfTheDayx]

I don't think Minnesota hits 10 this year.

WK1 @ NO
WK2 MIA
WK3 DET
WK4 BYE
WK5 @ NYJ
WK6 DAL
WK7 @ GB
WK8 @ NE
WK9 AZ

The only gimme there SHOULD be Detroit. MIA has gotten better as they are predicted to win 8-9 games, but the Vikings should be able to handle them in the dome.

Those other games are brutal though. Every single one of those away games are going to be extremely hard on them. I can see them losing all. Dallas coming back for revenge will also be a tough test for them. AZ should again be wayyy too much through the air for them again this year as well.

You can't expect the Vikings to have too much confidence after Wk9. They should be physically, and mentally tired. I don't want to say a 2-6 record is likely here, but I think it's possible. More so a 3-5 record after 9 is likely IMO.

The schedule gets a bit easier from then on. But how will the Viking mindset be going into the last games down the stretch? A bunch of these games are winnable, but by no means push overs.

WK10 @ CHI
WK11 GB
WK12 @ WAS
WK13 BUF
WK14 NYG
WK15 CHI
WK16 @ PHI
WK17 @ DET

The Vikings got a freebie last season in WK17, when the Giants layed down for them. No chance of that now, unless Detroit is sitting with home field advantage through the playoffs in WK17 :laughing:

Those are still tough games, considering where the Vikings should be at in that point of the season. Tough games, in tough places. WK13, WK 15, and WK 17 should be in the bag already.

All that considered, 10 wins seems hard as hell IMO. But what do I know? I know you know much more about the NFL than I, so i'm sure you have your reasons.

I do love the Saints over though. They have great tactics, and play a majority of teams who match up terrible against them.

I also like "Raiders Over 6 Wins".

GL man! :thumbs:

[Stifler's Mom]

Buffalo is a tough place for a dome team to play late in the season, but you're right, the Bills should once again suck and the Viqueens should win that one.

The NFL has gotten so blah lately anyway with the lack of parity and all the "NBAlike" player drama that I can't even say as though I'm looking forward to it. Yea, I'll watch because it's basically the only thing on Sundays/Mondays at that time of the year unless you count like WNBA or something, but I'd much rather watch even a mid week MAC college game or hell, maybe even the Sun Belt, LOL

[akatdrake]

Hero, I love the analysis and discussion! I think this will be a tough year, and certainly believe it is a loss of Favre does not come back. But when he does decide to, you bet the total will shoot to 10 or 9.5 will have massive juice. I certainly feel the Vikings won't repeat the luck of the Ravens and 49ers games, but you can't deny the team believed in Favre, and you bet your ass AP's fumbling stops. I wonder if there's a number for AP's fumbles anywhere??

I do feel AP will be back to pre-2010 form, and last year's preseason mantra of having Favre of a game-manager will be more of an issue this year. Elongate the season for Favre so he won't wear down late in the season,. That was obviously the case last year. There's certainly evidence of that with the number of running backs the Vikings have looked at this year. AP, Gearhart, Young, Moats, converting Darius Raynaud, and Harvin... hell, who am I kidding, you know the 'slinger mentality will still be there.

Semi-bottom line: there are many parts of the Vikings that you can use to say they won't hit 9.5, but can you really bet the under with what that offense did last year, and what the defense did with EJ Henderson? I'm a ginormous Vikings fan and will be playing this regardless. :)

Badger, GFY fudgy ;) :thumbs:

Hilarious :)