AFC Championship & Line Movements

**yomonte** · 01-15-2008, 08:11 PM

SD/NE total down 4 1/2 to 5 already. Totals that moved down 1 1/2 or more gave way to the over towards the end of the season. Totals that moved down 5 or more went under 8-0. Playoffs are 3-1 for an under on 1 1/2 move down or more. Here are the moves of 1 1/2. I will break down 2 or more cause you will see alot of the overs below, disappear. The first move down over five, did not come till wwek 11

Week-O/U
1- 0/3
2- 0/2
3- vacation, no data
4- 1/1
5- 0/2
6- 1/1
7- 1/2
8- 1/2
9- 1/0
10- 1/2
11- 1/4
12- 0/1
13- 3/3
14- 6-2
15- 2/2
16- 4/2
17- 2/2

Over 24 - under 31

But when we take away the 1 1/2 and go to 2

13 - 24

When the line moves down 2 1/2 0/U is 11/17

When the line moves down 3, O/U is 6/11

3 1/2 is 2/9

4 1/2 is 1/8

5 or more is 0/8

Totals on NE = week 7 down 2 over. Week 8 down 3 over. Week 13 down 5 1/2 under opening and over closing. Week 14 down 4 under. Week 15 down 11 under. Only two games that the line moved down 1 1/2 or more did open and closing come into play with an under on both openers and over on the closing. they were week 2 and 13.

**yomonte** · 01-16-2008, 05:17 PM

Mike, how do feel about the distraction in NE. As far back as I can remember, they have had an impact on the game. I can only remember as far back as the Atl player trying to get a BJ from a cop posing as a prostitute in Miami for a big game. But can't remember if they all lost. I think this game atleast goes under now. Moss will not get his two TD's IMO. Line steady at 14. Bet it drops soon

**BoKnows** · 01-16-2008, 05:25 PM

Originally posted by yomonte

I can only remember as far back as the Atl player trying to get a BJ from a cop posing as a prostitute in Miami for a big game.

Eugene Robinson NFL Man of the Year...had the trophy with him:beerbang: Broncos win the Superbowl in a blowout!Ahhh the memories

**Meestermike** · 01-16-2008, 11:34 PM

Originally posted by yomonte

Mike, how do feel about the distraction in NE. As far back as I can remember, they have had an impact on the game. I can only remember as far back as the Atl player trying to get a BJ from a cop posing as a prostitute in Miami for a big game. But can't remember if they all lost. I think this game at least goes under now. Moss will not get his two TD's IMO. Line steady at 14. Bet it drops soon

I think that the spying scandal (AKA Belicheck-Gate) is passed under the bridge. The only drawback will be if the NFL pursues this any further after the season. There are many uncertainties with the Chargers and who will play or not play as much. Guys will give it their all imo and I strongly believe the line is too high. New England wants to go 19-0 and whether they win by 1 or 21 matters little. The will to win is strong in Foxborough. I feel they win by enough to get the job done.

New England

Code:

Statistic	           FOR	   OPP
Total Yards per Game   410.8	292.1
Rushing YDS per ATT    4.2	 4.3
Passing YDS per ATT     8.1	  5.9
Passing Comp %	        0.699	 0.601
Total YDS per Play	  6.4	    5.3
Total YDS per Point	  11.3	   16.9

San Diego

Code:

Statistic	            FOR	    OPP
Total Yards per Game	322.5	323.1
Rushing YDS per ATT	4.0	 4.1
Passing YDS per ATT	 6.9	  6.2
Passing Comp %	          0.605	 0.612
Total YDS per Play	   5.4	    5.3
Total YDS per Point	   12.7	   18.5

AFC Championship & Line Movements

AFC Championship & Line Movements

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