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And since i've heard this little fact, it's turned around my season a bit. I've won 5 out of my last 6.
I heard this on the radio with a handicapper two weeks ago, so not so sure what the percentage is now, but 85% of the time where the favorite has WON the game outright this year, they've also covered the spread or pushed. This weekend, 6 out of the 7 favorites who won, also covered (NE being the only one). Remember, this doesn't include favorites that lose.
But if you're really a confident a favorite is going to win, but are iffy on maybe laying 7 or 10 points, just consider that little factoid. Instead of going crazy with the ML, it's prolly more worth it to just lay the points.
I heard this on the radio with a handicapper two weeks ago, so not so sure what the percentage is now, but 85% of the time where the favorite has WON the game outright this year, they've also covered the spread or pushed. This weekend, 6 out of the 7 favorites who won, also covered (NE being the only one). Remember, this doesn't include favorites that lose.
But if you're really a confident a favorite is going to win, but are iffy on maybe laying 7 or 10 points, just consider that little factoid. Instead of going crazy with the ML, it's prolly more worth it to just lay the points.
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