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did pretty well with my early thoughts last week so wanted to get some thoughts on a couple of games....
CIN +6...........i honestly think they win this game SU. If i could grab 7 i would feel even better. Probably worth a ML play, IMO too.
SDG -6............for a team that was supposed to be in the Super Bowl or have a chance, they've played like **** this year. Here we go again with another must win at home. NEP heading west for a 2nd straight week and not sure they cover B2B weeks. If you like the pick the winner thing then i like SDG here.
JAX/DEN Under 48 1/2............i just think this line is high by about 4-5 points. If you like the Over i would say that DEN is the play then because the only way i can see JAX staying in this one is keeping it a 23-17, 23-20 sort of game. Otherwise if it becomes a shootout i like DEN. I think they have more weapons. both teams have sucked ass vs. the number ATS at 1-4 so something has to give.
also wanted to hear some thoughts on that CHI/ATL game. ATL grabbing 2 1/2 looks great if they are the same team that won on the road last week in GB. CHI is playing some good football, though.
DAL/ARI Over49/50........The other intriguing game is the DAL/ARI game at ARI +5/50. DAL doesn't seem to be able to stop anyone and that doesn't bode well for laying 5 points against a team that has scored 20+ points in i believe 12 of their L13 games total and in 13 straight at home dating back to 2006. Total at 50 looks kind of steep but if ARI gets into the 20's again i don't see why this doesn't go over the total. But playing overs in games with 50 point totals isn't exaclty a recipe for success. I could see a 30-24/30-27/27-24 type of game here which makes me lean over even though the total is kind of high. Felt the same way last week about IND/HOU and that one managed to get over the total.
Pretty much nailed em all, save Cincy who were without Palmer. Great job! :cheery:
Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...
IMHO, Arizona being home dogged to Dallas is a joke. I know i'm in the minority here from what I've been reading, but I think absolutely the wrong team is favored there. Arizona's offense might be BETTER than the Cowboys, or nearly as good. In addition, Dallas is the 3rd best team in their own division!! There's no question that to this point NYG and WASH have been far superior.
Both QB's are ******* turnover machines though, and that disturbs me....but Dallas IS without a doubt overrated this year due to last year's success and a big offense.
Dickhead Owens is starting his same old **** again, and the Cowboys will plummet as a result. They've done nothing this year to earn that 4-1 record, as every team they have beaten is average or just plain ****ty (CLE and CIN? Gimme a break!! Even GB ain't really ****, and PHI hasn't looked too hot either). IMO Dallas is still riding last year's reputation, and for them to be almost a TD road fave against a team with as many or more weapons as them on offense is wrong.
In addition, Arizona is young and hungry and playing with a chip on their shoulder after getting embarrassed at the NYJ, and imo beats Dallas outright, possibly by double digits if the 'Boys play at the same level that they have so far this year.
Arizona +6 was another one of those "holy ****, i can't believe this line" situations for me when I saw it....much like the NYG only laying a measly -7 to the ****hawks last week, and that'll be the game imo that breaks up everyone's parlays and teasers when Arizona wins outright....as there's at least one of them just about every week where a fave gets pounded in the arse and loses outright, and usually a road fave that looks like an easy winner to Joe Q Pub. Off the top of my head there have been DEN @ KC 2 wks ago, PHI @ home to WSH and SD @ MIA this week. "America's team" over the "****ty Cardinals who have sucked since they came into existace" without a doubt fits this to a "T".
The only way Arizona doesn't cover, imo, is if they kill themselves with turnovers, which of course is certainly possibly considering who their QB is, lol....but nevertheless, that is without a doubt my favorite play on the board this week. I would 100% certainly take Arizona all the way to -3, and would strongly consider them to -7.
Just a great post. Great discussion thread this week
Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...
Pretty much nailed em all, save Cincy who were without Palmer. Great job! :cheery:
thanks....:beerbang:...like the discussion threads.....i didn't end up on CIN but when we were discussing this i don't think anyone knew that CIN would be without Palmer....
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