WEEK 7 DISCUSSION

[hodown]

I think both road teams are the better teams here, and after playing the Ravens ML last week I'm done trying to guess when the Vikings lose. I think Dallas doesn't even sniff the playoffs this season, IMO the Falcons win that one....

I agree Atlanta is the better team on a neutral site, not sure in the Pitt/Minny game. Regardless, I don't always think the best team wins in the NFL week in and week out.

[Jcb890]

I've found a 4-play 13-pt. teaser that I like:

NYJ +6 vs. OAK
NYJ vs. OAK OVER 22

- I don't see how there's not 22 points scored in this game and I don't see Oakland winning, nevermind winning by more than 6.

NO +6 vs. MIA
NO vs. MIA OVER 34

- NO is coming off of a big win and has a stellar offense. Can their D stop the Wildcat? I don't know. I think the over of 34 is a pretty solid bet and I think the Saints win this one.

[Details-Details]

Hello all! Have some time this week so I'll try to get involved a little in the discussion....



A couple random thoughts.


GB shouldn't be a big road fave, I don't trust them by any means. Same goes for SD, a road chalk play on them makes zero sense. The Chargers are a slightly above average team. 0-2 ats in the division, plus both wins vs KC last year were by one point. -4.5 on the road begging for Chargers money, but who in their right mind wants to back the Chiefs? Bowe seems to be emerging as the season progresses, he could have a good day. I think for the Ciefs to win/cover, LJ will need to have a decent day. Chargers should be able to throw on KC, over 44 looks like a possibility.

Even LJ could have a good day against this now weak defense. Losing Jamar Williams in middle of the D Line has killed them...SD kinda makes me think of Tennessee with Haynesworth int his regard...except SD has a decent offense.

Rush Yards vs SD this year

vs. raiders 148 rush allowed
vs. ravens 130 rush allow 31 points
vs dolphins 149 rush all 13 points
vs. steelers 177 rush 38 points
vs. broncos 101 r 34 points ( but 2 TD on kickreturns)

MAYBE EVEN LJ CAN GO FOR 100!!!!

SD should score, even with the 32 ranked rush offense


Dolphins- How in the world can anyone go against the Saints? I pick them to go to the SB then played against them last week, off a bye and playing in a statement game how dumb. I have mixed feelings about this game. I think the Saints D is coming into this playing way over their heads. Nearly every game the Saints played this season they have been able to jump ahead early, force the opposing team to become one dimensional and abandon the rush. The Eagles had to throw out the run, as did NY. Miami will never be in the position where they have to abandon the run because the whole offense is based around it. Sounds crazy to say this of Miami's offense, but I think as far as matchups go this could be the biggest test of the Saints D so far. The Fins are damn good when they get running, and have put together 2 straight weeks of scoring 31+ pts. Now off a bye and with a chance to jockey for position in the AFC East (they are @ NYJ next week too), they won't be short on motivation. I would think they look to play ball control, but I won't be involved in any under plays in a Saints game. Still mulling over how to play this one...

I KNOW!!

its always fun takin an under then one team goes for 47 or something...but i think the Dolphins keep this one under with lots of ball control. run run run. and i think they get a few stops on defense with one of the best run D's in the league. Keep brees off the field...I think the Dolphins win this game in the trenches.


U-Dog what you think of this spot for the Bills? Have they gathered any momentum after a nice OT win vs the Jets? They go to Carolina, and I throw last years home record out the window, this team is in shambles. I'd actually have to think long and hard about who Id rather have at QB -- Delhomme or Ryan Fitzpatrick?? yikes -- Steve Smith is the kinda guy who can tear a team apart. The Bills gettin Posulnyzyzyzn back is huge for them....and the Bills know how soft theyre schedule is til week 14...They could go on a little roll starting here..


Any thoughts on the Bills guys?

[daft_picks]

I've found a 4-play 13-pt. teaser that I like:

NYJ +6 vs. OAK
NYJ vs. OAK OVER 22

- I don't see how there's not 22 points scored in this game and I don't see Oakland winning, nevermind winning by more than 6.

Just FYI the score of last week's raiders game was 13-9 exactly :laughing: Gotta think the Jets get at least one TD this time lol cause they'll actually be calling running plays unlike the Eagles last week. :puke:

I do want to say the Oak/NYJ UNDER 35 is one of my favorite plays of the week. The raiders previeous point totals were 7, 6, 3, 10. All of these games went under 35 points except for one when the Giants opened up and scored 44 at will. Lowest total of the week = my favorite.

And about the Bills, I was just thinking about them cause the line got delayed so long. I think Carolina laying 7 points is completely insane, the Bills are a mess themselves but they keep it close when matched more equally. Win by 13 over Tampa, loss by 3 to Cleveland, win by 3 Jets, loss by 1 NE. They got blown out 20+ to Miami and New Orleans because they are way better teams.

CAROLINA IS NOT A GOOD TEAM!! 27th against the rush, 27th most points allowed. THE BILLS ARE ALSO NOT A GOOD TEAM. 32nd against the run, 20th most points allowed. Both have "good" pass defenses because all teams do is run on each other. Delhomme is good for 1 turnover MINIMUM. Buffallo D is getting better slowly, they crumpled Sanchez into nothingness last week. FAR from elite but I don't see how Carolina doesn't turn the ball over at least once (which is probably way lowballing it). But wait here's the best part, the two carolina wins. 3 points over washington :laughing: and 7 over Tampa

So the bills have beaten one good team and Tampa by 13 and the Panthers have beaten the pathetic redskins who are just giving wins away and 7 over tampa.

I know this is long winded but HOW IN THE **** IS CAROLINA LAYING 7 POINTS IN THIS GAME?! This may be a no play for some, sure there are arguments for the Panthers, but I don't see any side but Buffallo being the right one. Maybe vegas upped the line because Fitzpatrick is playing? Could this not be a better thing for the Bills? Now they will run run run run even more and NOT make they're QB win the game. Hell fitzy may even toss a deep ball or two to TO, wouldn't that be novel? Too amazing WR's on this team in Smith***and Owens who are having godawful seasons cause they're QB's cant get them the ball.

Bills +7, I could seriously see them winning this game.

***fantasy football question if anyone is interested. I have the godawful steve smith in a PPR league. Who would you play Smith, Johny Knox of the Bears, or Berrian? I'm getting sick of him, does he bust out finally or do I go with one of these guys who put up decent but not monster numbers. Thanks for any opinions. I hope you're not bored to death reading while I am DEFINITELY making a play on Buffallo this weekend. I hate backing ****ty teams but when 2 play together that's your only option. :bang:

[Daws1089]

How can anyone back the bills here? They gave up 210 rushing yards to thomas jones alone last week and now they have to go against Williams and Stewart with another good offensive line. I can't see BUFF being able to stop the run whatsoever and to me that will lose them the game.

[Reggie Hamlin]

Daws I couldn't agree with you more . Remember the bills got six turnovers from
Sanchize last week and still only scored 16 points in an overtime game. On the road
against the Panthers with the rushing game they have if they don't give the game
away the Panthers should cover. I'll take the home team -7 and the lesser of two evils . :thumbs:

[Underdog88]

Could be Lynch's breakout game for the season. Then again it could be either of Car's rbs. I may have to play the Bills ml small