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Haven't been around for a few days, just wanted to get all of my picks down in one post, see a lot of you guys on the same sides as me which is comforting. Broke about even for the season, going to try and get focused and come out on top after the playoffs. For the weekend:
Jags -2 over Pitt 2.75 to win 2.5 units (PUSH)
This one almost seems too easy, but I just think Jacksonville is the better, more complete team right now. Big Ben will have to step up huge if the steelers are to have a decent chance at winning this game but I just think the Jax D steps up bigger.
Tampa -3 over NYG (+105) 5 to win 5.25 units
I really like Tampa in this game, I think their D will force Eli into making mistakes and Garcia's experience will lead them to victory so I'm all over "picking the winner" here especially with the juice. The only worrying factor is the different ways these teams entered the playoffs but I think Tampa resting their players vs. NYG playing hard but losing some people to injuries in their last game will factor into their defeat.
Tenn +10 over San Diego (-105) 2.1 to win 2 units added 1.15 to win 1 unit Tenn +10.5 (-115)
Some may think this is a homer play (see my ML play for that), but even an impartial person I think should agree that this has the makings of a close and hard fought game. I watched the Titans lose in OT to San Diego, and I know we match up well with this team. Should be a low scoring, fiercely fought game and 10 points IMO is just too many to pass up.
Titans ML +450/+400 1.25/1.25 to win 5.625/5 units
This is the homer play, such good value in my opinion for a game that the Titans do actually have a chance of winning. They may not, but there sure as hell is no value IMO in San Diego -650 (found these lines at bodog). Go titans!
PROPS
Hawks team UNDER 22 points (-120) 1.8 to win 1.5 units (LOSS -1.5)
Team to use first timeout WASHINGTON (-130) 1.3 to win 1 unit (LOSS -1.3)
Pitt first score of game FG OR SAFETY (+110) 1 to win 1.1 units (LOSS -1)
Jags team OVER 20.5 points (-115) 1.15 to win 1 unit (WIN +1)
2 teasers
Jags +4.5
Skins +10.5
Skins/Hawks UNDER 47.5
1.5 to win 2.25 units
(TOUGH LOSS -1.5)
Georgia -1.5 (over Hawaii)
Jags +5.5
Jags/Steelers OVER 32
Skins/Hawks UNDER 47
Tampa +4
Tampa/NYG UNDER 47
Titans +16
.75 to win 6 units
(LOSS -.75)
1 parlay
Skins ML +165
Skins/Hawks UNDER 40.5
Jags team total OVER 20.5
.6 to win 5 units
(Had a great chance...loss .6)
All future plays played throughout the season:
Team to win AFC conference:
Jags +1615 .525 to win 8.5 units
Titans +2550 .95 to win 25 units (not happening)
Team to win Superbowl:
Jags +2550 .8 to win 20.4 units
Colts +745 1 to win 7.45 units
Please don't let the Patriots get to the superbowl...
Jags -2 over Pitt 2.75 to win 2.5 units (PUSH)
This one almost seems too easy, but I just think Jacksonville is the better, more complete team right now. Big Ben will have to step up huge if the steelers are to have a decent chance at winning this game but I just think the Jax D steps up bigger.
Tampa -3 over NYG (+105) 5 to win 5.25 units
I really like Tampa in this game, I think their D will force Eli into making mistakes and Garcia's experience will lead them to victory so I'm all over "picking the winner" here especially with the juice. The only worrying factor is the different ways these teams entered the playoffs but I think Tampa resting their players vs. NYG playing hard but losing some people to injuries in their last game will factor into their defeat.
Tenn +10 over San Diego (-105) 2.1 to win 2 units added 1.15 to win 1 unit Tenn +10.5 (-115)
Some may think this is a homer play (see my ML play for that), but even an impartial person I think should agree that this has the makings of a close and hard fought game. I watched the Titans lose in OT to San Diego, and I know we match up well with this team. Should be a low scoring, fiercely fought game and 10 points IMO is just too many to pass up.
Titans ML +450/+400 1.25/1.25 to win 5.625/5 units
This is the homer play, such good value in my opinion for a game that the Titans do actually have a chance of winning. They may not, but there sure as hell is no value IMO in San Diego -650 (found these lines at bodog). Go titans!
PROPS
Hawks team UNDER 22 points (-120) 1.8 to win 1.5 units (LOSS -1.5)
Team to use first timeout WASHINGTON (-130) 1.3 to win 1 unit (LOSS -1.3)
Pitt first score of game FG OR SAFETY (+110) 1 to win 1.1 units (LOSS -1)
Jags team OVER 20.5 points (-115) 1.15 to win 1 unit (WIN +1)
2 teasers
Jags +4.5
Skins +10.5
Skins/Hawks UNDER 47.5
1.5 to win 2.25 units
(TOUGH LOSS -1.5)
Georgia -1.5 (over Hawaii)
Jags +5.5
Jags/Steelers OVER 32
Skins/Hawks UNDER 47
Tampa +4
Tampa/NYG UNDER 47
Titans +16
.75 to win 6 units
(LOSS -.75)
1 parlay
Skins ML +165
Skins/Hawks UNDER 40.5
Jags team total OVER 20.5
.6 to win 5 units
(Had a great chance...loss .6)
All future plays played throughout the season:
Team to win AFC conference:
Jags +1615 .525 to win 8.5 units
Titans +2550 .95 to win 25 units (not happening)
Team to win Superbowl:
Jags +2550 .8 to win 20.4 units
Colts +745 1 to win 7.45 units
Please don't let the Patriots get to the superbowl...
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