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Straight 173-164 +13.63 units
Dog MLs 14-29 +9.76 units
Nice positive week, but very pissed I didn't pull the trigger on some plays yesterday. Was set to throw a unit on the Raptors ml & missed tipoff. Oh well, hopefully I can KIR this week :wnk:
Haven't played anything yet, but here are my thoughts (cliff notes version).....
Spurs/Heat- Heat took the last game @SA, but that was before the Spurs were rolling & were without half the team (Parker was hurt in this game). The Heat led by as many as 24 pts en route to a 99-83 win. So this is a revenge spot for the Spurs. SA is fresh off a buzzer beater win vs Philly on a b2b. 4 of the last 5 Spurs games have been decided by 3 pts or less. The only one that wasn't was an 11 pt win @ Memphis off a loss. Seems as if the Heat have been playing much better since the win vs the Lakers. Since then they have looked much better (with the exception of running into Orlando @ home). Going 6-2 last 8, they split su with the Cavs (covering both) and came from behind vs NJ in their last game. Not often I side against a premier team that has revenge, but how do I pass up a 12-5 home team catching pts? I think the Heat have a better than +3.5 chance to win, but there are some concerns. Duncan has the advantage in the paint. While Beasley finally broke through with a strong game off the bench, he hasn't been consistant (though he did have 20pts/ 8 rebs last time they faced each other). Would love to have Marion in the game, which would help defensively, but something tells me that he's out again. The Spurs are 9-4 on the road this season, with 4 road wins by 4 pts or less. For this reason I'm hoping to grab a Betus +4 special.... Lean Heat+ pts & line says it's going under.
Kings @ Nets- Revenge game for Kings as they lost 116-114 in ot @ home vs the Nets (then again who do the Kings not have revenge against lol). The Kings were without KMart & Garcia for that game, where the Kings poor ft shooting cost them the w. 69% ft shooting. There were 210 regulation pts, & neither team shot over 45% The Nets are a strange team when it comes to home/road splits, as they are 6-12 at home & 10-6 on the road. The Kings are just bad on the road 2-15.... Not sure how the Nets react after a very bad loss to the Heat- despit shooting under 40%, they were leading by as many as 16 points before the Heat pulled ahead. The Heat bench also outscored the Net's bench 43-9. Not too sure of how NJ reacts here, but I do think it's pretty suspect that they are only laying -3.5 to one of NBA's worst road teams. For the line alone I have to think this game is closely played, which has me leaning to the o199. The King's last 2 games have gone over following 2 unders.....
Raptors @ Bucks- Raptors in a pretty bad situational spot on the backend of a b2b & off a su win vs Orlando. Revenge for the Bucks having lost 91-87 last meeting. Totally wasn't expecting the Bucks to be favored by so many- was thinking -5.5-6.5 tops, so it looks as if vegas wants Raptors money to come in. Have to look into this one further, but leaning under at first glance. Tons of injury question marks.....
Dog MLs 14-29 +9.76 units
Nice positive week, but very pissed I didn't pull the trigger on some plays yesterday. Was set to throw a unit on the Raptors ml & missed tipoff. Oh well, hopefully I can KIR this week :wnk:
Haven't played anything yet, but here are my thoughts (cliff notes version).....
Spurs/Heat- Heat took the last game @SA, but that was before the Spurs were rolling & were without half the team (Parker was hurt in this game). The Heat led by as many as 24 pts en route to a 99-83 win. So this is a revenge spot for the Spurs. SA is fresh off a buzzer beater win vs Philly on a b2b. 4 of the last 5 Spurs games have been decided by 3 pts or less. The only one that wasn't was an 11 pt win @ Memphis off a loss. Seems as if the Heat have been playing much better since the win vs the Lakers. Since then they have looked much better (with the exception of running into Orlando @ home). Going 6-2 last 8, they split su with the Cavs (covering both) and came from behind vs NJ in their last game. Not often I side against a premier team that has revenge, but how do I pass up a 12-5 home team catching pts? I think the Heat have a better than +3.5 chance to win, but there are some concerns. Duncan has the advantage in the paint. While Beasley finally broke through with a strong game off the bench, he hasn't been consistant (though he did have 20pts/ 8 rebs last time they faced each other). Would love to have Marion in the game, which would help defensively, but something tells me that he's out again. The Spurs are 9-4 on the road this season, with 4 road wins by 4 pts or less. For this reason I'm hoping to grab a Betus +4 special.... Lean Heat+ pts & line says it's going under.
Kings @ Nets- Revenge game for Kings as they lost 116-114 in ot @ home vs the Nets (then again who do the Kings not have revenge against lol). The Kings were without KMart & Garcia for that game, where the Kings poor ft shooting cost them the w. 69% ft shooting. There were 210 regulation pts, & neither team shot over 45% The Nets are a strange team when it comes to home/road splits, as they are 6-12 at home & 10-6 on the road. The Kings are just bad on the road 2-15.... Not sure how the Nets react after a very bad loss to the Heat- despit shooting under 40%, they were leading by as many as 16 points before the Heat pulled ahead. The Heat bench also outscored the Net's bench 43-9. Not too sure of how NJ reacts here, but I do think it's pretty suspect that they are only laying -3.5 to one of NBA's worst road teams. For the line alone I have to think this game is closely played, which has me leaning to the o199. The King's last 2 games have gone over following 2 unders.....
Raptors @ Bucks- Raptors in a pretty bad situational spot on the backend of a b2b & off a su win vs Orlando. Revenge for the Bucks having lost 91-87 last meeting. Totally wasn't expecting the Bucks to be favored by so many- was thinking -5.5-6.5 tops, so it looks as if vegas wants Raptors money to come in. Have to look into this one further, but leaning under at first glance. Tons of injury question marks.....
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