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Straight 205-188 +35.91 units
Dog MLs 18-35 +10.96 units
Small profit last night, learning to be more selective on the higher lines ML parlays. Really didn't think NO was going to have that big of a look ahead! Today there are plenty of situations to go through, with some really good matchups. Hopefully it translates into winners......
Dallas@Denver
Dallas is coming in having lost b2b road games. The 102-95 loss to the Kings was a pretty bad spot for Mavs in hindsight, as Sac desperately needed a win & the Mavs were still shellshocked from the 28 pt loss @Phx. Dallas was 3-20 from the 3 pt line vs Sac, and only managed 2 fast break pts vs the Suns (while allowing 16). The road game before these two was a blowout loss @Mem, where they trailed by as many as 22 pts (memphis had double revenge). Howard is still out, which means Terry will have to produce.
Denver is without Melo, and 2 days rested off a home loss to Det. Because Melo is out, JR Smith is starting alongside Kleiza. Vs Detroit the chemistry just wasn't there, as they were a combined 3-19 for 12 pts. The team as a whole were 2-13 from behind the 3 pt line. I expect these two to play much better together tonight, as the last time JR faced off vs Dallas, he torched them. Which brings me to the recent matchups between these two teams....
First time they faced off, Denver won @ home 108-105. In this game Dallas shot 40%/ 37% from 3. Denver shot 38%/ 25% 3, but were 37-40 from ft line. 40 attempts when Dallas only had 16 attempts lol, NBA may want to look into the refs of that one. Point is the pace was there, & despite the fact that neither of them broke 45%, they both eclipsed 100 pts. Dallas was in a bad spot situationally coming off a road win @SA, while Denver was off a road loss.
The next meeting was a 98-88 win for the Nuggets @Dallas. The Nuggets shot 46%fg 52% 3pters, while Dallas shot an abysmal 38% fg. Denver blew them right out of the gates, and never trailed in that game. The largest lead was 16 pts... so we have the double revenge angle at work....
Tough game here, as when I first saw the double revenge angle I was set to pound the Mavs. However, I hate the fact that Denver is a 14-5 home team that is off a home loss. They were winning the whole game, then blew a 13 pt lead to lose 93-90. Makes it worse that they've had 3 days to think about it. Another reason why it is so tough to make a play on the Mavs is that they have allowed 102 or more in their last 3 road games, and have been blown out two of them. I think thetotal is set a bit low to account for no Melo, Howard, & the previous low scoring Nuggets game. However, looking at the matchups, I see no reason why both of these teams can't get over the century mark. Both teams have motivation to have a good offensive showing, with quite a bit of individual motivation.... Dirk has been struggling lately, but his numbers are great vs Denver. No way can Kenyon cover Dirk. IMO Terry is great when he's on, & I'm sure Kidd will want to play the uptempo game. In the end I think double revenge is too much to ignore, when you're catching 6 points. Would have been a top unit play for me on the Mavs, had the Nuggets not lost their last home game. Likely plays on Dallas+pts, Dallas team over & game over. May have to sprinkle some ML on that as well.
Dog MLs 18-35 +10.96 units
Small profit last night, learning to be more selective on the higher lines ML parlays. Really didn't think NO was going to have that big of a look ahead! Today there are plenty of situations to go through, with some really good matchups. Hopefully it translates into winners......
Dallas@Denver
Dallas is coming in having lost b2b road games. The 102-95 loss to the Kings was a pretty bad spot for Mavs in hindsight, as Sac desperately needed a win & the Mavs were still shellshocked from the 28 pt loss @Phx. Dallas was 3-20 from the 3 pt line vs Sac, and only managed 2 fast break pts vs the Suns (while allowing 16). The road game before these two was a blowout loss @Mem, where they trailed by as many as 22 pts (memphis had double revenge). Howard is still out, which means Terry will have to produce.
Denver is without Melo, and 2 days rested off a home loss to Det. Because Melo is out, JR Smith is starting alongside Kleiza. Vs Detroit the chemistry just wasn't there, as they were a combined 3-19 for 12 pts. The team as a whole were 2-13 from behind the 3 pt line. I expect these two to play much better together tonight, as the last time JR faced off vs Dallas, he torched them. Which brings me to the recent matchups between these two teams....
First time they faced off, Denver won @ home 108-105. In this game Dallas shot 40%/ 37% from 3. Denver shot 38%/ 25% 3, but were 37-40 from ft line. 40 attempts when Dallas only had 16 attempts lol, NBA may want to look into the refs of that one. Point is the pace was there, & despite the fact that neither of them broke 45%, they both eclipsed 100 pts. Dallas was in a bad spot situationally coming off a road win @SA, while Denver was off a road loss.
The next meeting was a 98-88 win for the Nuggets @Dallas. The Nuggets shot 46%fg 52% 3pters, while Dallas shot an abysmal 38% fg. Denver blew them right out of the gates, and never trailed in that game. The largest lead was 16 pts... so we have the double revenge angle at work....
Tough game here, as when I first saw the double revenge angle I was set to pound the Mavs. However, I hate the fact that Denver is a 14-5 home team that is off a home loss. They were winning the whole game, then blew a 13 pt lead to lose 93-90. Makes it worse that they've had 3 days to think about it. Another reason why it is so tough to make a play on the Mavs is that they have allowed 102 or more in their last 3 road games, and have been blown out two of them. I think thetotal is set a bit low to account for no Melo, Howard, & the previous low scoring Nuggets game. However, looking at the matchups, I see no reason why both of these teams can't get over the century mark. Both teams have motivation to have a good offensive showing, with quite a bit of individual motivation.... Dirk has been struggling lately, but his numbers are great vs Denver. No way can Kenyon cover Dirk. IMO Terry is great when he's on, & I'm sure Kidd will want to play the uptempo game. In the end I think double revenge is too much to ignore, when you're catching 6 points. Would have been a top unit play for me on the Mavs, had the Nuggets not lost their last home game. Likely plays on Dallas+pts, Dallas team over & game over. May have to sprinkle some ML on that as well.
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