Overnight Value Plays

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  • MrDecipher
    Member
    • Jul 2008
    • 268
    #1

    Overnight Value Plays

    Good Afternoon All ,

    I'm gonna try something a little different . I've done my own power rankings and lines for the past few years and follow the NBA fairly closely. I enjoy playing into overnight lines and think that is in many cases a good time to find value in what I consider fairly weak opening lines.
    Hope I can help and that we can all benefit from this research . I'll try to keep an accurate record of the results and please feel free to correct me if you see any errors.At the time I make this posts you will be able to get the quoted lines at #1. CR #2 Pinny and #3. Greek ; those are the places I play and are usually the first with overnight lines.

    :thumbs:
    If your actions inspire others to dream more,learn more,
    do more and become more,you are a leader.
    Tags: None
    • MrDecipher
      Member
      • Jul 2008
      • 268
      #2
      This is what I came up with for Friday , January 15th..
      Record 0-0

      Spurs -2
      Nets +3½
      Warriors -4½

      My thing is spreads , I sometimes play totals but its more of an educated guess than anything. With that said pay attention to the spreads , that is what this is about also I will not put totals on the record. most of the time totals are just a "mind bet" kinda thing for me..

      Best Of Luck
      If your actions inspire others to dream more,learn more,
      do more and become more,you are a leader.

        Comment

        • MrDecipher
          Member
          • Jul 2008
          • 268
          #3
          I'm gonna add one more play and though there was not really a difference in the number I think this is the right side. Its more a case of the other team being such a high favorite .

          Timberwolves +9
          If your actions inspire others to dream more,learn more,
          do more and become more,you are a leader.

            Comment

            • gadfly36
              Moderator
              • Mar 2007
              • 6207
              #4
              gl mr decipher, i will follow this thread and see how you do.
              mlb 2018 157-110 +42.74 2018
              nfl 2018 54-79-1 -21.4 units 2018
              mlb 2019 348-245-3 +70.2 units 2019
              nfl 2019 54-54 -21.2 units 2019
              mlb 2020 112-75-1 +33.35 units 2020
              nfl 2020 88-87-3 -8.4 units 2021
              mlb 2020 playoffs 30-17 +30.6 units 2020
              nfl playoffs 2020 11-11-1 +25.4 units 2021
              mlb 2021 271-226 +18.3 units 2021
              mlb 2022 240-239 -62.9 units as of 10-21-2022
              mlb 2023 122-103 -9.7 units 2023
              mlb 2024 15-11 +2.7 units as of 4-13-2024

                Comment

                • MrDecipher
                  Member
                  • Jul 2008
                  • 268
                  #5
                  Thanks gadfly36 , I think and hope that more often than not the move will be in our favour ; Getting the best price in betting is a pretty big advantage . It also helps in the event that come gametime we don't like the side for whatever reason and are able to get off the bet at a small middle. Theoretically a middle is 20/1 from my understanding and that is pretty good . You may only need one middle in 20 tries to break even ; all considered we should do well over the long haul if these overnight plays move our way .
                  If your actions inspire others to dream more,learn more,
                  do more and become more,you are a leader.

                    Comment

                    • akatdrake
                      Senior Member
                      • Oct 2007
                      • 6065
                      #6
                      GL sir!
                      NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
                      MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
                      MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
                      NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
                      Updated on 01/13/18
                      ---
                      One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

                        Comment

                        • MrDecipher
                          Member
                          • Jul 2008
                          • 268
                          #7
                          Thanks ; So far not so good at all.. Spurs and Nets getting crushed....:puke:
                          If your actions inspire others to dream more,learn more,
                          do more and become more,you are a leader.

                            Comment

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