***UDoggie's Humpday Tatts***

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  • Underdog88
    I drink your milkshake!!!
    • Mar 2007
    • 13981

    ***UDoggie's Humpday Tatts***

    Straight 18-25 -11.01 units

    Dog mls 2-4 +1.42 units





    1-1 yesterday.



    Blazers+6.5-105

    3 units




    Deron likely a no-go, but I would be on it regardless of whether or not he plays. The Blazers won 3 of 4 vs Utah last season, & I like them to keep this game close if not win outright. Can't really give the Jazz too much credit for beating the Clippers 2x & the Melo-less Nuggets. The Blazers are 0-2 su & ats on the road, but played 2 tough teams in the Lakers & Suns. Much tougher competition. I really like Rudy Fernandez, who McMillan will likely be starting in the near future. He scored 20 pts in 23 minutes @Pho, so I expect him to get 24 tonight. In the end this is a play against perception. The Blazers are a good team, even minus Oden! Still looking into the ml.



    A ton of leans on this large card today, but I want to narrow it down. Lean Suns to beat the Pacers, problem with the play is.....

    a. it's road chalk on a b2b.

    b. The Suns are very public & off a blowout win.

    Despite that I have to give the Suns a good look. This is not the best spot for Indy either, as they are coming off an upset win over Boston (letdown). Boston really shot horribly in that game, which is why I liked them so much in the rebound spot last night. May do a ML parlay with Phx/NO/Cavs. IMO NO & Cavs are su winners, but the lines are large so the backdoor could be open.



    I also have leans to a couple overs, but unders have been dominating the NBA (33-17 on the year). Of course that will change- to start the season totals were (& in some cases, still are) inflated....
    Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...
  • Underdog88
    I drink your milkshake!!!
    • Mar 2007
    • 13981

    #2
    IMO a couple inflated lines tonight.....


    Utah-6.5- already touched on that.

    Celtics-9 Could very well be warranted, but I don't think so. B2B road games for the C's off a big win. To their credit they thrived in every "bad" spot last season, but this is a new year & books have adjusted to it. Fading them is never an easy play.

    Kings-3. Have the linesmakers watched a Kings game? This is a line that IMO is solely because of Arco. The Kings are the worst team in the NBA. Memphis is starting 3 rookies & are probably the better team. Only reason I haven't played the Grizzlies ML is because it's the King's home opener.

    Lakers-13.5. Perception. The line was set @9 a week ago. Clips in a revenge spot, but really revenge only goes so far. Like maybe for the 1stq (like Jazz game). :thumbs:
    Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

    Comment

    • Stifler's Mom
      Moderator
      • Feb 2007
      • 8541

      #3
      Clips looked better for MOST of the game vs Utah, but missed a ton of free throws, and took a **** in the 4th qtr when things started going bad.

      Having Camby inside made a difference though, as Caveman was going wild at times (so wild that he couldn't make his free throws apparently, lol)....and Baron looked good as well, when he was in there. I'm not sure if he is still getting limited minutes tonight or not.

      Main thing with the Clippers is they need to gel as a team. Too many new faces right now, but a chance to be decent, imo. Also, their bench needs to pick it up....whenever baron went out, they looked bad....

      I'll be on the Clips tonight too. This isn't the same team that LAL just blew out last week when Davis and Camby weren't playing, and while I don't see them winning this one, +14 points is a different story. I think they have a pretty decent shot to hang under that....

      Comment

      • Underdog88
        I drink your milkshake!!!
        • Mar 2007
        • 13981

        #4
        agreed Stif :thumbs:



        Pistons team o89

        1.5 units




        Stones+155

        Blazers+240
        Knicks-190
        Hornets-450
        Cavs-450

        .5 to win 9.38 units
        Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

        Comment

        • Underdog88
          I drink your milkshake!!!
          • Mar 2007
          • 13981

          #5
          Cavaliers-8.5-105

          Bobcats/Knicks o103 1sth

          Spurs/T-Pups o181-105


          2 units each
          Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

          Comment

          • Daws1089
            Moderator
            • Mar 2007
            • 7811

            #6
            gl tonight underdog

            Comment

            • Underdog88
              I drink your milkshake!!!
              • Mar 2007
              • 13981

              #7
              1 pt 1sth loss in Knicks game :bang:



              Wiz/Bucks o96 2ndh

              Wiz+1.5 2ndh

              Hornets-8.5 2ndh

              1.5 units each
              Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

              Comment

              • Underdog88
                I drink your milkshake!!!
                • Mar 2007
                • 13981

                #8
                Thunder team o43 2ndh

                2 units




                They put up 44 1sth despite shooting under 35%. Just playing the numbers here. Like them ats as well.....
                Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

                Comment

                • Underdog88
                  I drink your milkshake!!!
                  • Mar 2007
                  • 13981

                  #9
                  Grizzlies/Kings u192.5-105

                  Warriors-1 1stq

                  2 units each



                  Ended up deciding on the under instead of the Grizzlies. Kings can't score, line looks fishy. Likely on the Clips...
                  Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

                  Comment

                  • Underdog88
                    I drink your milkshake!!!
                    • Mar 2007
                    • 13981

                    #10
                    Clippers+14

                    2 units




                    Any other time I would be all over the Den/GS over, but with the personell tonight I just can't pull the trigger. Checking back @ the half there....
                    Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

                    Comment

                    • Furashu
                      I see past the odds!
                      • Sep 2007
                      • 258

                      #11
                      went LAC +7.5 first half... lets go Clippers!!!
                      "Sports betting is a marathon, not a sprint"

                      Comment

                      • tampayay
                        Member
                        • Jan 2008
                        • 872

                        #12
                        The wizz man.. I got burnt too
                        NBA: About evenish

                        1 Unit = $50

                        To the new season :beerbang:

                        Comment

                        • Underdog88
                          I drink your milkshake!!!
                          • Mar 2007
                          • 13981

                          #13
                          Wow. Bad beats left & right last night. Wiz lead 2ndh by 6 going into ot & lose by the half pt. The Blazers lead the whole game, than get outscored 29-18 in the 4th to lose by a half pt. Clips tied at the half & get destroyed 2ndh, knew I should have just been on the 1stq. The Kings shoot over 52% to sqeek out another loss. By far the most annoying to me was the Warriors total, which I liked all day but didn't pull the trigger on. To make matters worse, they lose the 1stq & win every other quarter :bang:
                          Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

                          Comment

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