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Damn damn damn! 10-10-1 -1.97 units. Disappointed with myself for not getting the best number on Tenn, & for not unloading on the Saints when I loved that play. Bush's fumble cost me a likely 2ndh cover... Oh well. Played this last night, not too thrilled about being on a road fave for MNF, but I don't see a Falcons su win...
Giants-4-115
3 units
Still looking at the total, thinking about an under play....
Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...
Gonna focus on the Giants scoring, as I think they matchup well vs. the Atlanta D. The Falcons rush D is allowing 4 ypc (121 per game), & the Giants are coming at them with Jacobs & Ward. The Giants are averaging 4.4 ypc, & I think they establish the run game early. According to the numbers, Atlanta has the #11 pass D allowing just 204 yards per game, 5 tds & 4 ints. However, I think that those numbers are skewed. A lot. They faced Tavaris Jackson, Vince Young, & Delhomme/Carr. Of course the numbers are low in these games- they were run oriented teams. Garrard threw for 272, & Shaub threw for 314. Eli should be able to find Burress & Shockey, I'm banking on him to make those throws. I have the Giants scoring 28+, so I'm playing the team totals....the 1st quarter over is a fade on the juiced under. Gonna check back at the half & see if there's any value :thumbs:
Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...
I will most likely be on the G-men as well. I want to take the birds, considering the large % of public $ on the Giants and the Falcons at home on MNF...But I can't. I see the Giants offense operating pretty much how you described above. That combined with the Young ATL offensive line, the Harrington Factor, and Usi and Mikey up front for the Giants D...Gotta go with the Giants.
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