Ca$hMony's Thanksgiving Picks - Wk13

**gadfly36** · 11-27-2008, 11:00 AM

gl cash

**Ca$hMony** · 11-27-2008, 11:49 PM

Thanks Gadfly!!! I've started out bad but hope to rebound in the most crucial part of my capping existence. Need a little lady luck to keep me under my nut of 2k)

Spread
120.00 100.00
Football - 403 Indianapolis Colts -4 -120 
REASONING: This pick makes me a little nervous. Everyone and their brother is pouding Indy and despite Cleveland's 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 13, they still posses a 14-3 ATS vs. team with winning %. And with Bob Sanders out - it could be a game with Anderson taking the helm with nothing to lose... JLewis has had good games against Indy and the home field advantage could mean trouble. However, I still think Indy can win by a TD or more - I just hope I'm lucky here. Weather shows clear and a cool crisp 27 degrees F....
Prediction: Indy wins/covers 28 - 17 

Spread
240.00 200.00
Football - 392 Buffalo Bills -6 -120 
REASONING: West Coast teams are 0-15 when playing the AM game on the East Coast. NUFF SAID - I HOPE!!! Buffalo is 6-2 ATS when facing an opponent from the NFC. San Francisco struggles when playing in the Eastern Time zone. The 49ers have failed to cover eight straight times when on the road against non-divisional opposition. SF is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 in week 13, 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games, and 2-6 ATS in last 8 overall. SF gave up 35 to Dallas in a Loss, beat StL by 19 and lost to AZ on the road by 5. But their last game on the East coast was NYG and they lost by 12pts.. Hopefully after last weeks' blow out victory over KC, we hope that TEdwards has found his mojo... Like this one purely because of the Westcoast trip in cold Buffalo in late November - a cool and crisp 26 degrees F.
Prediction: Buff wins/covers 28 - 21 

Spread
157.50 150.00
Football - 396 Green Bay Packers -3 -105 
REASONING: Carolina is 2-5 ATS as a small underdog (+3.5 or less). Packers have lost the money just five times in their last 17 games as a favorite. Carolina has covered just twice in its five road games and these stats favor another ATS loss for the Panthers this week. Feel that GB get their playoff run going on the cold tundra of GB in a great divisional matchup. Car is 1-7 ATS in last 8 in Nov., but 6-2 in last 8 in Week 13. Despite underdog having a 6-2-1 ATS in last 9 head-to-head - i think GB has the talent to put the Panthers away. Weather is a cool crisp 38 degrees F with flurries .. Also, Car's last meaningful road tests (@Atl, @TB, and @MINN) were losses and the loss avg. was 17pts. (excluding Oakland win - as they suck - but if you want to include them - the avg. loss was by 10pts. - enough to cover the home field gift of 3.)
Prediction: GB wins/covers 27 - 17 

==For fun==
Parlay
40.00 311.85
Football - Denver Broncos/New York Jets over 46 -140 for Game
Football - Green Bay Packers -3 -115 for Game
Football - New York Giants -3 -125 for Game
Football - Indianapolis Colts -4 -120 for Game

Other notables I like - for the PM games;
-Denver/NYJ OVER 47 ** (NOTE: agree - Cutler and Favre throwing the ball around a LOT)
-Falcons +5.5 (NOTE: with the Chargers losing 4 of their last 5 (and the lone win was a 1pt win over KC who went for 2 vs. the Tie on the final play are reeling and the Falcons are sitting in a good spot for the playoffs. SD almost out of it has lost the luster and fight - (glad i wasted my Fantasy pick on LT) but Turner and Ryan get it done!)
-Steelers +1 ** (NOTE: Best Def in Steelers shows Cassel how championship contenders really play ball - just more than what NWE can handle)
-Minnesota -3 (NOTE: Chicago hurt and reeling - Minn playing well at the right time - there will be no revenge factor here for Chicago - AP all day long with a few tosses by Ferrotte)

GL2 Everyone!!

**Ca$hMony** · 11-30-2008, 12:27 PM

Done - fo sho - AM games that is..

Teaser
130.00 100.00
Football - 392 Buffalo Bills pk for Game
Football - 407 Pittsburgh Steelers +9 for Game

Spread
187.50 150.00
Football - 394 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3 -125

Spread
125.00 100.00
Football - 397 New York Giants -3 -125

GL2A

**Ca$hMony** · 11-30-2008, 04:06 PM

Spread
125.00 100.00
Football - 407 Pittsburgh Steelers +3 -125 buying � for Game

Total
110.00 100.00
Football - 405 Atlanta Falcons/San Diego Chargers under 48 -110 for Game

Ca$hMony's Thanksgiving Picks - Wk13

Ca$hMony's Thanksgiving Picks - Wk13

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