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Week 6: 7-1, +14.39 Units
NFL YTD: 32-16. +48.06 Units
Bills +4 -123 vs Ravens
Still don't trust Baltimore's offence to lay points on the road. Like the home dog Bills who are a scrappy team, and have difference makers on special teams. Buffalo's coming off a bye week, and should have some confidence after giving Dallas all they could handle. Buffalo's going to be all over McGahee, and they will likely crowd the line in order to stop him, and make Boller beat them. The Ravens are a joke, beating bottom-feeders, and losing to Cleveland/Cincy. They are not a contender that should lay a FG+. Bills win outright in a close, low-scoring game.
Patriots -14 -122 vs Dolphins
Pinnys opening line. No comment on the game! But an easy, easy play for me once again. It's like free money this year. I'm naming my new boat "Brady". lmao.
Bucs +3 -128 vs Lions
Getting points facing the worst defence in the NFL. Bucs are much better than the brutal Lions on the defensive side of the ball, and Garcia has been playing smart at QB for the Bucs, just plain getting it done (5 TDs/0 INT/104 Rtg). Detroit should not be giving points to a good team like TB. Don't understand this one, as defense usually dictates games, and we have the 5th ranked Bucs against a Lions team that is only marginally better than Cincy for worst. Also...the one and only perceived strength of the Lions, the passing game (although Kitna hasn't exactly looked great lately) faces a Bucs defence that is 8th best against the pass, so they won't be pushovers in that department. TB's injuries don't scare me, I'll take the much better team as a dog.
Chiefs +3 -125 vs Raiders
Tailing Horfin...but I liked this game as well at first glance...taking the better team, getting a FG.
Steelers -3 -122 vs Broncos
I'll back Joe Public with the Steelers this week. Denver is a horrible team, and are still getting respect because of their past and their coach. If that Denver personnel was wearing a traditionally bad team's uniforms this week playing the hot Steelers, the line would be closer to a TD, IMO. Steelers have been dominant in every game, except for that one bad spot in Zona. We know how Denver can't stop the run for ****...and I hammered the Chargers when they played Denver because of this....well nobody runs the ball like the Steelers (2nd in the NFL), so you would have to expect a similar game to the SD result, and a BIG day for Willie Parker. This is what Big Ben and Pitt do...run the ball, and play action passes.....one teams strength against one teams weekness.. This is also a mismatch on the other side of the ball, with Cutler, and the rest of Denver's offence struggling (15 PPG, 5th worst in the NFL) having to face the NFL's best defence (only giving up 9.4 PPG...best by FAR). If not for two lucky FG wins by Denver, this is talked about being the worst team in the NFL. Cutler's been ****, and was maybe rushed into the starters role by default. I know the Steelers haven't had a hard schedule yet, but they are getting it done against these bad teams, and should roll again this week against another bad one, in a similar fashion to the Chargers game. Denver also does not cover **** at home the past couple years, so laying the FG doesn't worry me too much as I see DD win. Hines Ward back, and Champ Bailey with a less than 100% quadricep, might have an influence on that passing game, but it is not why Pitt will win. Pitt's leader on defence, Polamalu also back!
Also looking at Arizona but I'd love to get the 10.
4 Units Each
GL all....
:beerbang: :beerbang: :beerbang:
NFL YTD: 32-16. +48.06 Units
Bills +4 -123 vs Ravens
Still don't trust Baltimore's offence to lay points on the road. Like the home dog Bills who are a scrappy team, and have difference makers on special teams. Buffalo's coming off a bye week, and should have some confidence after giving Dallas all they could handle. Buffalo's going to be all over McGahee, and they will likely crowd the line in order to stop him, and make Boller beat them. The Ravens are a joke, beating bottom-feeders, and losing to Cleveland/Cincy. They are not a contender that should lay a FG+. Bills win outright in a close, low-scoring game.
Patriots -14 -122 vs Dolphins
Pinnys opening line. No comment on the game! But an easy, easy play for me once again. It's like free money this year. I'm naming my new boat "Brady". lmao.
Bucs +3 -128 vs Lions
Getting points facing the worst defence in the NFL. Bucs are much better than the brutal Lions on the defensive side of the ball, and Garcia has been playing smart at QB for the Bucs, just plain getting it done (5 TDs/0 INT/104 Rtg). Detroit should not be giving points to a good team like TB. Don't understand this one, as defense usually dictates games, and we have the 5th ranked Bucs against a Lions team that is only marginally better than Cincy for worst. Also...the one and only perceived strength of the Lions, the passing game (although Kitna hasn't exactly looked great lately) faces a Bucs defence that is 8th best against the pass, so they won't be pushovers in that department. TB's injuries don't scare me, I'll take the much better team as a dog.
Chiefs +3 -125 vs Raiders
Tailing Horfin...but I liked this game as well at first glance...taking the better team, getting a FG.
Steelers -3 -122 vs Broncos
I'll back Joe Public with the Steelers this week. Denver is a horrible team, and are still getting respect because of their past and their coach. If that Denver personnel was wearing a traditionally bad team's uniforms this week playing the hot Steelers, the line would be closer to a TD, IMO. Steelers have been dominant in every game, except for that one bad spot in Zona. We know how Denver can't stop the run for ****...and I hammered the Chargers when they played Denver because of this....well nobody runs the ball like the Steelers (2nd in the NFL), so you would have to expect a similar game to the SD result, and a BIG day for Willie Parker. This is what Big Ben and Pitt do...run the ball, and play action passes.....one teams strength against one teams weekness.. This is also a mismatch on the other side of the ball, with Cutler, and the rest of Denver's offence struggling (15 PPG, 5th worst in the NFL) having to face the NFL's best defence (only giving up 9.4 PPG...best by FAR). If not for two lucky FG wins by Denver, this is talked about being the worst team in the NFL. Cutler's been ****, and was maybe rushed into the starters role by default. I know the Steelers haven't had a hard schedule yet, but they are getting it done against these bad teams, and should roll again this week against another bad one, in a similar fashion to the Chargers game. Denver also does not cover **** at home the past couple years, so laying the FG doesn't worry me too much as I see DD win. Hines Ward back, and Champ Bailey with a less than 100% quadricep, might have an influence on that passing game, but it is not why Pitt will win. Pitt's leader on defence, Polamalu also back!
Also looking at Arizona but I'd love to get the 10.
4 Units Each
GL all....
:beerbang: :beerbang: :beerbang:
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