One Play A Day for 5 Days ..

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  • MrDecipher
    Member
    • Jul 2008
    • 268
    #1

    One Play A Day for 5 Days ..

    I was wondering if it makes sense to do this. Start off with a $20 play or so and just keep rolling it over if I win . 5 picks , 5 winners in a row is would be the goal..

    $22/20 if win $42 to play
    $42/38 if win $80 to play
    $80/72 if win $152 to play
    $152/138 if win $290 to play
    then $290/$263 if win $553.

    What are my odds of going 5-0 ? This actually looks tempting because my rick overall will be only $22 anyway..Hmmm
    If your actions inspire others to dream more,learn more,
    do more and become more,you are a leader.
    Tags: None
    • Troubleduke
      Member
      • Mar 2007
      • 573
      #2
      Originally posted by MrDecipher

      What are my odds of going 5-0 ? This actually looks tempting because my rick overall will be only $22 anyway..Hmmm
      64 to 1. So over the long run if you tried this 64 times you would go 5-0 one time. Winning that $553 would cost you $1408 (22 X64 = 1408). IMO, Not a good ROI, but who knows you may go 5-0 the first time?

      GL :thumbs:

        Comment

        • Underdog88
          I drink your milkshake!!!
          • Mar 2007
          • 13981
          #3
          very tough to do... IMO if you did try to go 5-0 it would be better to find the best 5 plays in a month, perhaps longer to find optimal spots. Even then it would be tough.....
          Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

            Comment

            • MrDecipher
              Member
              • Jul 2008
              • 268
              #4
              Thanks guys , I always appreciate a little math demonstration explanation . troubleduke , help me out here if you would . How does my chances figure to be 64/1 ? just so I have a better understanding. Thanks again.
              If your actions inspire others to dream more,learn more,
              do more and become more,you are a leader.

                Comment

                • MrDecipher
                  Member
                  • Jul 2008
                  • 268
                  #5
                  OK , lets do it (not sure I'm going to have the ballz) when/if the I get to 3-0 and above..LOL
                  Wizards +3 $22/20. Now watch me get blown away with the very first pick . :boom:
                  If your actions inspire others to dream more,learn more,
                  do more and become more,you are a leader.

                    Comment

                    • MrDecipher
                      Member
                      • Jul 2008
                      • 268
                      #6
                      Had to take +2½ , line moved on me . Oops ! is that a bad sign ?
                      If your actions inspire others to dream more,learn more,
                      do more and become more,you are a leader.

                        Comment

                        • MrDecipher
                          Member
                          • Jul 2008
                          • 268
                          #7
                          WELL ... This one was over before it begun . And guess what ? I have no plan to try that 64 times.... LOL
                          If your actions inspire others to dream more,learn more,
                          do more and become more,you are a leader.

                            Comment

                            • MrDecipher
                              Member
                              • Jul 2008
                              • 268
                              #8
                              WELL ... This one was over before it begun . And guess what ? I have no plan to try that 64 times.... LOL . 35-15 Heat , 1st half not over yet... :laughing:
                              If your actions inspire others to dream more,learn more,
                              do more and become more,you are a leader.

                                Comment

                                • Troubleduke
                                  Member
                                  • Mar 2007
                                  • 573
                                  #9
                                  I just did it based on if you think you have a 50/50 chance to win each bet:

                                  1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 = 1/64

                                  If you think you have a 55% chance to win each bet (which is probably what you should believe before betting a game) your chances of hitting 5 in a row would be slightly better.

                                  Hope you hit it though. I'm happy when anyone takes the bookie's money no matter how they do it. :beerbang:

                                    Comment

                                    • MrDecipher
                                      Member
                                      • Jul 2008
                                      • 268
                                      #10
                                      Thanks , speaking of taking the bookie's money . ALL my plays for today look Horrible.. I hope these fools turn it around before these games go final...OMG
                                      If your actions inspire others to dream more,learn more,
                                      do more and become more,you are a leader.

                                        Comment

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