Week 2 Discussion

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  • rjp
    Gimme the points, please
    • Mar 2007
    • 952

    #16
    Let me clarify by saying you need at least +250 to bet, and that's worth 1/3rd of a unit. I expect a better price on Sunday, and as of tonight the best price I see is at 5Dimes at +160.

    If you can bet at Pinny then they've got a position against Cinci and are offering nice odds on the Browns.

    Comment

    • Horfin
      Moderator
      • Feb 2007
      • 5885

      #17
      Originally posted by rjp
      Cleveland ML, obviously. ;)
      RJP,

      I make it a point not to look at the lines until after I cap them to see if there is value after the fact. My guess is that the line was Cincy -5 or 6 (should be) then D.A. is annoited and then line is -8. By Sunday guessing it is -10. I won't be on the Cleve ML, I don't see the value. I will be on the Browns with the points.

      Horfin
      a.d.

      2021 NHL: (through 02/24/2021)
      Sides: +17.4 units
      Totals: +0 units
      In Game (Not posted) -0.6 units
      Parlay: -1.8

      All 2021 NHL:+14.9 units

      Comment

      • rjp
        Gimme the points, please
        • Mar 2007
        • 952

        #18
        The line won't move to -10 barring newly released info, but I guess the point I'm trying to make is that the money line will provide the best option to grow your bankroll if bet the optimal amount.

        Comment

        • jd08
          Newbie
          • Sep 2007
          • 33

          #19
          Originally posted by rjp
          Cleveland ML, obviously. ;)
          Are you really going to put money on Derek Anderson?!

          Comment

          • Horfin
            Moderator
            • Feb 2007
            • 5885

            #20
            Pretty sure I am....with the points.
            a.d.

            2021 NHL: (through 02/24/2021)
            Sides: +17.4 units
            Totals: +0 units
            In Game (Not posted) -0.6 units
            Parlay: -1.8

            All 2021 NHL:+14.9 units

            Comment

            • BoKnows
              SEC!Any Questions?
              • Mar 2007
              • 1089

              #21
              In looking at this weeks games I see the Packers and Chargers as my strongest playz. Tell me where I am wrong. In this reasoning.

              As it relates to the Pack. They have a better D IMOP than Dallas, Eli and Jacobs are out...or Eli may play but a hurt Eli, is a scary prop. The Pack have shown they are a lot better this year though I feel they were fortunate against the Eagles. Just dont see how they are the dog here, maybe I am missing something. I look for a improving Pack run game and strong D to keep the Gmen in check, therefore gimme the pts!

              The Chargers, are flying across country which in the past we had a stat for this though I cannot remember the exact statistical info on a team from the west coast playing on the east coast, but I believe it did not favor the team travelling. The Chargers coming off an impressive win agains one of the best D's in the NFL travelling to play a team that has had to focus not so much on football but integrity this week. They say they are all about the Chargers, but we know how the NFL is throw any type of curve ball into a locker room with these primadona's and you have a team that is not all about foosball. The icing on the cake for this play is the fact the Chargers lost to the Pats in the playoffs last year, the were promptly shown a lack of respect from the Pats. Lot of motivation here for the Chargers, and lack of focus from Bellicheat. Keep the camera's off the sidelines and I think we have an ATS winner.

              Just a couple of thoughts on a few dogs....which I rarely play. I am gonna hammer both hopefully it reads like I believe it will.

              Any thoughts?
              Last edited by BoKnows; 09-14-2007, 12:51 PM.

              Comment

              • rjp
                Gimme the points, please
                • Mar 2007
                • 952

                #22
                Originally posted by jd08
                Are you really going to put money on Derek Anderson?!
                Absolutely. Cleveland is going to lose this game a majority of the time, but the odds will make a profit over the long term.

                Comment

                • Horfin
                  Moderator
                  • Feb 2007
                  • 5885

                  #23
                  Originally posted by BoKnows
                  In looking at this weeks games I see the Packers and Chargers as my strongest playz. Tell me where I am wrong. In this reasoning.

                  As it relates to the Pack. They have a better D IMOP than Dallas, Eli and Jacobs are out...or Eli may play but a hurt Eli, is a scary prop. The Pack have shown they are a lot better this year though I feel they were fortunate against the Eagles. Just dont see how they are the dog here, maybe I am missing something. I look for a improving Pack run game and strong D to keep the Gmen in check, therefore gimme the pts!

                  The Chargers, are flying across country which in the past we had a stat for this though I cannot remember the exact statistical info on a team from the west coast playing on the east coast, but I believe it did not favor the team travelling. The Chargers coming off an impressive win agains one of the best D's in the NFL travelling to play a team that has had to focus not so much on football but integrity this week. They say they are all about the Chargers, but we know how the NFL is throw any type of curve ball into a locker room with these primadona's and you have a team that is not all about foosball. The icing on the cake for this play is the fact the Chargers lost to the Pats in the playoffs last year, the were promptly shown a lack of respect from the Pats. Lot of motivation here for the Chargers, and lack of focus from Bellicheat. Keep the camera's off the sidelines and I think we have an ATS winner.

