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Hawks ml @ +370 x 2 units
Hawks +10 @ -133 to win 4 units
Got them both when the lines went up initially but I never imagined both would dip like they have. I figured I might get bitten in the ass buying up to the 10 as I thought the public would take the fave and push the line but worked out in my favor.
I'm surprised to see the public backing the hawks to the degree they are but I imagine the numbers will level now that the lines dipped to almost a td.
Reasons:
Mismatches on offense. Hackett and Branch on the field together for only the 2nd or third time all year long. Significant because it means linebackers Hawk and Barnett now become coverage guys on passing downs and matching up on Burleson and more importantly Engram. Hackett and Branch will play a part but the 3 and 4 reciever imo will be the difference for the hawk offense. Hawk and Barnett are very good players but Engram and Burleson are tough match ups for corners they'll be big playmakers matched up on these guys.
Much was made of the hawks easy sched last week, here's another team that benefitted from some lucky twists of the sched. Are they a 13-3 team if they catch the bolts, gmen and skins in the 2nd half of the season instead of weeks 2,3 and 6? I doubt it. If we're downplaying the hawks record then turnarounds fairplay.
The hawks run game, the skins run stop unit was a better one than the hawks will face this weekend. Conditions are supposedly going to be decent so the passing game will be okay for the hawks. As the passing game goes the run game goes. All season long Alexanders looked like he's lost a step, looked soft etc etc. I heard an interview a couple weeks ago talking about his wrist and the interviewee was saying that he hasn't really lost a step or gotten any softer but being forced to carry strictly in one hand changed the way he ran and the way he had to protect the ball. If it looked like a run wasn't going anywhere he would go into a sort of max protect and unable to put his hand on the ground and push forward while going down he looked like he crumpled. Well last week was about as good as I've seen Shaun run this year, he ran hard and at times looked elusive again. He was able to switch the ball position for maybe the first time in a game this year. It's not the 05 run game for sure but it doesn't need to be that. With Weaver and Mo with Shaun the run game should at least do what it did last week if not more.
Defense, the skins were caught off guard with how fast the hawks front 7 were, Favre hasn't seen a front this good all season. The secondary is healthy and the most confident it's been all season.The pack will score they always do and they got great playmakers at wideout but waiting for the long ball to develop isn't going to be as easy as it's been for them at points this season and if Favre goes gunslinger cause of the pressure the hawks can bring the secondary could put up a nice stat day. Bottom line Favre should see plenty of pressure all game.
Holmy, say what you want about his late game playcalling but he's guided this team to the playoffs for a few straight years now and schemed some of the best playmakers out of games. This team will be ready to go and I believe the hawks have the coaching edge.
Lets go hawks:beerbang:
Hawks +10 @ -133 to win 4 units
Got them both when the lines went up initially but I never imagined both would dip like they have. I figured I might get bitten in the ass buying up to the 10 as I thought the public would take the fave and push the line but worked out in my favor.
I'm surprised to see the public backing the hawks to the degree they are but I imagine the numbers will level now that the lines dipped to almost a td.
Reasons:
Mismatches on offense. Hackett and Branch on the field together for only the 2nd or third time all year long. Significant because it means linebackers Hawk and Barnett now become coverage guys on passing downs and matching up on Burleson and more importantly Engram. Hackett and Branch will play a part but the 3 and 4 reciever imo will be the difference for the hawk offense. Hawk and Barnett are very good players but Engram and Burleson are tough match ups for corners they'll be big playmakers matched up on these guys.
Much was made of the hawks easy sched last week, here's another team that benefitted from some lucky twists of the sched. Are they a 13-3 team if they catch the bolts, gmen and skins in the 2nd half of the season instead of weeks 2,3 and 6? I doubt it. If we're downplaying the hawks record then turnarounds fairplay.
The hawks run game, the skins run stop unit was a better one than the hawks will face this weekend. Conditions are supposedly going to be decent so the passing game will be okay for the hawks. As the passing game goes the run game goes. All season long Alexanders looked like he's lost a step, looked soft etc etc. I heard an interview a couple weeks ago talking about his wrist and the interviewee was saying that he hasn't really lost a step or gotten any softer but being forced to carry strictly in one hand changed the way he ran and the way he had to protect the ball. If it looked like a run wasn't going anywhere he would go into a sort of max protect and unable to put his hand on the ground and push forward while going down he looked like he crumpled. Well last week was about as good as I've seen Shaun run this year, he ran hard and at times looked elusive again. He was able to switch the ball position for maybe the first time in a game this year. It's not the 05 run game for sure but it doesn't need to be that. With Weaver and Mo with Shaun the run game should at least do what it did last week if not more.
Defense, the skins were caught off guard with how fast the hawks front 7 were, Favre hasn't seen a front this good all season. The secondary is healthy and the most confident it's been all season.The pack will score they always do and they got great playmakers at wideout but waiting for the long ball to develop isn't going to be as easy as it's been for them at points this season and if Favre goes gunslinger cause of the pressure the hawks can bring the secondary could put up a nice stat day. Bottom line Favre should see plenty of pressure all game.
Holmy, say what you want about his late game playcalling but he's guided this team to the playoffs for a few straight years now and schemed some of the best playmakers out of games. This team will be ready to go and I believe the hawks have the coaching edge.
Lets go hawks:beerbang:
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