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Straight 231-214 +30.17 units
Dog MLs 18-37 +8.46 units
Positive day yesterday, though overs accounted for too many losses. Still a bit pissed I didn't lay the chalk on the Celtics game & play the Cavs under. Was quite confident on those. Lakers did their thing last night, which sets up a nice situational play on Feb 8.
Thoughts on today's matchups....
Hawks/Bulls- Double revenge for the Bulls, who are off a loss @NY. The first meeting between these two teams was a 113-108 road win for the Hawks. They lead by as many as 13, though without Josh Smith. The BUlls were without Hinrich & Gooden. The second meeting saw the Bulls on b2b road games & without Deng, Gooden or Hinrich. Both teams shot over 50% & Joe Johnson dropped 41. Now we have the Bulls off a tough loss where they lead late in the game, back home to face a team that came from behind to win @ home yesterday. The Hawks will be without Horford & Marvin Williams. I suspect Acie Law is also going to be out, but that's not really a big deal imo. Doubt Gooden will play, and if he does I don't see him being that productive. He looked like he was in pain yesterday & only played 13 minutes. Still I think Noah can be productive on the glass with Horford out. IMO with Deng & Hinrich finally getting minutes together, this could be a breakout game for the Bulls. Total seems a shade too low, especially loooking at the total of the last two games played against each other. Lean to the Bulls, tt over & smaller lean to game over. Don't like the line move up to 5, so a ML parlay is an option.
Pacers/SA- Both teams on b2b & off close games, with the Pacers falling to a last second 3 pter @NO. IMO these games are often tough to get up for if you're the pacers, battling back to come up short, then back out to try & compete the next day on the road. Normally I wouldn't consider the Pacers, but look at the spot the Spurs are in. 5th game in 7 days. 2-7-1 last 10 games played at home. Old. Pacers seem to get up for the big games, and now have Marquis Daniels back in the lineup (though he only played 3 minutes yesterday). The Pacers have just 1 loss in the last 10 road games by more than 7, so I really don't understand the high line. Could be because the Pacers have lost 6 straight to the Spurs, averaging 89.5 ppg in that span. The Pacers allowed 115 or more pts in their last 9 games, and are allowing 106.9 ppg avg. leaning on the Pacers, & game over. Small concern about Pop's comments regarding playing good defense...
Kings/Nuggets- Nuggets off a tough loss @Houston where they lead a majority of the game. They are 2-3 their last 5 played, but in their defense it was quite the stretch of teams to play. Kings are rested, and likely have been thinking a little about this game. Last time these two faced each other, The Nuggets blew the Kings off the court. 118-85! Denver shot 52.5%/ 41% 3pt & went to the line 37 times. The Kings shot a stellar 29%fg & a blazing 3-16 3pters. KMart finished with 8 points & Miller was held scoreless in 17 minutes. I think the Kings put forth a solid offensive showing, so Kings team total o104.5 is an option. Also Sac+pts & game over, not sure how I play it.
Wolves/Jazz- Minny has been great to me, but this is one solid home team. Last meeting was @Min, where the Jazz won 99-96. Minny is on a b2b road game, while the Jazz are 2 days rested & off a road loss to Dallas. Not a good spot to be playing @Utah, but I do think this line is a bit high. Jazz have the Rockets tomorrow, so there is a bit of a look ahead aspect going on. Small lean Wolves+ pts, Jazz ML in a parlay is an option.
Back in a bit to edit my plays in....
Dog MLs 18-37 +8.46 units
Positive day yesterday, though overs accounted for too many losses. Still a bit pissed I didn't lay the chalk on the Celtics game & play the Cavs under. Was quite confident on those. Lakers did their thing last night, which sets up a nice situational play on Feb 8.
Thoughts on today's matchups....
Hawks/Bulls- Double revenge for the Bulls, who are off a loss @NY. The first meeting between these two teams was a 113-108 road win for the Hawks. They lead by as many as 13, though without Josh Smith. The BUlls were without Hinrich & Gooden. The second meeting saw the Bulls on b2b road games & without Deng, Gooden or Hinrich. Both teams shot over 50% & Joe Johnson dropped 41. Now we have the Bulls off a tough loss where they lead late in the game, back home to face a team that came from behind to win @ home yesterday. The Hawks will be without Horford & Marvin Williams. I suspect Acie Law is also going to be out, but that's not really a big deal imo. Doubt Gooden will play, and if he does I don't see him being that productive. He looked like he was in pain yesterday & only played 13 minutes. Still I think Noah can be productive on the glass with Horford out. IMO with Deng & Hinrich finally getting minutes together, this could be a breakout game for the Bulls. Total seems a shade too low, especially loooking at the total of the last two games played against each other. Lean to the Bulls, tt over & smaller lean to game over. Don't like the line move up to 5, so a ML parlay is an option.
Pacers/SA- Both teams on b2b & off close games, with the Pacers falling to a last second 3 pter @NO. IMO these games are often tough to get up for if you're the pacers, battling back to come up short, then back out to try & compete the next day on the road. Normally I wouldn't consider the Pacers, but look at the spot the Spurs are in. 5th game in 7 days. 2-7-1 last 10 games played at home. Old. Pacers seem to get up for the big games, and now have Marquis Daniels back in the lineup (though he only played 3 minutes yesterday). The Pacers have just 1 loss in the last 10 road games by more than 7, so I really don't understand the high line. Could be because the Pacers have lost 6 straight to the Spurs, averaging 89.5 ppg in that span. The Pacers allowed 115 or more pts in their last 9 games, and are allowing 106.9 ppg avg. leaning on the Pacers, & game over. Small concern about Pop's comments regarding playing good defense...
Kings/Nuggets- Nuggets off a tough loss @Houston where they lead a majority of the game. They are 2-3 their last 5 played, but in their defense it was quite the stretch of teams to play. Kings are rested, and likely have been thinking a little about this game. Last time these two faced each other, The Nuggets blew the Kings off the court. 118-85! Denver shot 52.5%/ 41% 3pt & went to the line 37 times. The Kings shot a stellar 29%fg & a blazing 3-16 3pters. KMart finished with 8 points & Miller was held scoreless in 17 minutes. I think the Kings put forth a solid offensive showing, so Kings team total o104.5 is an option. Also Sac+pts & game over, not sure how I play it.
Wolves/Jazz- Minny has been great to me, but this is one solid home team. Last meeting was @Min, where the Jazz won 99-96. Minny is on a b2b road game, while the Jazz are 2 days rested & off a road loss to Dallas. Not a good spot to be playing @Utah, but I do think this line is a bit high. Jazz have the Rockets tomorrow, so there is a bit of a look ahead aspect going on. Small lean Wolves+ pts, Jazz ML in a parlay is an option.
Back in a bit to edit my plays in....
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