WNBA stuff!

[RBD]

Regular Season
Recap: 0-2 Record: 4-7, -$380

Postseason
0-0

Carrington Ov 13' pts, +100
As noted in my homepage column on the playoffs, Indiana does not play defense.
Well, they play it, they just suck at it.

It looks like the books have set this number just a hair above DiJonai's PPG season average of 12.7.
I don't think they factored in enough for her particular opponent in this game. Against the Caitlin's this season she's put up 16, 14, 22, and 19.

Sometimes teams come out a little tight in the first game of the postseason, with first game jitters and nervousness, but this Connecticut team are regulars in the playoffs, they've been here before. Indiana hasn't been in the playoffs in 8 years. Which team do you think is going to come out tighter?

Indiana plays at one of the fastest paces in the league so DiJonai's going to get plenty of opportunities to take her shots.
And hopefully, hit this number.

A decent number at a good price.
I'm on it.

Carrington Ov 13' pts, +100

[RBD]

Forum Recap: 1-0
Forum Record: 5-8, -$280
Review: Carrington scores 14 and I win by the hook.

Homepage article record: 28-22, 56%, + $380

A small profit but I'll take it in a sport that I never really handicapped before. And I'm going to add a little more profit with the final pick from my last homepage column:
Championship Plays: Minnesota +300
New York +140

Those are the two bets I made before the playoffs began.
The goal is to get these two in the championship series, guaranteeing me a profit no matter which team wins and that's the way it worked out.

Here's a pick and money management strategy for the WNBA championship game on Sunday.
But first, a round of applause and congratulations to both teams. It was a hard fought series and fun to watch, and for me that's what sports betting is - entertainment.
If I make a profit from it too, well, all the better.

Here's what I have (and anyone who thought the logic in my analysis made sense and rode with me.)
Using $100 for example purposes to keep things simple:

If the Lynx win I get $300, minus $100 for my New York bet, leaving me a profit of $200.00

If NY wins I get $140, minus $100 for my Minnesota bet, leaving me a profit of $40.00.

So, I have a free roll at a profit of $200.
At worse case I pick up, $40.
Normally I'd take it but . . . in this situation I like New York to win, for all the reasons I outlined in my homepage post dated 9/18.
Watching the first four games of this series hasn't changed my mind a bit, New York has a slight edge.
The teams are pretty evenly matched, talent-wise, but Stewart and Ionescu are coming off a subpar game (a combined 10-36.)
I wouldn't expect that to happen two games in a row even if the final game was in Minnesota, but even more so when factoring in they'll have home court advantage on Sunday, feeding off the energy from a rabid New York crowd.

There's a $160 differential between my wins of either $200 for Minnesota or $40 for New York.
I'm going to reduce that differential.

NY is -240 in the final game of the season.
I took them for half a unit, -120 to win $100.
Now I'm looking at $80 if Minnesota wins, $140 if New York wins, taking the differential from $160 to just $60, AND I have a higher payoff on the team that I favor to win it all.

That's it, that's my suggested strategy for anyone who rode my playoff setup with me and took New York and Minnesota at plus prices before the postseason began.

Good luck with whatever you play.

Correction: -120 on NY wins $50.
If New York wins I pick up $90, not $140. Duh.

[RBD]

CORRECTION
From post dated 9/21:
Regular Season
Recap: 0-2 Record: 4-7, -$380
Play:
Carrington Ov 13' pts, +100

Next post:
Forum Recap: 1-0
Forum Record: 5-8, -$280
Review: Carrington scores 14 and I win by the hook.

Was 4-7, got a W, record is 5-7 NOT 5-8