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NFL 55-69-2 -13.65
This one deserves it's own thread, my Bills are finally on the big stage @ home....
Buffalo+10.5-105
3 units
Buffalo/Dallas o45-105
Bills+7 1sth-115
1 unit each
Bills+550
half unit
OK, so we have Dallas traveling to Buffalo 4-0 su & 4-0 ats. They have scored 34 or more points in every game & the smallest margin of victory was week 1 vs NYG (they won by 10). They are off an easy win at home vs. the Rams, & are back at home vs. the Pats next week. Possible look ahead situation here with the sandwich game. The Bills are off a su win as home dogs to the Jets & are 1-3, but 2-2 ats. I had them 1-3 going in to this game before the season started, so it's no surprise to me. Dallas is averaging a league best 440 total yards of offense- 288 passing, 152 on the ground. The Bills have the worst pass D allowing 282 per game, & their run D is allowing 4.9 ypc 148 per game. Romo should be able to move the ball, especially if Dallas can establish Barber/Jones early. The Bills are thin at LB, well pretty much everywhere defensively, but it's very apparent with the LBs. Crowell played well vs the Jets with 11 tackles (8 solo), & I think DiGiorgio played alright. Haggan worries me a bit, as Witten will likely be lined up on his side. That is one huge mismatch IMO, as Haggan (6-3, 263) will not be able to cover him. I don't think any of the Bills LB can cover Witten, & would expect him to be a huge part of the offense today. The Bills did well defending the run last week, allowing just 60 yards @ 3.2 ypc vs the Jets. However, Dallas has a much better run game than the Jets, & the Bills have had the task of playing 3 of the top rushing teams in the league so far with pretty bad results. I have Dallas putting up 27-30 points, so the question for me would be can the Bills score?
It would be an understatement to say the Bills offense was anemic in the first 3 games. Losman barely even attempted to throw downfield. Now I'm not going to get ahead of myself & say Edwards is the answer quite yet, but I do think his style of play is better suited for the Bills right now. The last game, he was able to sit in the pocket, go through his progressions & throw accurately. He wasn't rattled at all, which impressed me the most. 22-28 243 1td 1int, a pretty solid day overall. The Cowboys defense will definitely be a bigger test for him, but i still think he'll be able to move the ball. Lee Evans reappeared last week as Edwards was able to find him 6 times. I think Price's absence is a blessing in disguise, as Roscoe Parrish will be able to get more time. He's a big threat in the open field, & has the moves to make people miss. He had 4 catches last week, & I'm really hoping he can get involved tonight. He could be a Radle El type playmaker... Lynch is looking good considering the o-line is really having problems run blocking. I think the Bills will be able to put up 20 on Dallas today, so I'm taking the points. I'm also leaning towards the 1stq over 7.5, & will likely play the Bills ML small. Right now it's at +500.....
This one deserves it's own thread, my Bills are finally on the big stage @ home....
Buffalo+10.5-105
3 units
Buffalo/Dallas o45-105
Bills+7 1sth-115
1 unit each
Bills+550
half unit
OK, so we have Dallas traveling to Buffalo 4-0 su & 4-0 ats. They have scored 34 or more points in every game & the smallest margin of victory was week 1 vs NYG (they won by 10). They are off an easy win at home vs. the Rams, & are back at home vs. the Pats next week. Possible look ahead situation here with the sandwich game. The Bills are off a su win as home dogs to the Jets & are 1-3, but 2-2 ats. I had them 1-3 going in to this game before the season started, so it's no surprise to me. Dallas is averaging a league best 440 total yards of offense- 288 passing, 152 on the ground. The Bills have the worst pass D allowing 282 per game, & their run D is allowing 4.9 ypc 148 per game. Romo should be able to move the ball, especially if Dallas can establish Barber/Jones early. The Bills are thin at LB, well pretty much everywhere defensively, but it's very apparent with the LBs. Crowell played well vs the Jets with 11 tackles (8 solo), & I think DiGiorgio played alright. Haggan worries me a bit, as Witten will likely be lined up on his side. That is one huge mismatch IMO, as Haggan (6-3, 263) will not be able to cover him. I don't think any of the Bills LB can cover Witten, & would expect him to be a huge part of the offense today. The Bills did well defending the run last week, allowing just 60 yards @ 3.2 ypc vs the Jets. However, Dallas has a much better run game than the Jets, & the Bills have had the task of playing 3 of the top rushing teams in the league so far with pretty bad results. I have Dallas putting up 27-30 points, so the question for me would be can the Bills score?
It would be an understatement to say the Bills offense was anemic in the first 3 games. Losman barely even attempted to throw downfield. Now I'm not going to get ahead of myself & say Edwards is the answer quite yet, but I do think his style of play is better suited for the Bills right now. The last game, he was able to sit in the pocket, go through his progressions & throw accurately. He wasn't rattled at all, which impressed me the most. 22-28 243 1td 1int, a pretty solid day overall. The Cowboys defense will definitely be a bigger test for him, but i still think he'll be able to move the ball. Lee Evans reappeared last week as Edwards was able to find him 6 times. I think Price's absence is a blessing in disguise, as Roscoe Parrish will be able to get more time. He's a big threat in the open field, & has the moves to make people miss. He had 4 catches last week, & I'm really hoping he can get involved tonight. He could be a Radle El type playmaker... Lynch is looking good considering the o-line is really having problems run blocking. I think the Bills will be able to put up 20 on Dallas today, so I'm taking the points. I'm also leaning towards the 1stq over 7.5, & will likely play the Bills ML small. Right now it's at +500.....
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