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Pittsburgh -3.5 +130
3 units
I have been looking at this game and line and thinking a little different than most. Why exactly is the 6-1 team a home dog to the 5-2 one? Granted they are super bowl champions, but Denver beat New England at home, so surely they are going to beat Pittsburgh too, and from what I've seen there are just as many people looking at the game that way as any other.
I see numbers that say the public is on Pittsburgh, but everywhere I look at this forum and others, EVERYONE is on Denver +3. I have seen way more people not only on Denver +3, but calling it a guarantee, etc.
Interesting to me how so many thought Denver was crap and the worst 3-0 team ever, the worst 4-0 team ever, worst 5-0 team ever, etc etc. Now they want to back them? I'm not buying it. Nice start Denver, you're a good team....but you got lucky at CIN, NE was still struggling a bit when they came to town, as was Dallas, and the rest of your schedule was ****. Oakland, Cleveland and San Diego (who is still crap imo....just because they beat the equally crappy Giants yesterday doesn't change my mind), and that's why you're 6-1. You got exposed at BALT, who is a .500 team, and PITTS can do the same.
Lots of concerns. Lang is on PIT & PIT hasn't been real spectacular on the road, to name a few. But those road losses were back when PIT was struggling to run the football, which they seem to have under control now with Mendenhall, and they weren't off a bye week.
The bottom line for me is that I believe big game experience and superior overall talent level and superior coaching wins out here over mere homefield advantage, and all of that, imo, lies with the Steelers, so that's how I played it, even though it's against my normal tendencies to jump on the supposedly anti-public home dog. If i lose, then so be it.
3 units
I have been looking at this game and line and thinking a little different than most. Why exactly is the 6-1 team a home dog to the 5-2 one? Granted they are super bowl champions, but Denver beat New England at home, so surely they are going to beat Pittsburgh too, and from what I've seen there are just as many people looking at the game that way as any other.
I see numbers that say the public is on Pittsburgh, but everywhere I look at this forum and others, EVERYONE is on Denver +3. I have seen way more people not only on Denver +3, but calling it a guarantee, etc.
Interesting to me how so many thought Denver was crap and the worst 3-0 team ever, the worst 4-0 team ever, worst 5-0 team ever, etc etc. Now they want to back them? I'm not buying it. Nice start Denver, you're a good team....but you got lucky at CIN, NE was still struggling a bit when they came to town, as was Dallas, and the rest of your schedule was ****. Oakland, Cleveland and San Diego (who is still crap imo....just because they beat the equally crappy Giants yesterday doesn't change my mind), and that's why you're 6-1. You got exposed at BALT, who is a .500 team, and PITTS can do the same.
Lots of concerns. Lang is on PIT & PIT hasn't been real spectacular on the road, to name a few. But those road losses were back when PIT was struggling to run the football, which they seem to have under control now with Mendenhall, and they weren't off a bye week.
The bottom line for me is that I believe big game experience and superior overall talent level and superior coaching wins out here over mere homefield advantage, and all of that, imo, lies with the Steelers, so that's how I played it, even though it's against my normal tendencies to jump on the supposedly anti-public home dog. If i lose, then so be it.
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