***NFL Week 5 Discussion***

[Daws1089]

The two plays I've been looking at are Detroit and Tampa Bay. The bears showed absolutely nothing in the 2nd half of that game last week. Turnovers galore and maybe 3 first downs all 2nd half. They did everything possible to give the game to philly, but the eagles just didn't want to take it. I know the bears won that game, but I don't think I could lay points with them on the road in a division game. Lions mess in the front office and bears win over a decent philly team last week should be fresh in the public's mind.

I like TB because they can run the ball very well and Denver has no one in their front 7 that scares me. DJ Williams can make plays, but no one else really poses as a run stopper to me. Plus TB defense is really good. That guy Barret Ruude is underrated I think. I think we see more of Cutler's struggles.


I am also leaning to Miami. The Chargers barely escaped last week from an oakland team that dominated them for most of the game aside from a late touchdown. Miami has had time to rest and they look to have their running game back. I also don't like SD playing their 2nd straight road game and this one being across the country. I just don't think this SD team is as good as previous ones and they are getting a little too much respect.

[Q-Unit]

I like Miami and TB.

and agree with what you said up there

good spots for MLs IMO

[homedawg]

nep as a dog 1-0 ats & 1-0 ml, nep as a fav 0-2 ats & 1-1ml
49ers for me! :beer2:

[hodown]

NY Giants -7
Pick the winner. Is Burress out making this line so low? Sea is 1-2 with the lone win coming over the worst team in the NFL, and they are notorious terrible when traveling across the country to play. This is my favorite play of the week.

Jacksonville -4
Top 2 rb's gone, and Holmes is questionable. Pitt not a great road team and its a pick the winner situation again. Sunday night game and Jax sitting at 2-2 means the crowd should be lively and a more needed game for Jax than Pitt.

Colts -3
Both teams need it, and the Colts coming off a bye. Houston not as bad as the record indicates and they have not played a home game yet. But I think we see a refocused Indi team and with both teams wanting the game badly, I take the better Indi team imo.

Arizona -1
Similar to last years Pitt game at home where public hit Pitt heavy and Az came out on top. Buf is good but not as good as 4-0 would suggest, and Ari needs the win badly after losing 2 straight on the road.

[Underdog88]

Still time before kickoff, anyone want to find some winners?

nep as a dog 1-0 ats & 1-0 ml, nep as a fav 0-2 ats & 1-1ml
49ers for me! :beer2:

Already played them in a ml parlay, still considering them ats for a little more. I currently can get them +4 @ betus, would like the hook though. Everyone thinking along the same lines- The Colts & Pats won't lose off a bye. IMO they both could. Pats have great history winning on the road off a home loss. With Brady. I'm not sure the SF defense is the one Cassel will finally be able to move the ball on. Also not sure that Gore will be the rb the Pats stop- I can't get the vision of Ronnie Brown running wild out of my head. Exactly what have the Pats done this season to warrrant being 4 pt road faves? Beat a KC team by 7 @ home? Beat the Jets by posting 19 points?

Forget the teams. Would you lay road points with a team whose qb hasn't thrown over 165 yards this season, with no rb rushing over 62 yards in a game? 49 pts in 3 games playing 3 non-playoff teams (sorry jets fans). Throw in a defense that imo is vastly overrated & allowing 5 ypc, & you have a public wager that I want no part of.

[Underdog88]

Just added Atlanta team under 18.5.


Atlanta has scored just 9 pts in each of their road games this season. Stopping Turner is the key to beating the Falcons, & I think that GB off a road loss should be pretty focused to do so. Whether or not Rodgers starts, I expect the Packers to run a ton today, so with both teams figuring to run I expect a t.o.p battle. I also think the Packers/ game under are both good plays as well, but I'm a bit concerned about the pack pouring it on late, so I'm more comfortable focusing on the Falcons to struggle offensively. The Falcons have totaled over 40 pts for a game just 2 times in the past 10 games. The Packers allowed 27 @ home to Dallas, but they are a touch better offensively than Atlanta. The Pack allowed over 17 pts @ home 2 times last seasonto SD & the Bears. I think 2tds + 1 fg will be good here....

[Underdog88]

The Giants nearly lost to the Bengals at home, & are facing a Seahawks team that nobody wants to touch on the road. Total looks way high, leaning Giants team u24.5-105. They needed ot to get to 26 vs Cincy, & put up 16 vs the Skins. They put up less than 23 in half of their home games last season.... would like this even if Plax was in, but it doesn't hurt that he's out.