                  Just a couple of thoughts on a few dogs....which I rarely play. I am gonna hammer both hopefully it reads like I believe it will.

                  Any thoughts?
                  Don't have the **** in front of me but I think GB has allowed 13 or less in 4 or 5 straight...Something like that. The Defense is very underrated.
                  a.d.

                  2021 NHL: (through 02/24/2021)
                  Sides: +17.4 units
                  Totals: +0 units
                  In Game (Not posted) -0.6 units
                  Parlay: -1.8

                  All 2021 NHL:+14.9 units

                  Comment

                  • rjp
                    Gimme the points, please
                    • Mar 2007
                    • 952

                    #24
                    I have GB and MIN defenses in my fantasy league. Both are top tier. They're solid, but they're especially valuable because they both play some ****ty schedules.

                    Comment

                    • Horfin
                      Moderator
                      • Feb 2007
                      • 5885

                      #25
                      Originally posted by Horfin
                      Pretty sure I am....with the points.

                      Doin' a 180 on this one. I doubt Cleveland hangs. I know I am in the minority,but injuries in an already bad defense ain't going to cut it.


                      Horfin
                      a.d.

                      2021 NHL: (through 02/24/2021)
                      Sides: +17.4 units
                      Totals: +0 units
                      In Game (Not posted) -0.6 units
                      Parlay: -1.8

                      All 2021 NHL:+14.9 units

                      Comment

                      • NittanyLions94
                        Resident PSU Supporter
                        • Feb 2007
                        • 2916

                        #26
                        I hate betting road favs, haven't done it in quite some time but Cincy -7 could be one that I lay. I watched Cleveland play against Pittsburgh last weekend and I don't believe I've seen a team that disorganized and just downright bad in a long time. Romeo Crennel is on the fast track out of that joint.

                        Comment

                        • gladgarbage
                          Member
                          • Mar 2007
                          • 319

                          #27
                          The spread is a distraction created to draw even action so the books profit off the vig. Keep it simple, pick the winner and more times than not the points take care of themselves. Cincy has some good players and can put up points in bunches and the Browns don't really have much going for them right now except for a lot of questions. Anderson with limited NFL experience already looking over his shoulder knowing Quinn is waiting in the wings and getting asked more questions by reporters than himself and he's starting! That's pressure, not to mention having to keep up with a strong offense like Cincy and if he doesn't it could mean his job. IMO the Browns don't have the supporting cast to pull this one out. Keeping in mind the saying "Any given Sunday" I think Cincy is on a mission to get back to 2005 form and the Browns aren't in a good spot here, if Palmer comes out blazing it'll be too much for Anderson to overcome.
                          :bang: 1 unit = 100 CAD

                          NCAAF
                          14-19 -1115

                          NFL
                          4-4 -260

                          MLB Playoffs
                          1-1 0

                          NHL
                          3-5 -175

                          Comment

                          • fitter
                            Imposter
                            • Mar 2007
                            • 573

                            #28
                            Question on my mind is...do I think Clev can win....Not today. But the public is all over Cincy...it just may be a "walk away" game for me. Two conflicting patterns in my capping here. BOL all:beerbang:
                            YTD
                            CFB'09 season(as of 1/7)
                            Reg season RESULTS:(-12.98 U's)
                            BOWLS
                            Sides: 8-21(-20.5 U's)
                            O/U's: 2-6(-1.25 U's)
                            ML's: 2-6(-0.70 U's)
                            RESULTS(-22.45 U's)
                            NFL'09 season(as of 1/3)
                            SIDES: 59-51-3(-1.3 U's)
                            O/U's: 15-19-2(-3.95 U's)
                            ML's: 5-13(-2.47 U's)
                            2H's: 8-9(-0.65 U'S)
                            RESULTS:(-7.67 U's)
                            CBB'09-'10 season(as of 1/9)
                            SIDES: 109-101-4(-.25 U's)
                            O/U'S: 28-16(+6.50 U's)
                            ML's 2-3 (+0.2 U's)
                            RESULTS:(+6.45 U's)

                            "I WANT THEIRS!!" fitter, on new health care program

                            Comment

                            • rjp
                              Gimme the points, please
                              • Mar 2007
                              • 952

                              #29
                              Browns :thumbs:

                              Comment

                              • Horfin
                                Moderator
                                • Feb 2007
                                • 5885

                                #30
                                Some idiot in this thread said he'd be on Anderson and then changed his mind.


                                Congrads RJP.
                                a.d.

                                2021 NHL: (through 02/24/2021)
                                Sides: +17.4 units
                                Totals: +0 units
                                In Game (Not posted) -0.6 units
                                Parlay: -1.8

                                All 2021 NHL:+14.9 units

                                Comment

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